Justin - what percentage does a line have to be off to be considered a bad line?

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  • raiders72002
    SBR MVP
    • 03-06-07
    • 3368

    #1
    Justin - what percentage does a line have to be off to be considered a bad line?
    I think that you would be the best guy to answer but would like to hear others.
  • ryanXL977
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-24-08
    • 20615

    #2
    thats a great ****ing question

    i think the answer is , it only has to be off by half a pt for it to be worthwhile longterm
    Comment
    • raiders72002
      SBR MVP
      • 03-06-07
      • 3368

      #3
      ganch?
      Comment
      • donjuan
        SBR MVP
        • 08-29-07
        • 3993

        #4
        thats a great ****ing question

        i think the answer is , it only has to be off by half a pt for it to be worthwhile longterm
        I believe he means for a book to be able to legitimately cancel your bet, not lineshopping the market.
        Comment
        • raiders72002
          SBR MVP
          • 03-06-07
          • 3368

          #5
          Originally posted by donjuan
          I believe he means for a book to be able to legitimately cancel your bet, not lineshopping the market.
          exactly.

          don -any thoughts?
          Comment
          • purecarnagge
            SBR MVP
            • 10-05-07
            • 4843

            #6
            +100 to -200 juice value I would say
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            • durito
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-03-06
              • 13173

              #7
              depends on the sport and the type of line --- and probably on the book that's offering it too

              there are some nfl props for tomorrow out there that differ as much as 30% between books -- none of which i expect to be canceled for being bad
              Comment
              • Nicky Santoro
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-08-08
                • 16103

                #8
                nba --if it is -4.5 and you get -2 or better at the time it was painted -4.5 everywhere, they have right to cancel it.

                baseball or hockey--- if ML is -160 everywhere, and you get -125 or better, they can cancel it.
                Comment
                • raiders72002
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-06-07
                  • 3368

                  #9
                  Originally posted by durito
                  depends on the sport and the type of line --- and probably on the book that's offering it too

                  there are some nfl props for tomorrow out there that differ as much as 30% between books -- none of which i expect to be canceled for being bad
                  should be a fun day for you tomorrow.
                  Comment
                  • purecarnagge
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-05-07
                    • 4843

                    #10
                    Originally posted by durito
                    depends on the sport and the type of line --- and probably on the book that's offering it too

                    there are some nfl props for tomorrow out there that differ as much as 30% between books -- none of which i expect to be canceled for being bad
                    I've seen 20%... where you seeing 30% at? PM me if you don't want to post.

                    I'm depositing funds tomorrow morning in 2 books to get some props going... I have 4 books I'm looking to shop for values, but the props are way the hell out of wack
                    Comment
                    • Justin7
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 07-31-06
                      • 8577

                      #11
                      Depends on the sport. The bigger the market, the smaller the mistake. If there's no market for it, it has to be very obvious. In NFL, +3.5 could be bad if the market were +2. If you are the only one offering a prop though, it had better be a typo or EV>50%.
                      Comment
                      • unit1884
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 06-11-08
                        • 938

                        #12
                        I remember one time I played at Gamebookers and these morons had an NCAAB total at 182, when it should have been 128, the under 128 still hit, so I dont know if they would have cashed my 182 had it gone over 128...

                        Either way, what a bunch of morons.
                        Comment
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