Vegas Dave's Video Breakdown: Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers

betplom · 01-15-09, 12:58 AM

Originally posted by VegasDave

Ask me if you want to sign up for my NFL Newsletter (it's free!)

Dave:

Do I want to signup for your NFL newsletter?

ZBOIZ · 01-15-09, 01:11 AM

Baltimore will cover this spread. Philosophy my ass! It's plain as day, these two teams know each other inside and out and like RAY RAY said on NFL NETWORK they are smelling blood because they took the game in Baltimore from them with that Bogus call by the refs. The Ravens want to play the Steelers. The Ravens team went to a restaurant last sunday and watched the Steelers and Chargers and they were rooting for the Steelers because they want them BAD! If you have the BALLS to bet Pittsburgh than you is a damn fool. -6 IS THE SUCKER BET! They want you to fall in the RAVENS IS HURT AND TIRED TRAP! The Ravens will be up and extra energize for this game!

If I can promise one thing I can promise the Ravens will cover that 6!

Ravens +6
Ravens and Steelers Under 17.5 (1st half)
Ravens Moneyline

VegasDave · 01-15-09, 01:13 AM

Originally posted by betplom

Dave:

Do I want to signup for your NFL newsletter?

No, you don't.

But I'm glad you asked

betplom · 01-15-09, 01:18 AM

Originally posted by VegasDave

No, you don't.

Well since the season is almost over, I guess I won't, maybe next year.

Originally posted by VegasDave

But I'm glad you asked

You told me (and everyone else) to.

VegasDave · 01-15-09, 01:24 AM

Originally posted by betplom

You told me (and everyone else) to.

Yes, looks like I did. Stupid grammer

.

betplom · 01-15-09, 01:27 AM

Originally posted by VegasDave

Yes, looks like I did. Stupid grammer

.

grammer?

Maybe you mean grammar?

VegasDave · 01-15-09, 01:32 AM

Originally posted by betplom

grammer?

Maybe you mean grammar?

Clearly not my night

VegasDave · 01-15-09, 05:23 PM

Originally posted by ZBOIZ

If I can promise one thing I can promise the Ravens will cover that 6!

You PROMISE huh? What happens if they don't? Is this a money back guarantee?

VegasDave · 01-16-09, 08:51 PM

Write up for those that don't want to watch the whole video:

#6 Baltimore Ravens 13 - 5 (+6.0) @ #2 Pittsburgh Steelers 13 - 4 (-6.0)
Hope you like defense. The AFC pits the league's two best defenses against one another, two smash mouth physical football teams, and division rivals to boot. And I didn't think I'd see one, especially this late in the season, but I believe we have a philosophy pick on our hands. Now granted, you could argue the spread is what it is because the Ravens did not look very good in their victory over the Titans last week. But still, 6 points? For a team that bettors love so much, a team that has been many people's chic pick to go all the way this year? Lets look at the reasons why Baltimore +6 looks like an easy bet:

1. They are 14 - 4 against the spread this year, and have only lost 2 games by more than 4 points this season
2. They have played Pittsburgh twice this year and lost both games; by 3 and 4. It is extremely difficult to beat the same team 3 times in the same season in the NFL (which bodes well for the Ravens winning outright), and even if the Ravens do lose, why shouldn't it be by 3 or 4 again?
3. The #1 defense VS. the #2 defense; doesn't common sense dictate this will be a close low scoring game that will come down to a late scoring drive or FG?

It seems pretty clear to me that bookmakers WANT you to pick Baltimore this week. I for one will not oblige; and Philosophy Picks have certainly been good to me this year.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^Pittsburgh
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: ^Pittsburgh
OVER/UNDER 38: Under

VegasDave · 01-17-09, 05:18 PM

Wonder if Pittsburgh will bring my season philosophy picks over 70%?

seaborneq · 01-17-09, 05:21 PM

VD, you seem to be going against the grain despite what the numbers are saying

ZBOIZ · 01-17-09, 05:23 PM

Originally posted by VegasDave

You PROMISE huh? What happens if they don't? Is this a money back guarantee?

yep

VegasDave · 01-17-09, 05:27 PM

Originally posted by seaborneq

VD, you seem to be going against the grain despite what the numbers are saying

Thats exactly what I'm doing; thats what Philosophy Picks are all about

pinnacle212 · 01-18-09, 10:25 AM

Vegas Dave lets get that newsletter

pinnacle212 · 01-18-09, 11:00 AM

Vegas dave start a seperate spread for the Balt vs Steel game

purecarnagge · 01-18-09, 12:17 PM

My two things on this game. Ben concussion issue... Could be back with a hard hit...

The other thing is the titans gift wrapped the game to the ravens.

Scorpion · 01-18-09, 12:29 PM

Its not hard to beat a team 3 times in a season, 11 out of 18 times this has happened

BamaBill67 · 01-18-09, 06:58 PM

Once again, it looks to good to take Balt. +6.........It is snowing and I believe there are only 2 good snow QB that I would trust, Big Ben and Tom Brady. Also, beating a team 2x in a season is the puzzler, not 3x. The 3rd win is not as hard. I hit Ari +4 and going for the bomb on Pitt -6

VegasDave · 01-18-09, 11:45 PM

1 - 3 on my picks, but you can count on my Philosophy Picks

MoneyMike · 01-18-09, 11:50 PM

Originally posted by ZBOIZ

Baltimore will cover this spread. Philosophy my ass! It's plain as day, these two teams know each other inside and out and like RAY RAY said on NFL NETWORK they are smelling blood because they took the game in Baltimore from them with that Bogus call by the refs. The Ravens want to play the Steelers. The Ravens team went to a restaurant last sunday and watched the Steelers and Chargers and they were rooting for the Steelers because they want them BAD! If you have the BALLS to bet Pittsburgh than you is a damn fool. -6 IS THE SUCKER BET! They want you to fall in the RAVENS IS HURT AND TIRED TRAP! The Ravens will be up and extra energize for this game!

If I can promise one thing I can promise the Ravens will cover that 6!

Ravens +6
Ravens and Steelers Under 17.5 (1st half)
Ravens Moneyline

PROMISE

InTheHole · 01-18-09, 11:51 PM

Nice