How would you hedge? Have Heat to win series at -125.

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  • odog11
    SBR MVP
    • 02-14-11
    • 3874

    #1
    How would you hedge? Have Heat to win series at -125.
    Should I go for the double and take the points or play Spurs ML to free roll with a little profit either way? If I didn't really want the Heat to lose I might consider letting it ride, but I also feel Heat are being overvalued here so hedge makes sense.
  • ROFLcopter
    SBR MVP
    • 06-16-10
    • 4446

    #2
    Spurs ML. I have Heat to win the series 4-3 at +350. Was very tempted to let it ride but hedging is always the smart thing to do
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    • boeing power
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-23-10
      • 9698

      #3
      If its a big amount and you need the money hedge.

      if not, let it ride , you got a great number right now.
      Comment
      • Louisvillekid1
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-17-07
        • 52143

        #4
        I have -130 and not even hesitating... Letting it ride...
        Comment
        • odog11
          SBR MVP
          • 02-14-11
          • 3874

          #5
          Originally posted by boeing power
          If its a big amount and you need the money hedge.

          if not, let it ride , you got a great number right now.
          No biggie if it loses, i just don't want to root for the heat and feel like the value is with the Spurs now, less since the line movement though.

          Yes, it's a good number, but that doesn't mean hedging is a bad thing if there is a good number on the other side.
          Comment
          • El Nino
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 05-03-12
            • 18426

            #6
            Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
            I have -130 and not even hesitating... Letting it ride...
            Comment
            • Sport_Fish
              SBR MVP
              • 12-06-10
              • 4079

              #7
              I have it at various prices n a gd chunk but no hedging. All or nothing.

              I had Miami to win east huge last year and hedged out if it all before gm 6 and regret it to this day. This time wont do tht, they lose so be it, but you gotta like their chances.
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              • MoneyLineDawg
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-01-09
                • 13253

                #8
                No one can tell you what to do.....Just go with what you think. If you really like the Spurs than bet them, if not let it ride or gamble for the +7 double payout
                Comment
                • rocky16
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-22-12
                  • 1905

                  #9
                  Same boat. Have Heat future grabbed at -200 and -125 for this series after game 5. Been contemplating this shit for last two days but I gotta sack up and stick, right?
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                  • rocky16
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-22-12
                    • 1905

                    #10
                    Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
                    No one can tell you what to do.....Just go with what you think. If you really like the Spurs than bet them, if not let it ride or gamble for the +7 double payout
                    Think Spurs have been better team throughout the series but after what happened in game 6 I can't see them winning now. Only thing concerns me is my original thought about Spurs being the better team. But they're gonna win in Miami after what happened Tuesday night? Can't wrap my head around that one.
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                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      Don't hedge. You have 80+% chance on a -125 line. Can't beat that, penetrate giving any back.
                      Comment
                      • ROYAJA8
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-23-09
                        • 2069

                        #12
                        You don't hedge. You go all in on Miami and win a larger amount.
                        Comment
                        • O
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-21-12
                          • 1980

                          #13
                          I'm on the same boat but played the Spurs +6 and hoping for a close game.
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            U guys hedging are nuts imo. I mean you got what u wanted gm7 w the better team at home! Now u wanna give some of it back? Seems like a bad strategy to me, unless u bet way over your head or something this is what u should have wanted!
                            Comment
                            • ROFLcopter
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-16-10
                              • 4446

                              #15
                              All these people telling you not to hedge and the whole entire board being on the Heat makes me nervous. That's why I hedged. The Heat are clearly the obvious play, but its game 7. Crazy shit happens, and the board is begging to be buried.
                              Comment
                              • lakerboy
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-02-09
                                • 94463

                                #16
                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                U guys hedging are nuts imo. I mean you got what u wanted gm7 w the better team at home! Now u wanna give some of it back? Seems like a bad strategy to me, unless u bet way over your head or something this is what u should have wanted!

                                miami hasnt shown much to say they are the better team. the series has been 2 close games ( split) and 4 blowouts( split).
                                Comment
                                • k13
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-16-10
                                  • 18129

                                  #17
                                  We're all ******....

                                  Comment
                                  • Jago2008
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-18-11
                                    • 3047

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by odog11
                                    Should I go for the double and take the points or play Spurs ML to free roll with a little profit either way? If I didn't really want the Heat to lose I might consider letting it ride, but I also feel Heat are being overvalued here so hedge makes sense.



                                    Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                    I have -130 and not even hesitating... Letting it ride...
                                    Let it ride bro, you're in great shape just based on numbers.
                                    Comment
                                    • odog11
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-14-11
                                      • 3874

                                      #19
                                      Having a great day with Soccer(Spain -8 and Uruguay over 1.5) and Cricket(India) and don't want to end the night on a down note, figured why not go for it?. Going for the double with Spurs +6 as I can definitely see it being tight down the stretch.
                                      Comment
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