If the Eagles cover, do you take the Steelers -6.5?

[fearless]

Can anyone imagine all four underdogs covering in the second round? I can't.

[yisman]

one has nothing to do with the other.

[mmike032]

all dogs cover this weekend

[fearless]

one has nothing to do with the other.

You'll still be saying that when you watch the Steelers mount a drive on nothing but penalties. I've seen it happen. It was the last game in Candlestick Park. The 49ers were horrible that year but I guess a powerful person decided they needed to win that game.

The first time the 49ers had the ball, the refs literally marched them down the field through penalties for an easy touchdown. The rout was on after that.

Who can have faith in the NFL after the Steelers/Seahawks Super Bowl a few years ago. The refs handed it to the Steelers. If you think the results on NFL playoff games have nothing to do with the lines, you're totally wrong.

[ryanXL977]

chargers cover and may even win
get ready for it

[fearless]

chargers cover and may even win
get ready for it

I'm feeling better about the Steelers now.

[ryanXL977]

well its not like my picks are awful lately, i got balti+135 yesterday. i dont know if youre kidding or not, i aint calling it a lock but i think sd covers or wins. we will see

[Chi_archie]

Pittsburgh game has too many unknown quantities... don't know why anyone would bet, when you have roethlisberger, who is one of the toughest players in the NFL, and one of the toughest QB's since they played with leather helmets.

this guy can either come in and shine in these spots, and pull out miraculous victories in the end like he did against balty, and SD... check out his last drive stats in both those games...after not doing much of anything all game.. just when you thnk the guy is done he goes into another gear..

a quarter of the time, he'll just blow it...no matter what the defense does..
such as the last time he played a game after having a concussion the previous game... 4 INT's and a couple fumbles...

this game could be 27-13 SD.... or 24-6 Pittsburgh... I'm staying away..

[fearless]

well its not like my picks are awful lately, i got balti+135 yesterday. i dont know if youre kidding or not, i aint calling it a lock but i think sd covers or wins. we will see

The Baltimore pick was wrong. The only other thing I can remember you doing is lamenting taking Denver, saying that they never can beat good teams.

San Diego was lucky to win last week. I don't think they'll be lucky two weeks in a row but the NFL is insane so you never know.

[ryanXL977]

i never ever ever take denver
ever.
ever
not once all year
you are mixing me up, unless you mean the nuggets, which yes, cannot beat good teams

baltimore won, the pick was right
sd won last week, that pick was right too

[fearless]

i never ever ever take denver
ever.
ever
not once all year
you are mixing me up, unless you mean the nuggets, which yes, cannot beat good teams

baltimore won, the pick was right
sd won last week, that pick was right too

Just because you win it doesn't make it the right play.

Actually, I would never just take the favorite because three underdogs in a row have cashed. But, this is the NFL playoffs...

I think you're a good, successful capper. BOL

[ryanXL977]

all im saying is this, turnovers count, and balti causes them, and they caused 3 big ones and thats why they won. thats part of the game. think about how many times its gone the other way. yes, tenn outplayed them but they cant hold onto theball so they lose. betting is a bitch!

[fearless]

all im saying is this, turnovers count, and balti causes them, and they caused 3 big ones and thats why they won. thats part of the game. think about how many times its gone the other way. yes, tenn outplayed them but they cant hold onto theball so they lose. betting is a bitch!

I see your point but 3 turnovers for one team and 0 for the other, that's luck. So many things about that game were lucky, you said it yourself. I don't want to talk about that anymore.

[The Seer]

if someone says that they capped the game with Balt getting 3 turnovers to 0 is full of shit no matter which way you cut it. The right side lost. The titans clearly outplayed the ravens but beat themselves. You can't cap that.

[ryanXL977]

of course you cant cap turnovers
but when balti does this year in and year out, why would anyone say the right side lost, as if the game should apply itself to the statistics you choose.

[fearless]

of course you cant cap turnovers
but when balti does this year in and year out, why would anyone say the right side lost, as if the game should apply itself to the statistics you choose.

.

all im saying is this, turnovers count, and balti causes them, and they caused 3 big ones and thats why they won.

[ryanXL977]

yes, i said that. but i didnt say you can cap 3 turnovers, but cealrly going in you can count on some big ones
balti always does it, this isnt big news is it?
tenn had more yards
balti had more turnovers

whic matters more?

[fearless]

yes, i said that. but i didnt say you can cap 3 turnovers, but cealrly going in you can count on some big ones
balti always does it, this isnt big news is it?
tenn had more yards
balti had more turnovers

whic matters more?

of course you cant cap turnovers

Which is it? I'm done with this confusion. You were lucky.

[ryanXL977]

use the word lucky all you want. i aint bragging about tha pick, thats for sure.
its betting, it goes both ways. i had memphis to win it all, they blew it, ive been burned 100 times before, i dotn call it luck, its betting

gl to you today either way

[Chi_archie]

I think you can cap turnovers to an extent, especially at the end of the year... some teams are great at causing to's and big plays...some teams have a propensity to turn the ball over..... I may not come up with a different spread due to turnovers...but if i'm iffy on a spread say its team x -3 and I know that team's x's qb has alot of 2, 3 int games, and their rb fumbles alot... and team Y has a defense that might not be great, but has 3-4 playmakers that can change the game in an instant..think deion, rod woodson, James Harrison this year, Ray Lewis in his prime, Lt in his prime.. ect.. I'm gonna stay away from that game even if I like team x alot...in fact I might play team Y and try to catch lightening in a bottle..

very rarely in the NFL does the game follow the "script" you have in mind when you cap it... you can count on things you didn't count on to happen... so some might think finding a way to quanitfy TO's as the most important capping tool.... I just dont' know how you do it..

[RogueScholar]

You'll still be saying that when you watch the Steelers mount a drive on nothing but penalties. I've seen it happen. It was the last game in Candlestick Park. The 49ers were horrible that year but I guess a powerful person decided they needed to win that game.

Are you also from NorCal, fearless?

[fearless]

Are you also from NorCal, fearless?

Southern California, I watched that game on TV. After watching that first drive, I was stunned. It was so obvious what the refs were doing. I thought that no matter how bad the 49ers were that year it was fitting for them to win their last game in Candlestick Park so it was acceptable, I guess.

[fearless]

This is looking like a more and more serious issue. What to do?

[rm18]

Chargers +7.5 on the buy is the play regardless

[yisman]

You'll still be saying that when you watch the Steelers mount a drive on nothing but penalties. I've seen it happen. It was the last game in Candlestick Park. The 49ers were horrible that year but I guess a powerful person decided they needed to win that game.

The first time the 49ers had the ball, the refs literally marched them down the field through penalties for an easy touchdown. The rout was on after that.

Who can have faith in the NFL after the Steelers/Seahawks Super Bowl a few years ago. The refs handed it to the Steelers. If you think the results on NFL playoff games have nothing to do with the lines, you're totally wrong.

the steelers/seahawks SB was rigged, but not necessarily because of betting.

and even if the game is rigged, then how does it have anything to do with the eagles.

if you think it's rigged, don't bet. you can't predict which way

[fearless]

I took my own advice and I took Pitt -6.5 for a small play.

[fearless]

[Cloak & Dagger]

chargers cover and may even win
get ready for it

[fearless]

[The Seer]