I Guarantee the Heat Win Games 2 and 3. 1500 on each game.

[Mr Handicapable]

Wade...lmao.

airball then leaves Danny Green wide open.....declining skills w/shit court awareness...nice combo

[k13]

Must feel great making a bet that has no chance of winning even with a semi-close score now.

Will these losers even make it back to miami?

[Bdolan33]

Berried

[JR007]

get Wade out of the game, now, he's done

[CanuckG]

Game 3 featured a much more active Miami defense -- the quick rotations we're normally accustomed to seeing. Parker had a miserable game by my standards and I expect a slight rebound performance, specifically in taking better care of the basketball. However, as I mentioned before the series started, Miami is going to give Parker a ton of looks with Chalmers, Cole, Wade, and Lebron all guarding him at some point. Ginobli has also struggled this series against D Wade. He will play better at home with more play calls for him at the top of the key. The biggest advantage for the Spurs in this series is their ability to run multiple pick and rolls and get switches. Ginobli or Parker need to get Bosh on the switch and take advantage of him. He is by far the weakest defender on the Heat.

Danny Green has done an okay job on D Wade thus far in the series but I expect him to be a huge factor on the road these next three games. We all know that in road games, the Heat are going to have to rely heavily on the big 3 + ray allen. Chalmers has road experience as well and played very good in game 4 I believe against Dallas two years ago. But overall, in the pressure situations in the 4th quarter, expect the big 3 of the Heat + Allen to try and take over this game.

I'm looking for Norris Cole to be a bit more aggressive here if Chalmers struggles at all. Parker is one of the best defenders at the pg position but he has not looked that sharp on the defensive end to start this series, and that partially has a lot to do with what the Spurs are doing to limit Lebron James. They are guarding him straight up with Leonard, but notice how both Duncan/Splitter and Parker at times are hanging out on the elbows, basically packing in the paint. Partially why Chalmers had the game he did. If you watch the film, you'll see that Lebron was very successful when getting the ball in the post at the elbow the most (more so in the low post).

The elbow post forces an almost immediate double and gives Lebron the ability to see the entire floor. Doubling at the elbow is possibly the worst place to double on the entire court, and as good as Pop is at making adjustments, I just don't envision him not doubling Lebron there. If the Heat get him the ball in that spot, I see them winning this game without a doubt.

Defensively, Lebron has been below average. He gave up another 8 offensive rebounds to Leonard in game 2. Pitiful. The Heat are not going to win this game if they don't crash the boards. Expect more effort from James.

**Also note how in game 2, Lebron did virtually nothing during the first half and let Wade kind of control the game. You might see a similar recipe tonight, with Wade getting the majority of the touches early on and Lebron kind of saving himself for that 4th quarter run. Guess it all depends on Wade's knees.

Bosh has still not gotten to the basket and I guess we'll see him just taking that midrange jumper all series. He is open everytime off Lebron and Wade dishes so it's tough to knock him for taking that shot. It's gonna be there all series and expect another 15 pt or so effort from Bosh tonight with a solid 8 boards.

Duncan was terrible in game 2. Taking a ton of fadeaways and drifting further and further away from the low post. I expect Duncan to get the ball in the post tonight and not the high post. He has a significant advantage over any Miami big, especially Bosh, who is a weakling in the post. Haslem is Miami's most consistent post defender but doesn't have the height to guard a Duncan hook shot. Expect Bosh Haslem and Birdman to all see time on Duncan but I am expecting a solid performance from Timmy. an 18 pt 12 board effort.

Spurs role players are going to have to come up big in this game. Neil has gotten some open looks as has Green who's been playing great. I don't expect Green to continue to play the way he has. Wade is going under a lot of screens and you can't do that with sharp shooters. Simple adjustment there.

The Spurs are getting nothing out of their 5 position. Splitter has been a ghost this series, Blaire doesn't play and neither does Bonner. Boris Diaw is scared to shoot the ball. He's a passer, that's all. I actually laughed to myself when Pop put Diaw on James in game 1 because I predicted he would do that, til after 1 play he quickly realized that he made a huge mistake

There is no one to guard James in this series except Leonard and Green. If Leonard gets in foul trouble the Spurs are in HUGE trouble. That leaves Green on James and forces Ginobli/Neil to guard Wade. Easier matchups for both guys.

Ray Allen has been open on nearly all his 3s in this series. I expect Pop to make an adjustment there. Allen's guy cannot come off his body at any time. Allen has also done a decent job guarding Ginobli in this series at times. I expect that to continue tonight. Battier has not really had his moment in this series but if the Spurs go small, which they might have to considering they are getting nothing out of their 5 spot, shifting Leonard to the 4, Timmy to the 5, Ginobli/Neil Green and Parker, Battier will get his opportunity.

Expect a 20+ point effort tonight from Wade and for both he James and possible Ray Allen to take over in the 4th quarter of this ball game. The Spurs are an excellent 4th quarter team. Lebron James cannot, and I repeat, cannot guard Tony Parker. Parker is way too crafty, way too agile. Pisses me off when people say Bron can guard anyone because he has no chance against Parker in pick and rolls. The thing for Miami is they just have to attack the pick and roll defensively. They have to charge it with the big and cut Parker off aggressively. You can't be passive against him and keep switching. Lebron has to fight through those screens and that's going to have to be key in the 4th quarter tonight.

I expect this game to come down to the wire.

$550 on Miami +2 -110
$1000 on Miami +115
$100 on Wade OVER 16.5 points +100 (5 dimes line)
$100 on Miami wins by 1-5 (5 dimes) +379
$125 on Danny Green UNDER 10.5 pts -125
$105 on Tony Parker FREE THROWS MADE OVER 4.5 -105 (5 dimes)
$120 on Lebron Rebounds OVER 8.5 -120

[WiscoBets]

How's that workin for ya?

[JR007]

yep, right down to the wire, spot on goat

[pepero428]

[mrfancy]

Goatmilk is a clown

[vasilli07]

Next thread will be I Guarantee the Heat is going to win game 4.

[Timmay]

Oh, I forgot... Let me guess who he takes in game 4 then.

Who's that in the blue?

[Mac4Lyfe]

I'd at least have a little respect for Goatie if he would fade Miami just one time, one game. It's been 3 years and counting.

[meader99]

I'd at least have a little respect for Goatie if he would fade Miami just one time, one game. It's been 3 years and counting.

You can GUARANTEE he won't fade em in game 4.

[ShogunRua]

Game 3 featured a much more active Miami defense -- the quick rotations we're normally accustomed to seeing. Parker had a miserable game by my standards and I expect a slight rebound performance, specifically in taking better care of the basketball. However, as I mentioned before the series started, Miami is going to give Parker a ton of looks with Chalmers, Cole, Wade, and Lebron all guarding him at some point. Ginobli has also struggled this series against D Wade. He will play better at home with more play calls for him at the top of the key. The biggest advantage for the Spurs in this series is their ability to run multiple pick and rolls and get switches. Ginobli or Parker need to get Bosh on the switch and take advantage of him. He is by far the weakest defender on the Heat.

Danny Green has done an okay job on D Wade thus far in the series but I expect him to be a huge factor on the road these next three games. We all know that in road games, the Heat are going to have to rely heavily on the big 3 + ray allen. Chalmers has road experience as well and played very good in game 4 I believe against Dallas two years ago. But overall, in the pressure situations in the 4th quarter, expect the big 3 of the Heat + Allen to try and take over this game.

I'm looking for Norris Cole to be a bit more aggressive here if Chalmers struggles at all. Parker is one of the best defenders at the pg position but he has not looked that sharp on the defensive end to start this series, and that partially has a lot to do with what the Spurs are doing to limit Lebron James. They are guarding him straight up with Leonard, but notice how both Duncan/Splitter and Parker at times are hanging out on the elbows, basically packing in the paint. Partially why Chalmers had the game he did. If you watch the film, you'll see that Lebron was very successful when getting the ball in the post at the elbow the most (more so in the low post).

The elbow post forces an almost immediate double and gives Lebron the ability to see the entire floor. Doubling at the elbow is possibly the worst place to double on the entire court, and as good as Pop is at making adjustments, I just don't envision him not doubling Lebron there. If the Heat get him the ball in that spot, I see them winning this game without a doubt.

Defensively, Lebron has been below average. He gave up another 8 offensive rebounds to Leonard in game 2. Pitiful. The Heat are not going to win this game if they don't crash the boards. Expect more effort from James.

**Also note how in game 2, Lebron did virtually nothing during the first half and let Wade kind of control the game. You might see a similar recipe tonight, with Wade getting the majority of the touches early on and Lebron kind of saving himself for that 4th quarter run. Guess it all depends on Wade's knees.

Bosh has still not gotten to the basket and I guess we'll see him just taking that midrange jumper all series. He is open everytime off Lebron and Wade dishes so it's tough to knock him for taking that shot. It's gonna be there all series and expect another 15 pt or so effort from Bosh tonight with a solid 8 boards.

Duncan was terrible in game 2. Taking a ton of fadeaways and drifting further and further away from the low post. I expect Duncan to get the ball in the post tonight and not the high post. He has a significant advantage over any Miami big, especially Bosh, who is a weakling in the post. Haslem is Miami's most consistent post defender but doesn't have the height to guard a Duncan hook shot. Expect Bosh Haslem and Birdman to all see time on Duncan but I am expecting a solid performance from Timmy. an 18 pt 12 board effort.

Spurs role players are going to have to come up big in this game. Neil has gotten some open looks as has Green who's been playing great. I don't expect Green to continue to play the way he has. Wade is going under a lot of screens and you can't do that with sharp shooters. Simple adjustment there.

The Spurs are getting nothing out of their 5 position. Splitter has been a ghost this series, Blaire doesn't play and neither does Bonner. Boris Diaw is scared to shoot the ball. He's a passer, that's all. I actually laughed to myself when Pop put Diaw on James in game 1 because I predicted he would do that, til after 1 play he quickly realized that he made a huge mistake

There is no one to guard James in this series except Leonard and Green. If Leonard gets in foul trouble the Spurs are in HUGE trouble. That leaves Green on James and forces Ginobli/Neil to guard Wade. Easier matchups for both guys.

Ray Allen has been open on nearly all his 3s in this series. I expect Pop to make an adjustment there. Allen's guy cannot come off his body at any time. Allen has also done a decent job guarding Ginobli in this series at times. I expect that to continue tonight. Battier has not really had his moment in this series but if the Spurs go small, which they might have to considering they are getting nothing out of their 5 spot, shifting Leonard to the 4, Timmy to the 5, Ginobli/Neil Green and Parker, Battier will get his opportunity.

Expect a 20+ point effort tonight from Wade and for both he James and possible Ray Allen to take over in the 4th quarter of this ball game. The Spurs are an excellent 4th quarter team. Lebron James cannot, and I repeat, cannot guard Tony Parker. Parker is way too crafty, way too agile. Pisses me off when people say Bron can guard anyone because he has no chance against Parker in pick and rolls. The thing for Miami is they just have to attack the pick and roll defensively. They have to charge it with the big and cut Parker off aggressively. You can't be passive against him and keep switching. Lebron has to fight through those screens and that's going to have to be key in the 4th quarter tonight.

I expect this game to come down to the wire.

$550 on Miami +2 -110
$1000 on Miami +115
$100 on Wade OVER 16.5 points +100 (5 dimes line)
$100 on Miami wins by 1-5 (5 dimes) +379
$125 on Danny Green UNDER 10.5 pts -125
$105 on Tony Parker FREE THROWS MADE OVER 4.5 -105 (5 dimes)
$120 on Lebron Rebounds OVER 8.5 -120

Not 1 accurate statement or bit of analysis in this entire shi tstorm of a post?

1-6 on posted plays including the 2 big bets?

Never question him!

[Speedy88]

Which is why I never use the word guarantee. It is just a slightly nicer way of saying "lock."

[TwoWays]

It's alright, GM. Even superstars like Lebron have off-days. Look forward to your analysis of game 4, and the Bosh-Lebron pindowns.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Fuuuuuk, a dart throwing baboon would hit at a higher % than this shit.

Good thing Goat Herder bets with fumes. Dam, even his prop bets are trash.

Not 1 accurate statement or bit of analysis in this entire shi tstorm of a post?

1-6 on posted plays including the 2 big bets?

Never question him!

[CanuckG]

$4000 Miami ML Game 4

[raydog]

goat has done this same stupid shit for years... captain obvious post a bunch of unreadable shit and if his side wins, he claims he was pinpoint accurate about the whole write up...if it lose, who gives a fukk, he isnt betting anywhere near the money he claims, if he is betting it at all...

[MexicanStallion]

$550 on Miami +2 -110
$1000 on Miami +115
$100 on Wade OVER 16.5 points +100 (5 dimes line)
$100 on Miami wins by 1-5 (5 dimes) +379
$125 on Danny Green UNDER 10.5 pts -125
$105 on Tony Parker FREE THROWS MADE OVER 4.5 -105 (5 dimes)
$120 on Lebron Rebounds OVER 8.5 -120

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...l#post18902526

June 11th
1-6 (-$1880.00)
*Wade Prop Pending*

NBA Playoff Season
12-22-1 ($572.53)

Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
Spreads: 3-4 ($440.00)
Moneylines: 3-5 ($194.29)
Series Prop: 1-0 ($50.00)
Props: 5-10-1 (-$180.00)
Future: 0-1 (-$200.00)
Halves: 0-1 (-$220.00)

[ChiLLx]

Holy shit down a good 2 grand on this horseshit performance

[ZetaPsi808]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...l#post18902526

June 11th
1-6 (-$1880.00)
*Wade Prop Pending*

NBA Playoff Season
12-22-1 ($572.53)

Alt Spreads: 1-1 ($488.24)
Spreads: 3-4 ($440.00)
Moneylines: 3-5 ($194.29)
Series Prop: 1-0 ($50.00)
Props: 5-10-1 (-$180.00)
Future: 0-1 (-$200.00)
Halves: 0-1 (-$220.00)

[2daBank]

damn goat fukker.. one would think as much as you love heat you would know these guys better, when is the last time they tried before they had too? ill save ya the trouble of a new thread, we know you on heat gm4 and you will hit that one and again proclaim yourself a genius ..just chill on gm5 and wait to hit them again gm 6, if you only took them the gms they won maybe you would be as legendary as you believe you are

[Doc JS]

Guarentee = bucket of warm spit

[pattymayo]

Never question me

[Slammy]

I had to create an account just for this thread. I have been reading sbr for a while and love reading this idiots threads but I have decided to join to just let him know he's a idiot. I think though him and lakerboy are both sbr employees. There is no way someone can be this much of a idiot

[mrfancy]

Goatmilk is easily the biggest clown on this forum. Goes 1/7 which is actually quite good for him then proclaims himself to be a professional capper when in reality the only thing he is a professional clown

[JayLA]

I had to create an account just for this thread. I have been reading sbr for a while and love reading this idiots threads but I have decided to join to just let him know he's a idiot. I think though him and lakerboy are both sbr employees. There is no way someone can be this much of a idiot

they're fkn with everyone. do you really think someone laying thousands of real $ would post picks with actual amounts? and if they did....and kept losing, would they continue to?
At this point, it's blatantly obvious....probably not SBR employees but definitely laughing their ass off at people thinkin they're for real.

[t-wizzle]

Never question this guy. Thanks.

[vividjohn45]

http://www.everything-goat-milk.com/...ke-recipe.html. love this site. " Everything goatmilk. com" couldn't agree more.



here is the GUARANTEED goat milk CREAM PIE shake. recipe don't forget the instant pudding for the right twang.
mmmm mmmm drink up boys.

[JR007]

D-Wade done .......Maurice Coles

[chargers4222]

goat milk....fuckin derelict worthless piece of shit....leave, go away, disappear