LT Profits vs. onthewhat Daily Thread - FINAL Thread

[pico]

only hope is double OT

[onthewhat]

i just wanted a win on ML for my parlay

push or win on spread wwould be gravy

[pico]

ok, loss.

[Chi_archie]

so that means these guys are separated by 1.21 units with one play left each... amazing how entertaining the finish of a 100 play contest can be.... we need more of these to go on...

I challenge the loser... to a biggest loser contest... I know I can lose 20 units in 100 units

[LT Profits]

OK so now it's easy. If I win and you lose, I win. Any other combo, you win. Best thing is I could make a real play instead of a Hail Mary.

Stay Tuned!

[LT Profits]

Name      	W	L	P	Units	Games
onthewhat  	47	50	2	-7.21	99
LT Profits	45	53	1	-8.47	99

[onthewhat]

When are you making a play ace my 100th play will most likely be the Kentucky side or ML on Saturday pending the line since I'm going to game

[LT Profits]

All I know is not tonight. Might be tomorrow.

[Nicky Santoro]

onner, listen to me.. and listen good.. Do NOT make a play till he posts his.. trust me.... you will raise your odds by doing this..

[onthewhat]

ok

[bigboydan]

You got him right where you want him LT. This kid is gonna choke...I just know it.

[onthewhat]

You got him right where you want him LT. This kid is gonna choke...I just know it.

I'm pretty sure he would rather be in my position Danny.

I am the favorite here

[Nicky Santoro]

if onner makes the 1st pick, it's onner -110/-110.. if he waits till LT makes his pick, it's onner -340/+260.. those are the odds.

[bigboydan]

I'm pretty sure he would rather be in my position Danny.

I am the favorite here

That might be sir, but I still say you choke.

[onthewhat]

if onner makes the 1st pick, it's onner -110/-110.. if he waits till LT makes his pick, it's onner -340/+260.. those are the odds.

Could you explain this Nicky

[TPowell]

lol bet the UK ML onner

[onthewhat]

What does that mean

Kentucky is not losing at home rest of year

Fans are pumped up after Louisville game

[Chi_archie]

Kentucky Ml might be about -375 to -550 is there a limit on how big and small your ml plays can be?

[Chi_archie]

nevermind just read the rules -250 limit for fav ml's

might be close...but I think kentucky will be over a -6 fav......

[Nicky Santoro]

Could you explain this Nicky

you can nver take a chance on this guy fading you.. if he does, then he has a 50% chance at beating you.. if he dont fade you, then you have a 75% chance at beating him.. fade means 1 game only.. if he dont fade, then you have 2 cracks at him, you understand? which is 75% for you to win at least 1 of the 2 decisions.

unless he assures you that he won't fade, then do what you want, but you can never rule out a no fade bet.. ask him if he will fade you and if he gives you his word he won't, then bet today if you want. if he dont answer you, then just wait till he puts in his bet..

[TPowell]

lol I hope not, the SEC is pretty shitty but I doubt you guys would beat Arkansas or Tennessee

[onthewhat]

I will just make a play at post time so he can't fade me if I want to make a play before he makes his last one.

[onthewhat]

lol I hope not, the SEC is pretty shitty but I doubt you guys would beat Arkansas or Tennessee

Play Ark on road this year

[Nicky Santoro]

I will just make a play at post time so he can't fade me if I want to make a play before he makes his last one.

perfect.. now you're talking.. if game is 705 pm, put in bet at 704 pm and 59 secs.. then you're ok..

that solves everything. good job..

[Chi_archie]

you can nver take a chance on this guy fading you.. if he does, then he has a 50% chance at beating you.. if he dont fade you, then you have a 75% chance at beating him.. fade means 1 game only.. if he dont fade, then you have 2 cracks at him, you understand? which is 75% for you to win at least 1 of the 2 decisions.

unless he assures you that he won't fade, then do what you want, but you can never rule out a no fade bet.. ask him if he will fade you and if he gives you his word he won't, then bet today if you want. if he dont answer you, then just wait till he puts in his bet..

this actually had to be explained?

[Nicky Santoro]

if onner makes 1 bet and LT fades it, and onner loses it.. then LT gains 2 units on 1 game.. but if they each played their own game, it's now 2 games.. onner to lose, LT to win..

but fading = only 1 game.. so 50% chance of winning for LT because he gains 2 units. not 1 unit..

[LT Profits]

perfect.. now you're talking.. if game is 705 pm, put in bet at 704 pm and 59 secs.. then you're ok..

that solves everything. good job..

Technically, 7:05 and 59 secs would stil be ok. As long as SBR clock reads 7:05, he'd be good.

[onthewhat]

I just thought of something

I could make same play as LT and I would be a lock to win

Not against rules but would be a complete dick move though

[Chi_archie]

then he might make you wait till jan 15th..and you have to sit all day and refresh your screen every minute.... then even if you win... you are a certain LOSER for that day..

[onthewhat]

Nicky should my 100th play be a coin flip -110 side or a ML favorite up to -250?

[pat venditto]

suns ml onner. oh wait

[onthewhat]

you didnt make it u fuk

i made it pal

[onthewhat]

LT if I play Kentucky tomorrow I have to post it early since I am going to game.

Are you going to fade me pal? I didn't tail you when I could have to have guaranteed win. Lets play this out like men.

[Chi_archie]

Nicky should my 100th play be a coin flip -110 side or a ML favorite up to -250?

c'mon Onner I know you can figure this stuff out for yourself...

why would you play a -250 ml..... that gives LT some more outs..

he can still lose or push and if you lose a -250 ml he can still win...


don't get all nervous and choke here... find your best play of the day and play it. don't tell LT what you are playing ahead of time... don't play Kentucky just because you are a fan? you don't even know the spread yet. AND you've told him how and when to fade you.


you won't be able to play Kentucky on the ML if the limit is -250 anyways.... kentucky will be most likely be -290 to -330

spread should be -8 -11

[onthewhat]

If spread is that high I'm not playing them regardless