All NBA Underdogs covered today, which means the Lakers -11 will cover

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  • frostno98
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-11-07
    • 9769

    #1
    All NBA Underdogs covered today, which means the Lakers -11 will cover
    I'm taking the Lakers at -11 because Portland is a bad team without Roy, and the chances of all six underdogs covering in one day is rare. It's even rare on the Thursday games, where there's usually only 3-2 NBA games. It's always two fav's, one dog, viceversa.
  • rjt721
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-06-07
    • 7929

    #2
    You can't possibly think there's a correlation between the results of the early games and tonight's game, can you? If so, I've once again underestimated how stupid some of the posters at SBR can be.
    Comment
    • frostno98
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-11-07
      • 9769

      #3
      Originally posted by rjt721
      You can't possibly think there's a correlation between the results of the early games and tonight's game, can you? If so, I've once again underestimated how stupid some of the posters at SBR can be.

      Thanks, I guess that's means I'm stupid

      Lakers -11
      Comment
      • InTheHole
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-28-08
        • 15243

        #4
        So if you won 20 straight wagers would you ever bet again?
        Comment
        • pico
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-05-07
          • 27321

          #5
          if lakers don't cover, then it is a underdog day. celtics lost straight up...i hope tsoporano didn't really bet that much
          Comment
          • InTheHole
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-28-08
            • 15243

            #6
            ^ yes he did I'll bet you he did.
            Comment
            • InTheHole
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-28-08
              • 15243

              #7
              You think he would have learned when that posted bet on that college football game @ -1800
              Comment
              • frostno98
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-11-07
                • 9769

                #8
                Originally posted by pico
                if lakers don't cover, then it is a underdog day. celtics lost straight up...i hope tsoporano didn't really bet that much
                You know he did. The guy might post up alot winners, but I bet you he donates a huge chunk of it right back with one bad bet. Like that knicks game.
                Comment
                • pimike
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 03-23-08
                  • 37140

                  #9
                  Originally posted by rjt721
                  You can't possibly think there's a correlation between the results of the early games and tonight's game, can you? If so, I've once again underestimated how stupid some of the posters at SBR can be.
                  I think he is trying to say the odds on 1 fav winning are hight, therefore he is right in his thinking this time.


                  He just doesn't get the Chargers cause he is so depressed over Denver.


                  I agree buddy Go Lakers They win they will have the best record
                  Comment
                  • rjt721
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-06-07
                    • 7929

                    #10
                    Originally posted by pimike
                    I think he is trying to say the odds on 1 fav winning are hight, therefore he is right in his thinking this time.
                    No, he's not right. The outcome of the other 5 NBA games on the schedule has NOTHING to do with tonight's Blazers/Lakers game. Conversely, if the 5 favorites had covered, it wouldn't make the Blazers any more (or less) likely to cover. This is misguided logic at its finest.
                    Comment
                    • InTheHole
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-28-08
                      • 15243

                      #11
                      If every game is 50-50% (I don't necessarily believe that) then the chance of Portland covering is 50-50%. Case and Point NFL's Detroit Cubs....Would you bet +2000 that a team will go 0-16 next year in the NFL?
                      Comment
                      • InTheHole
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-28-08
                        • 15243

                        #12
                        More over...would the Detroit Moneyline in week 14 or 15, etc be a good bet...hell no! Yet the percentages say it would be because teams usually don't lose every game.
                        Comment
                        • pimike
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-23-08
                          • 37140

                          #13
                          Originally posted by rjt721
                          No, he's not right. The outcome of the other 5 NBA games on the schedule has NOTHING to do with tonight's Blazers/Lakers game. Conversely, if the 5 favorites had covered, it wouldn't make the Blazers any more (or less) likely to cover. This is misguided logic at its finest.
                          If you have a number of games cover you will have a certain number not cover. It just the way it is.


                          How manny times have you seen a SLATE, not a couple a slate of teams all cover or not. Vary rare, that is why he has a good reason for thinking along these lines.
                          Comment
                          • InTheHole
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-28-08
                            • 15243

                            #14
                            ^ but 5 teams not covering isn't sufficient enough a trend to gamble on. Like I said if you won 5 straight in one day would you not gamble for the rest of the day? What if this game was the first one being played today and you had the reverse scenario with the Lakers playing Golden State as the last game? Would you put your money on GS?
                            Comment
                            • Vesuvius
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-19-08
                              • 3886

                              #15
                              Originally posted by rjt721
                              No, he's not right. The outcome of the other 5 NBA games on the schedule has NOTHING to do with tonight's Blazers/Lakers game. Conversely, if the 5 favorites had covered, it wouldn't make the Blazers any more (or less) likely to cover. This is misguided logic at its finest.
                              I'm with rjt here. I understand where others are coming from but technically speaking, there is a 50% chance all underdogs will cover tonight, and a 50% chance only 5 will cover and 1 won't, (Portland).
                              Comment
                              • pimike
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 03-23-08
                                • 37140

                                #16
                                Originally posted by InTheHole
                                ^ but 5 teams not covering isn't sufficient enough a trend to gamble on. Like I said if you won 5 straight in one day would you not gamble for the rest of the day? What if this game was the first one being played today and you had the reverse scenario with the Lakers playing Golden State as the last game? Would you put your money on GS?
                                I think five games is enough, especially for the ML
                                Comment
                                • InTheHole
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-28-08
                                  • 15243

                                  #17
                                  ML would not be 50-50....I thought we were talking about a 11 point spread against a good team.
                                  Comment
                                  • pimike
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-23-08
                                    • 37140

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by InTheHole
                                    ML would not be 50-50....I thought we were talking about a 11 point spread against a good team.
                                    I love your avatar. To be honest I'm not sure what he is talking about, and I'm not sure he does
                                    Comment
                                    • frostno98
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-11-07
                                      • 9769

                                      #19
                                      I'm taking the Lakers halftime, if they go into half losing. Will be the easiest bet ever. The Sportsgambling Gods won't allow all fav's to lose today.
                                      Comment
                                      • pimike
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 03-23-08
                                        • 37140

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by frostno98
                                        I'm taking the Lakers halftime, if they go into half losing. Will be the easiest bet ever. The Sportsgambling Gods won't allow all fav's to lose today.


                                        I agree Frost, but I wont take 11 if there down 2nd half, unless ther down 7 or more
                                        Comment
                                        • pimike
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 03-23-08
                                          • 37140

                                          #21
                                          Watching the Lakers game and these guys are talking about all the dogs winning today and the wo fav in football



                                          Comment
                                          • pokernut9999
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-25-07
                                            • 12757

                                            #22
                                            No way Lakers cover 11 after this start.
                                            Comment
                                            • pico
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 04-05-07
                                              • 27321

                                              #23
                                              favs are taking a break on sunday
                                              Comment
                                              • frostno98
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-11-07
                                                • 9769

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by pokernut9999
                                                No way Lakers cover 11 after this start.
                                                I seen many Lakers games where they were down and still comes back and win big. I think it's better for them to not be up anyways. They nearly blew a 26 point against Utah and barely cover at the end by 10.5. The same will happen here.
                                                Comment
                                                • pimike
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 03-23-08
                                                  • 37140

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by frostno98
                                                  I seen many Lakers games where they were down and still comes back and win big. I think it's better for them to not be up anyways. They nearly blew a 26 point against Utah and barely cover at the end by 10.5. The same will happen here.
                                                  True statement.
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                                                  • pico
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 04-05-07
                                                    • 27321

                                                    #26
                                                    again, you guys making calls before the half. scores in nba doesn't mean anything until 4th q...actually game are usually decided by the last 2 min
                                                    Comment
                                                    • yisman
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 09-01-08
                                                      • 75682

                                                      #27
                                                      Lakers may cover, but it has no correlation with the rest of the games.
                                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                      [/quote]

                                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pokernut9999
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 07-25-07
                                                        • 12757

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by pico
                                                        again, you guys making calls before the half. scores in nba doesn't mean anything until 4th q...actually game are usually decided by the last 2 min

                                                        Wait and see


                                                        do not question my foresight sir
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pimike
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 03-23-08
                                                          • 37140

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by pokernut9999
                                                          No way Lakers cover 11 after this start.
                                                          What you think now? I hope they do cover
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pokernut9999
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-25-07
                                                            • 12757

                                                            #30
                                                            Hope they cover the 7.5 2nd half
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pimike
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 03-23-08
                                                              • 37140

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by pokernut9999
                                                              Hope they cover the 7.5 2nd half
                                                              So far so good
                                                              Comment
                                                              • frostno98
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-11-07
                                                                • 9769

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by rjt721
                                                                You can't possibly think there's a correlation between the results of the early games and tonight's game, can you? If so, I've once again underestimated how stupid some of the posters at SBR can be.
                                                                Einstein's "Theory of Relativity" holds true today. Looks like a genius call on my part Woohoo!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • The Seer
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-29-07
                                                                  • 10641

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I believe in the law of averages as well, nice call,seen it too many times. I got on em 2nd half
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pimike
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 03-23-08
                                                                    • 37140

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by The Seer
                                                                    I believe in the law of averages as well, nice call,seen it too many times. I got on em 2nd half
                                                                    Comment
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