How to cap games? Help! Please

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  • wizcodlifa
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-10-12
    • 921

    #1
    How to cap games? Help! Please
    I was wondering if anyone could help me with how to successfully cap games? this can be in any sport.

    just would love to have some people tell me. whether they have some sort of statistical equation, a simulator. or anything else.

    ALL HELP IS GREATL APPRECIATED!
  • tony_come
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-31-10
    • 21695

    #2
    Not here
    Comment
    • wizcodlifa
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-10-12
      • 921

      #3
      Originally posted by tony_come
      Not here
      where do i post this then?
      Comment
      • tony_come
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-31-10
        • 21695

        #4
        You can post here

        How to cap games?

        Answer not here
        Comment
        • Louisvillekid1
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-17-07
          • 52143

          #5
          Comment
          • GunShard
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-05-10
            • 10031

            #6
            I have been sports gambling since 2009, my personal rules on sports gambling:


            1. Money management. Bet less than 5% of your total current bankroll per bet. Be discipline.
            2. Be a strategic gambler by picking your spots and wait for the right opportunity.
            Never be an emotional compulsive gambler by betting because it's your favorite team or for the action or bet against a team because you hate a certain player.
            3. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession. Be unbiased.
            4. Do your research by watching game footage, trends and statistics should be used on division rivals only.
            Don't judge a team based on what they did in their previous game.
            5. Never bet on heavily juiced/vig lines. Like a line at -1000 for example.
            6. Never bet on heavily valued lines. Like a terrible team at 100 to 1 odds to win championship.
            7. Parlays should be no longer than 2 teams, the bigger the parlay is, the greater the House Edge. Research and Secure your first pick before moving on to your second pick.

            8. Teasers should never pass through the zero.

            9. Teams with home field/court advantage tend to win games. Sportsbooks know this and favorites the home team.
            "Whoever is first in the field and awaits the coming of the enemy, will be fresh for the fight;
            whoever is second in the field and has to hasten to battle will arrive exhausted." -Sun Tzu, the Art of War
            10. Never bet on double digit road favorites. You will lose in the long run.
            11. Never bet on preseason games on any sport. Predicting a 2nd string and 3rd string team is stupid because of the lack of game footage on mostly unknown players.
            12. If you are extremely compulsive, arrogant, drunk and biased. The best advice is to "Don't Gamble".
            13. Learn from your mistakes. Most gamblers don't learn from their mistakes. That's why I made these gambling rules.
            Comment
            • Louisvillekid1
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-17-07
              • 52143

              #7
              Originally posted by GunShard
              I have been sports gambling since 2009, my personal rules on sports gambling:


              1. Money management. Bet less than 5% of your total current bankroll per bet. Be discipline.
              2. Be a strategic gambler by picking your spots and wait for the right opportunity.
              Never be an emotional compulsive gambler by betting because it's your favorite team or for the action or bet against a team because you hate a certain player.
              3. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession. Be unbiased.
              4. Do your research by watching game footage, trends and statistics should be used on division rivals only.
              5. Never bet on heavily juiced/vig lines. Like a line at -1000 for example.
              6. Never bet on heavily valued lines. Like a terrible team at 100 to 1 odds to win championship.
              7. Parlays should be no longer than 2 teams, the bigger the parlay is, the bigger the House Edge. Research and Secure your first pick before moving on to your second pick.

              8. Teasers should never pass through the zero.

              9. Teams with home field/court advantage tend to win games. Sportsbooks know this and favorites the home team.
              "Whoever is first in the field and awaits the coming of the enemy, will be fresh for the fight;
              whoever is second in the field and has to hasten to battle will arrive exhausted." -Sun Tzu, the Art of War
              10. Never bet on double digit road favorites. You will lose in the long run.
              11. Never bet on preseason games on any sport. Predicting a 2nd string and 3rd string team is stupid because of the lack of game footage on mostly unknown players.
              12. If you are extremely compulsive, arrogant, drunk and biased. The best advice is to "Don't Gamble".
              13. Learn from your mistakes. Most gamblers don't learn from their mistakes. That's why I made these gambling rules.
              I should of read these rules 20 years ago, unreal...
              Comment
              • tto827
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-01-12
                • 9078

                #8
                I usually flip a coin

                Heads is the home team works better than tails is the home team, at least from my experience
                Comment
                • GunShard
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-05-10
                  • 10031

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                  I should of read these rules 20 years ago, unreal...
                  lol
                  Comment
                  • seaborneq
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-08-06
                    • 22556

                    #10
                    Know that in all of your infinite wisdom that you have no control over the outcome.
                    Linesmakers are not concerned about the outcome only balancing the books. While the outcome is all that YOU are concerned about.
                    If it looks to good to be true, it probably is. EX: UW Huskies were getting 32-34 points against UM Hurricanes in Coral Gables. Looked like a no brainer to me. Offensive genius Neuhisel lost 50-0.
                    All bets seem like good bets until the games are played.
                    It's best to be lucky than good, unlike the actual players playing the games, the players have spent 10000 hours on their craft, you might spend one hour on this hobby....................for the week.
                    Once or maybe twice a month you will have a slight edge, you better win those, especially on the college football level, so many games, only so much time, NFL lines will be the sharpest .
                    You will never have as much statistical information, time, or insight as the linesmakers, don't put too much in why you lost, but learn from the losses and remember why you didn't win in certain situations.
                    And last but not least. Parlays and Props will kill you, only spend less than 10% of your bankroll on those.
                    In a nice way, you won't win in the short run or long run, if you don't believe me, take a visit to the las vegas strip.

                    Good luck
                    Comment
                    • Big Bear
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 11-01-11
                      • 43253

                      #11
                      Originally posted by GunShard
                      I have been sports gambling since 2009, my personal rules on sports gambling:


                      1. Money management. Bet less than 5% of your total current bankroll per bet. Be discipline.
                      2. Be a strategic gambler by picking your spots and wait for the right opportunity.
                      Never be an emotional compulsive gambler by betting because it's your favorite team or for the action or bet against a team because you hate a certain player.
                      3. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession. Be unbiased.
                      4. Do your research by watching game footage, trends and statistics should be used on division rivals only.
                      Don't judge a team based on what they did in their previous game.
                      5. Never bet on heavily juiced/vig lines. Like a line at -1000 for example.
                      6. Never bet on heavily valued lines. Like a terrible team at 100 to 1 odds to win championship.
                      7. Parlays should be no longer than 2 teams, the bigger the parlay is, the greater the House Edge. Research and Secure your first pick before moving on to your second pick.

                      8. Teasers should never pass through the zero.

                      9. Teams with home field/court advantage tend to win games. Sportsbooks know this and favorites the home team.
                      "Whoever is first in the field and awaits the coming of the enemy, will be fresh for the fight;
                      whoever is second in the field and has to hasten to battle will arrive exhausted." -Sun Tzu, the Art of War
                      10. Never bet on double digit road favorites. You will lose in the long run.
                      11. Never bet on preseason games on any sport. Predicting a 2nd string and 3rd string team is stupid because of the lack of game footage on mostly unknown players.
                      12. If you are extremely compulsive, arrogant, drunk and biased. The best advice is to "Don't Gamble".
                      13. Learn from your mistakes. Most gamblers don't learn from their mistakes. That's why I made these gambling rules.
                      good post pal
                      Comment
                      • CarpeDime
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-01-09
                        • 7873

                        #12
                        Originally posted by tto827
                        I usually flip a coin

                        Heads is the home team works better than tails is the home team, at least from my experience
                        Comment
                        • phillybadboy
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-11-09
                          • 9383

                          #13
                          do you have quarter?
                          Comment
                          • Big Bear
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-01-11
                            • 43253

                            #14
                            Ask Big Deemer aka soy sauce
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              Comment
                              • GunShard
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-05-10
                                • 10031

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Big Bear
                                good post pal
                                Thanks.
                                Comment
                                • wizcodlifa
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-10-12
                                  • 921

                                  #17
                                  thanks for the help. anyone have any more??

                                  thank you
                                  Comment
                                  • Ghenghis Kahn
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 19734

                                    #18
                                    if you have to ask this question, no need to cap games and waste your time.

                                    here's a little secret, whatever you really like, just bet the opposite...

                                    thank me later. gl
                                    Comment
                                    • wizcodlifa
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-10-12
                                      • 921

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                      if you have to ask this question, no need to cap games and waste your time.

                                      here's a little secret, whatever you really like, just bet the opposite...

                                      thank me later. gl
                                      this is just complete stupidity. there is learning..
                                      Comment
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