Brewers (Peralta) -102 over Cardinals (Westbrook) my play tonight

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65700

    #1
    Brewers (Peralta) -102 over Cardinals (Westbrook) my play tonight
    I can hear some of you in SBR nation right now...

    "Nashy, your'e fading Westbrook against Peralta? Nashy, you get into the sour mash already dude?"

    I hate to throw the words "sqaure" or, "public" around too much, but after doing the homework, Brews eat Westbrook up for dinner, and even though no doubt Westbrook is the better pitcher, the (I hate this word, but it applies) the 'squares are going to look at Westbrook's 0.98 ERA, and 1.37 WH/IP ratio, pick up the phone, call Buzzy the local bookie, and say "Gimme the Cards, 20 times tonight"
    And get barreled in.
    Seen it 1000 times.

    Here's a big reason why Wily Peralty, at home, is a pick 'em

    MILWAUKEE BREWERS CAREER STATISTICS VS. JAKE WESTBROOK
    BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
    Norichika Aoki 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .250 .000 .250
    Yuniesky Betancourt 22 8 2 1 0 2 0 1 .364 .364 .545 .909
    Jeff Bianchi 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .500 .000 .500
    Ryan Braun 19 10 0 1 1 3 2 2 .526 .571 .789 1.361
    Mat Gamel 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
    Carlos Gomez 5 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 .200 .200 .200 .400
    Alex Gonzalez 18 7 2 0 0 0 3 2 .389 .500 .500 1.000
    Taylor Green 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 .500 .500 .750 1.250
    Corey Hart 19 6 1 0 2 4 3 2 .316 .409 .684 1.093
    Jonathan Lucroy 10 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 .300 .300 .300 .600
    Aramis Ramirez 12 7 2 0 0 4 3 0 .583 .625 .750 1.375
    Rickie Weeks 16 3 0 0 1 1 0 4 .188 .188 .375 .563
    Totals 132 47 8 2 4 16 13 14 .356 .415 .538 .953

    This is not a 15 at bat, 1 game cross section, this is a huge 132 AB cross section.
    Brews mash Westbrook on a regular basis. Especially at home.
    The slap hitters in the line up smack Westbrook, big boy Braun smacks Westbrook, they all do.

    Break it down further, Westbrook, away from St. Louis, is pretty much an average pitcher.

    Peralta has won his last 3 starts, despite giving up 3 run in his last against a good LA line up, was good.
    (3 runs, 6 hits, 1 walk)

    This is a spot play, if this game is in St. Louis, I pass, but it's not, I really, really think, at home, Brews continue to hurt Westy, Peralta keeps the Cards to 3 or under, and win in rather easily fashion tonight.

    Like the Brews, at home, at pickem, a lot tonight.
  • tto827
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-01-12
    • 9078

    #2
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      I like this play nasher. I was just going to add it to my card.

      Good luck.
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        What he said.
        Comment
        • tatddy
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-02-10
          • 10779

          #5
          Haha who the hell is saying "you're fading Westbrook?". Westbrook stinks bro. Career 1.4 whip guy tossing in Mil.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by tatddy
            Haha who the hell is saying "you're fading Westbrook?". Westbrook stinks bro. Career 1.4 whip guy tossing in Mil.
            It's because of his anomalistic stats so far this year.
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 65700

              #7
              Originally posted by tatddy
              Haha who the hell is saying "you're fading Westbrook?". Westbrook stinks bro. Career 1.4 whip guy tossing in Mil.
              He's brutal there
              Comment
              • tatddy
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-02-10
                • 10779

                #8
                I have no play on the game and I hate totals but I really want to bet the overs. GL with your play.
                Comment
                • You mad bro
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-15-12
                  • 16641

                  #9
                  just dont like the fact how peralta sucked vs san fran and col at home .... but ill prob play it hoping they win in a slugfest
                  Comment
                  • You mad bro
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-15-12
                    • 16641

                    #10
                    vs milwaukee for a career
                    G GS W L SV BS HLD CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP BAA
                    8 8 2 4 0 0 0 0 0 50.0 55 20 17 5 13 31 3.06 1.36 .288

                    and at miller park for a career
                    G GS W L SV BS HLD CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP BAA
                    5 5 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 30.0 31 13 10 4 7 15 3.00 1.27 .272

                    looking at these stats and how he really isnt that bad vs them for a career is making me wonder why mil is only a pk here .. these are just stats i found on yahoo but its nothing to make me wanna play stl here also ... still lookin into the over
                    Comment
                    • Jago2008
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-18-11
                      • 3047

                      #11
                      Nice write-up

                      Ironic, on a personal note I remember the last time I bet against Westbrook in Mil. :http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=18665081

                      But GL to u Nash, Brewers have 26 HRs at home leading the NL.
                      Comment
                      • Ratpack
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-15-12
                        • 4133

                        #12
                        cards here you got to take how bad brewers bullpen is here if the cards can get to their bullpen they blow this wide open
                        Comment
                        • rumple
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-19-07
                          • 2499

                          #13
                          Thanks for the garbage pick, just brutal.
                          Comment
                          • Ratpack
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-15-12
                            • 4133

                            #14
                            sorry nash tried to tell ya maybe next time
                            Comment
                            • BennyBigNuts
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-16-12
                              • 8700

                              #15
                              We both got buried on this game together Nasher. I'm ice cold last 2 days 0-3 now. Fk the brewers.
                              Comment
                              • NardVa
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-02-07
                                • 8325

                                #16
                                Well the game is basically over...6-0..
                                Comment
                                • NardVa
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-02-07
                                  • 8325

                                  #17
                                  Brewers have been awful these last 2 games.
                                  Comment
                                  • stevenash
                                    Moderator
                                    • 01-17-11
                                    • 65700

                                    #18
                                    ^
                                    Doneski

                                    When I am wrong, I am wrong.
                                    I was wrong.

                                    We'll get it back Friday.

                                    Peace all
                                    Comment
                                    • Mikeyanks23
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-30-10
                                      • 4517

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by rumple
                                      Thanks for the garbage pick, just brutal.

                                      cap your own games

                                      Comment
                                      • stevenash
                                        Moderator
                                        • 01-17-11
                                        • 65700

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by rumple
                                        Thanks for the garbage pick, just brutal.
                                        Dude, I've been turning a major profit on these boards for the last 2 years now. Documented!
                                        I'm not going to win every wager. I'll lose some.

                                        Thanks for the garbage post by the way
                                        Comment
                                        • downsouth
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-13-11
                                          • 11580

                                          #21
                                          At least its done early. I had them as well.
                                          Comment
                                          • Ghenghis Kahn
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 19734

                                            #22
                                            i had milwacky 1st 5.

                                            at least it wasn't a sweat.

                                            oh well we move on...
                                            Comment
                                            • Ghenghis Kahn
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-02-12
                                              • 19734

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by stevenash
                                              Dude, I've been turning a major profit on these boards for the last 2 years now. Documented!
                                              I'm not going to win every wager. I'll lose some.

                                              Thanks for the garbage post by the way
                                              no need to explain to the clueless.
                                              Comment
                                              • samgurt
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-31-10
                                                • 2980

                                                #24
                                                Pretty unlucky honestly....all with 2 outs.

                                                3 bloop singles, 2 plays at the plate that were extremely close. Coulda gotten outta the inning with 0 runs
                                                Comment
                                                • TankHankerous
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-22-12
                                                  • 2088

                                                  #25
                                                  Stop whining and put on your rally caps. There's no crying in baseball.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BennyBigNuts
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-16-12
                                                    • 8700

                                                    #26
                                                    I gotta think me and you on the same game is gonna be 70% most times in MLB Nasher. I'm gonna chase my loss here with the Orioles over Blanton right now. He's so bad
                                                    Ill take the plus money even though Tillman isn't that great either.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • tatddy
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-02-10
                                                      • 10779

                                                      #27
                                                      Total fukking coinflip like I thought. Wish I trusted my gut and hit the over.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • vikingfan101
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 02-04-12
                                                        • 475

                                                        #28
                                                        Bad beat on the Crew. Cardinals has no XBH and 2 in the 6 run inning were bloop lame duck hits on broken bats. Tough break tonight.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BennyBigNuts
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-16-12
                                                          • 8700

                                                          #29
                                                          Nash clean your inbox out brah. Won't let me send you a PM cuz it's full.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • tavesims
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 09-30-09
                                                            • 113

                                                            #30
                                                            0-3 you counting brewers, marlins FF and then brewers again? I didn't see your 2nd brewers play or did I?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JayLA
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-11-12
                                                              • 7806

                                                              #31
                                                              Nash sharper than most on SBR, these haters i swear.....it's annoyin.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DiamondBack
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 05-16-12
                                                                • 84

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by JayLA
                                                                Nash sharper than most on SBR, these haters i swear.....it's annoyin.
                                                                +1

                                                                Always read what Steve has to say.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ShivaBowl
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-09-10
                                                                  • 5133

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                  Dude, I've been turning a major profit on these boards for the last 2 years now. Documented!
                                                                  I'm not going to win every wager. I'll lose some.

                                                                  Thanks for the garbage post by the way
                                                                  You and I have on finish business so let's get it over with. You once call me a loser.
                                                                  Just don't do it again and don't ignore my PMs.
                                                                  Have a little respect for us long time posters.
                                                                  gl
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • stevenash
                                                                    Moderator
                                                                    • 01-17-11
                                                                    • 65700

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by ShivaBowl
                                                                    You and I have on finish business so let's get it over with. You once call me a loser.
                                                                    Get over it.
                                                                    Have a nice weekend

                                                                    You can have the last word in this thread brah.
                                                                    Make it good.
                                                                    Comment
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