Anybody have Early PP's for Derby?

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  • James D
    SBR MVP
    • 01-03-13
    • 2040

    #36
    Post position is SO important in a 20 horse race I do not even consider handicapping the race till the post positions come out
    Comment
    • EmpireMaker
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 06-18-09
      • 15601

      #37
      Giant Finish is going to run and Carver wants to also
      Comment
      • Jayvegas420
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 03-09-11
        • 28229

        #38
        I'm confused about Bafferts horses?
        Comment
        • Easy-Rider 66
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-14-12
          • 36895

          #39
          Originally posted by Jayvegas420
          I'm confused about Bafferts horses?
          Nothing to be confused about. They are not running.
          Comment
          • Jayvegas420
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 03-09-11
            • 28229

            #40
            ahh...
            Got it.

            And orb or verrazano should be ML Favourites?
            Comment
            • Easy-Rider 66
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-14-12
              • 36895

              #41
              Originally posted by Jayvegas420
              ahh...
              Got it.

              And orb or verrazano should be ML Favourites?
              Saw Mike Battaglia (KY Derby Odds maker) say today that one of those 2 horses will be his ML Favorite.
              Comment
              • James D
                SBR MVP
                • 01-03-13
                • 2040

                #42
                Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                ahh...
                Got it.

                And orb or verrazano should be ML Favourites?

                Post positions get decided at 5pm ET today and then odds will be posted after. Like I said before post position is HUGE factor to some horses so any odds posted before are not accurate
                Comment
                • nvrlose37
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-01-12
                  • 2730

                  #43
                  Keep in mind that the #1 silk is basically a death sentence. In 11 years, only two horses have even gotten 4th from it and the one horse broke from pp3 that year.
                  Comment
                  • Louisvillekid1
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-17-07
                    • 52143

                    #44
                    Comment
                    • James D
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-03-13
                      • 2040

                      #45
                      Originally posted by nvrlose37
                      Keep in mind that the #1 silk is basically a death sentence. In 11 years, only two horses have even gotten 4th from it and the one horse broke from pp3 that year.

                      This is not true. In the history of the derby the one post has the most victories. It all depends on a horses style. The worst spots are way outside. Bleacher report did a power ranking of post positions and post 1 ranked sixth.

                      Kentucky Derby 2013 Post Positions: Power Ranking the Best Slottings to Have | Bleacher Report
                      Comment
                      • Broncos
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-17-12
                        • 862

                        #46
                        Goldencents is worth a look. Tremendous speed. What is the weather forecast for Saturday?
                        Comment
                        • BGboothA
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-07-08
                          • 4202

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Broncos
                          Goldencents is worth a look. Tremendous speed. What is the weather forecast for Saturday?
                          Looking better now, but still 40% chance of rain last I saw....
                          Comment
                          • BGboothA
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-07-08
                            • 4202

                            #48
                            Originally posted by James D
                            This is not true. In the history of the derby the one post has the most victories. It all depends on a horses style. The worst spots are way outside. Bleacher report did a power ranking of post positions and post 1 ranked sixth.

                            Kentucky Derby 2013 Post Positions: Power Ranking the Best Slottings to Have | Bleacher Report

                            1 and 2 are death....yes, your historical argument is correct, but you have to remember for 100 years there wasn't close to 20 horses in the race. As it stands now, the 1 has to actually break into the field and move outside into a wall of 19 horses to make the rail.
                            Comment
                            • mikemca
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-10-10
                              • 10047

                              #49
                              Originally posted by James D
                              This is not true. In the history of the derby the one post has the most victories. It all depends on a horses style. The worst spots are way outside. Bleacher report did a power ranking of post positions and post 1 ranked sixth.

                              Kentucky Derby 2013 Post Positions: Power Ranking the Best Slottings to Have | Bleacher Report

                              Bleacher Report is OK when it comes to some sports but after looking at their info for the Derby not so much when it comes to Horse Racing.

                              Post 1 and 2 are the worst posts.Pretty sure all the wins came before they added the aux gate and they didn't have to run straight into the rail.
                              Comment
                              • nvrlose37
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-01-12
                                • 2730

                                #50
                                Originally posted by BGboothA
                                1 and 2 are death....yes, your historical argument is correct, but you have to remember for 100 years there wasn't close to 20 horses in the race. As it stands now, the 1 has to actually break into the field and move outside into a wall of 19 horses to make the rail.
                                This. Five horse fields without a gate made the #1 a great post.
                                Comment
                                • floridagolfer
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-19-08
                                  • 2762

                                  #51
                                  So, back to the original question . . . can we get someone to post the DRF PPs? Thanks!
                                  Comment
                                  • mikemca
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-10-10
                                    • 10047

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by floridagolfer
                                    So, back to the original question . . . can we get someone to post the DRF PPs? Thanks!


                                    Comment
                                    • EmpireMaker
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 06-18-09
                                      • 15601

                                      #53
                                      http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_vi...ate=2013-05-04 derby
                                      http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_vi...ate=2013-05-03 oaks
                                      Comment
                                      • EmpireMaker
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 06-18-09
                                        • 15601

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                                        ahh...
                                        Got it.

                                        And orb or verrazano should be ML Favourites?
                                        They will be the favorites, not sure if they should.
                                        Comment
                                        • Slimpickens
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-28-12
                                          • 2030

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by BGboothA
                                          Looking better now, but still 40% chance of rain last I saw....
                                          70% chance this morning.
                                          Comment
                                          • BGboothA
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-07-08
                                            • 4202

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by Slimpickens
                                            70% chance this morning.
                                            Yeah and now tomorrow looks wet too! COuld be an ugly one...

                                            Going to have to handicap all these damn races twice! LOL
                                            Comment
                                            • DMBcardinal
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 01-20-08
                                              • 218

                                              #57
                                              Thanks for posting those Empire. I'm about a mile from the track as we speak. Wish I was a better capper with derby but it's such a hard race to pick. That being said, there will be tremendous value out there Saturday. I can't ignore Borel in the 3 spot. Pitino horse is legit and hey Rick has been on a hell of a run, can he now win a derby? Overanalyze sounds like a derby winner......

                                              I'll be interested to see everyone's input and thoughts. Let's keep this thread going. Daddy needs to fatten his Bovada account
                                              Comment
                                              • Louisvillekid1
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-17-07
                                                • 52143

                                                #58
                                                I like Overanalyze as my top pick right now. Also boxing him with the 3, 10, & 19...
                                                Comment
                                                • Louisvillekid1
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-17-07
                                                  • 52143

                                                  #59
                                                  Do have these w/ a different file? I can't open these on my mac for whatever reason...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DMBcardinal
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 01-20-08
                                                    • 218

                                                    #60
                                                    Drop me a message and I'll email them to ya in the morning Kid. They are "read only" files but I think I got them to save to my desktop.
                                                    Comment
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