Betting on a bad team in the first half of the game after they're coming off a win as a dog when playing against a superior team (heavy favorited team) the 2nd night of a back to back...
For example tonight I bet the T wolves first half +5 after they beat the knicks as 6.5pt dogs last night... They were up 2 to the magic at the half tonight. I then turn around and bet the magic -7.5 for the 2h shortening the spread from -9.5 to -5.5 for the game... Magic blow them out in the 2nd...
My thoughts behind it working so well (not statistically proven but I've had success) are that the team carries the emotion of their victory over into the first half of the next game the next night but tires during the second leading the superior team to pull away...
I haven't really looked at all of the factors behind following such a trend or idea but as the season goes on I'll look to develop a more in depth system around such an idea...
I'm sure a lot here already have picked up on this common sense strategy but I figured I'd throw it out there if it hasn't been discussed/thought of...
For example tonight I bet the T wolves first half +5 after they beat the knicks as 6.5pt dogs last night... They were up 2 to the magic at the half tonight. I then turn around and bet the magic -7.5 for the 2h shortening the spread from -9.5 to -5.5 for the game... Magic blow them out in the 2nd...
My thoughts behind it working so well (not statistically proven but I've had success) are that the team carries the emotion of their victory over into the first half of the next game the next night but tires during the second leading the superior team to pull away...
I haven't really looked at all of the factors behind following such a trend or idea but as the season goes on I'll look to develop a more in depth system around such an idea...
I'm sure a lot here already have picked up on this common sense strategy but I figured I'd throw it out there if it hasn't been discussed/thought of...