Should I hedge, middle, or leave it alone?

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  • seaborneq
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-08-06
    • 22556

    #1
    Should I hedge, middle, or leave it alone?
    Dec 10 7:29pm 4 Team Parlay - Pending 50.00 to win 550.00
    1. Football - Wake Forest - moneyline (-140)
    for the entire game held on Dec 20 at 11:00am [winner]
    2. Football - Boise State - spread +2½ (-110)
    for the entire game held on Dec 23 at 8:00pm [winner]
    3. Football - West Virginia - spread pk (-110)
    for the entire game held on Dec 27 at 1:00pm [winner]
    4. Football - Tulsa - spread +2½ (-110)
    for the entire game held on Jan 6 at 8:00pm [pending]
    Return Wagered: 325.00 Result: 0.00

    Feedback. I have plenty of time to make a choice. Thanks.
  • blackNgoldjuice
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-25-08
    • 529

    #2
    Hedge it. Should of bought the hook on Tulsa
    Comment
    • seaborneq
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-08-06
      • 22556

      #3
      I don't buy points, hooks, or hookers. I play it one side or the other. You live by the hook, you die by the hook.
      Comment
      • seaborneq
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-08-06
        • 22556

        #4
        Feedback please.
        Comment
        • Fiasco
          SBR MVP
          • 11-02-08
          • 2406

          #5
          I'd at least hedge to get my money back
          Comment
          • mmike032
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-11-08
            • 8905

            #6
            I would hedge but its your decision

            either guarenteed $ or sweat out the Tulsa game for more money
            Comment
            • Tsoprano
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-14-08
              • 26374

              #7
              Always guarantee yourself something.

              Gambling should be treated as an investment.
              Comment
              • seaborneq
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-08-06
                • 22556

                #8
                I've been thinking that a 100 beat on Ball State -3 would be the perfect wager. That way if the hook catches me I would get my money back with a push, that is if it is a 3 point game which would crush my wager anyway.
                Comment
                • seaborneq
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-08-06
                  • 22556

                  #9
                  I see it is down to Ball State -1.5 right now. So I have to rethink my stratagy. I am now thinking middling this wager.
                  Comment
                  • fiveteamer
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 04-14-08
                    • 10805

                    #10
                    sure ya did guy.
                    Comment
                    • fiveteamer
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-14-08
                      • 10805

                      #11
                      nice ticket.

                      I like Ball State, so that means you are a winner.
                      Comment
                      • seaborneq
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 09-08-06
                        • 22556

                        #12
                        Originally posted by fiveteamer
                        nice ticket.

                        I like Ball State, so that means you are a winner.

                        Nice ticket? Think about it. Either of the first three games could have gone either way. I really mean either way. I watched all three and all were nailbiters. Which is why I would not be surprised to see it come down to the last play in the BSU-TU game. I don't feel good not doing anything.
                        Comment
                        • frostno98
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-11-07
                          • 9769

                          #13
                          Put $100 hedge and that's it. I would only do a 50/50 hedge if I've been losing all day, other wise leave it and hope you get lucky.
                          Comment
                          • fiveteamer
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-14-08
                            • 10805

                            #14
                            OK, that is a terrible ticket then.

                            Ball State rolls.
                            Comment
                            • seaborneq
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-08-06
                              • 22556

                              #15
                              I can middle with 2 today or wait until the game becomes a pick, or maybe Ball State will get some points by game time.
                              Comment
                              • CaneDawg
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-25-08
                                • 6256

                                #16
                                bet a hundred on ball st and see
                                Comment
                                • daggerkobe
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-25-08
                                  • 10744

                                  #17
                                  Let it ride. It's only 50.
                                  Comment
                                  • seaborneq
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-08-06
                                    • 22556

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by daggerkobe
                                    Let it ride. It's only 50.
                                    I absolutely cannot do that. Too much like right.
                                    Comment
                                    • VegasDave
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-03-07
                                      • 8056

                                      #19
                                      Betting 50 on the 3 team parlay would have profited you $265.

                                      I'm assuming you added that 4th team for a reason.

                                      Let it ride
                                      Comment
                                      • seaborneq
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-08-06
                                        • 22556

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by VegasDave
                                        Betting 50 on the 3 team parlay would have profited you $265.

                                        I'm assuming you added that 4th team for a reason.

                                        Let it ride
                                        When the bowl games were announced and odds were posted I wanted to take a few teams that were getting points or pickems and put them together in a parlay. Those four teams stood out the most. I saw Tulsa screw the pooch in the conference championship game and I saw redemption in the pick. I feel good about the Tulsa game, but it could still come back to bite me.
                                        Comment
                                        • seaborneq
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-08-06
                                          • 22556

                                          #21
                                          The line is down to BSU -1.5. Does this line get down to Tulsa being favored? That would help me a lot. I can middle right now, but I am not sure where this line is going. Feedback.
                                          Comment
                                          • seaborneq
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 09-08-06
                                            • 22556

                                            #22
                                            Looks like 100 on BSU -1.5 is my best choice, with hope for a middle. Best case scenario I win both bets, second case scenario I lose 100 dollars, still clear 500, or worse case scenario, I win 150 dollars if BSU wins. Any other options I have not put here? feedback
                                            Comment
                                            • seaborneq
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-08-06
                                              • 22556

                                              #23
                                              BSU down to -1. Feedback. It looks like 100 on BSU hoping for a middle. So that would be best case scenario of 750+ dollars.
                                              Comment
                                              • pavyracer
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-12-07
                                                • 82895

                                                #24
                                                For $325 don't hedge. Let it ride unless you really need $160.
                                                Comment
                                                • VegasDave
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-03-07
                                                  • 8056

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                  For $325 don't hedge. Let it ride unless you really need $160.
                                                  Agreed... if you need the money, hedge away, but if not you should let it ride.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • seaborneq
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 09-08-06
                                                    • 22556

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                    For $325 don't hedge. Let it ride unless you really need $160.
                                                    You are looking at the total of pending bets I have. It is $550, will that make a difference in your posts, or still don't hedge.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • CaneDawg
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-25-08
                                                      • 6256

                                                      #27
                                                      hedge

                                                      pigs make money
                                                      hogs get slaughtered

                                                      turn a profit
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dark Horse
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-14-05
                                                        • 13764

                                                        #28
                                                        It depends on your ability to hit 4-team parlays, and on how many of those you play.

                                                        If you hedge and reduce it to a 3-tm parlay now, then why not just play 3-teamers instead of 4-teamers?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pavyracer
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-12-07
                                                          • 82895

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by seaborneq
                                                          You are looking at the total of pending bets I have. It is $550, will that make a difference in your posts, or still don't hedge.
                                                          If the $275 represents less than 20% of your bankroll do not hedge.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • fiveteamer
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 04-14-08
                                                            • 10805

                                                            #30
                                                            Comment
                                                            • seaborneq
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-08-06
                                                              • 22556

                                                              #31
                                                              100 on BSU at +3.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • seaborneq
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 09-08-06
                                                                • 22556

                                                                #32
                                                                I want to exhale.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Immortality
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 12-20-07
                                                                  • 4599

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by seaborneq
                                                                  I want to exhale.
                                                                  Nice parlay hit.

                                                                  You might be regretting the hedge now but still a nice cash.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • seaborneq
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 09-08-06
                                                                    • 22556

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Hindsight is 20/20. There was no drama in the game last night. I won, but it had a somewhat empty feeling.
                                                                    Comment
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