Middling Scenario...Please Read And Reply

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  • SportsLockPicks
    SBR MVP
    • 12-03-07
    • 3386

    #1
    Middling Scenario...Please Read And Reply
    Middling, for some reason is really interesting me lately...small risk, big reward..here is a scenario for this afternoons game, tell me what you as a bettor would do.

    I am considering betting $1500 on Celtics +3, and $1500 on L.A. -1

    if the number falls as a push on either number, i win one of the bets...if it falls on a laker 2 point victory i obviously win both bets...but is it worth sacrificing the juice to take this chance? basically i am laying $150 juice on both bets..if it lands on any of the two numbers it pays 10-1, and if it lands on lakers -2 it pays 20-1 (juicewise)...who would take this risk?
  • SportsLockPicks
    SBR MVP
    • 12-03-07
    • 3386

    #2
    basically betting 10-1 that the oddsmakers are one point off, and 20-1 for them to be exactly right
    Comment
    • R3Sports
      SBR MVP
      • 03-21-07
      • 3167

      #3
      I'm not sure dude, basically your hoping for a Laker win by 2.
      Comment
      • raiders72002
        SBR MVP
        • 03-06-07
        • 3368

        #4
        Originally posted by R3Sports
        I'm not sure dude, basically your hoping for a Laker win by 2.
        but he sides on 1 and 3.
        Comment
        • Iwinyourmoney
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-18-07
          • 18368

          #5
          Im praying for Boston to get pounded late by the big $ then I am going to take a middle shot. If the Lakers hit to a PK or + points I will and pray the Lakers win by 2 and hit both sides
          Comment
          • SportsLockPicks
            SBR MVP
            • 12-03-07
            • 3386

            #6
            i don't see that happening...it is really odd that it hasn't moved already..i see it sitting right where it is..maybe it goes to lakers -1.5
            Comment
            • R3Sports
              SBR MVP
              • 03-21-07
              • 3167

              #7
              Yeah, I am surprised as well. The line has stayed the same all day.

              Do you think it moves at all?
              Comment
              • SportsLockPicks
                SBR MVP
                • 12-03-07
                • 3386

                #8
                i honestly thought that when the line came out -2 that i would have been hammered down almost immediately to a pk, then eventually a boston -1 line by tip
                Comment
                • R3Sports
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-21-07
                  • 3167

                  #9
                  Same here, I guess people are leaning both ways heavily.
                  Comment
                  • curious
                    Restricted User
                    • 07-20-07
                    • 9093

                    #10
                    Originally posted by SportsLockPicks
                    Middling, for some reason is really interesting me lately...small risk, big reward..here is a scenario for this afternoons game, tell me what you as a bettor would do.

                    I am considering betting $1500 on Celtics +3, and $1500 on L.A. -1

                    if the number falls as a push on either number, i win one of the bets...if it falls on a laker 2 point victory i obviously win both bets...but is it worth sacrificing the juice to take this chance? basically i am laying $150 juice on both bets..if it lands on any of the two numbers it pays 10-1, and if it lands on lakers -2 it pays 20-1 (juicewise)...who would take this risk?
                    I dont see an edge here. Whoever wins the game will be a blowout. I am on the Celtics ML.
                    Comment
                    • Richkas
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-03-08
                      • 19396

                      #11
                      Take Boston on the M/L and thank me later.

                      Middling is for losers who cant cap.

                      Merry Xmas
                      Comment
                      • SportsLockPicks
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-03-07
                        • 3386

                        #12
                        i already hit a middle on the orlando/hornet game...i'll play w/ the house money...knock it down to 300/300 and see what happens while throwing my normal play on boston on top of it
                        Comment
                        • purecarnagge
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-05-07
                          • 4843

                          #13
                          I wouldn't do it...too much fouling in the NBA...Very seldom is a game decided by just 2 points. Tons of fouling...if it was a 2-4 pt margin of victory for your middle that would be different.
                          Comment
                          • pimike
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 03-23-08
                            • 37140

                            #14
                            Originally posted by purecarnagge
                            I wouldn't do it...too much fouling in the NBA...Very seldom is a game decided by just 2 points. Tons of fouling...if it was a 2-4 pt margin of victory for your middle that would be different.
                            I agree not enough points to middle it.
                            Comment
                            • Justin7
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-31-06
                              • 8577

                              #15
                              You'll give me -1 and +3? At "retail of only -110? Sign me up.
                              Comment
                              • Dazzez
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 08-04-06
                                • 258

                                #16
                                Originally posted by pimike
                                I agree not enough points to middle it.
                                This isn't the world of religion where making and believing claims based on absolutely no evidence whatsoever isn't just acceptable but considered the noblest form of achievement.

                                But in the real world when money's at stake this doesn't (or at least shouldn't) fly.

                                Both Ganch's half point calculator and the Pinnacle drop down show this to be quite a profitable middling opportunity.

                                But then again for a Man of Faith, evidence and intellect don't matter much, do they?
                                Comment
                                • SportsLockPicks
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-03-07
                                  • 3386

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Justin7
                                  You'll give me -1 and +3? At "retail of only -110? Sign me up.
                                  i don't think you did your math right...since i'm not middling one team at different prices it is actually only a 2 point difference..not -1 to +3 as a 4 point diff.
                                  Comment
                                  • SportsLockPicks
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-03-07
                                    • 3386

                                    #18
                                    sorry guys, but for all of your cases i am pulling for a push on this one...lakers 98-96..thus ending the celtics run
                                    Comment
                                    • purecarnagge
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-05-07
                                      • 4843

                                      #19
                                      I don't see this game being a two possession game when the clock runs out..either lakers up big from being fouled or down big because they don't play defense... and they have too many guys bitching about minutes/touches etc...

                                      I guess your real win comes even if you push. You would get your money back. I guess I would try for it.

                                      I've been begging JUSTIN for a video about this for weeks now!!!!
                                      Comment
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