LT Profits vs. onthewhat Daily Thread - Tuesday, 12/23/08

[LT Profits]

1 - Contest runs through January 15, 2009. Each player must make EXACTLY 100 plays. If they do not make 100 plays, they lose automatically. If both players make 100 plays before January 15, 2009, the contest is over.

2 - Contest is for College Basketball Only.

3 - All wagers will be for one unit, and are to WIN one unit with favorites and RISKING one unit with underdogs.

4 - Available wagers are ATS, Totals, and Money Lines (Dogs no more than +400, Favorites no more than -250). Only full game wagers are allowed, no halves or periods.

5 - Available Books are Pinnacle, 5 Dimes and BetJamaica only. Line and book should be posted with each selection, and tiimestamp will be used to verify lines at EITHER SBRLines, Vegas Insider or SBR Odds Archives the following morning. If the line matches ANY of these three sources, it is acceptable.
5a - An OBVIOUSLY bad line feed will be ignored and only the other two sources can be used in that case. This would be for wrong favorites or obviously off lines.

6 - Players can post plays as often as they wish throught the day up until the SCHEDULED start times of the games. Players may NOT post after scheduled start times, even if the books leave the lines up because games have not actually started. Any past-posted play will be NO ACTION.

7 - Once plays are posted, they can NOT be removed.

8 - If you write a bad line for a game, the game will be graded based on the best avaialble line from the three sources in Rule #5 at the book that you post at the time that you post for the TEAM that you post. If you accidenatally write the wrong team, you are stuck with that team.

9 - You may NOT edit a post that contains plays in it. If you edit a post, ALL PLAYS in the post will be graded as a LOSS.

10 - You can not play both sides of the same game.

11 - The winner will be the player with the most units.

Wager is for $100, payable at the completion of the contest. (Honor system)

[LT Profits]

Name      	W	L	P	Units	Games
LT Profits	31	35	1	-3.93	67
onthewhat  	46	49	2	-7.11	97

[khaliagent]

Hey LT I have been wondering if you have ever been over 60% in your career and if possible can u tell me how you got into the capping game

[LT Profits]

Kent State +6 -107 (Pinnacle)
Missouri -3.5 +100 (Pinnacle)
Marshall +8.5 -104 (Pinnacle)

[onthewhat]

tied up

[InTheHole]

[Nicky Santoro]

onner, you should have no problem with LT.. 76% of his games go against him (line wise) he had Kent ST +6 and it closed at +7.. He takes Marshall +8.5 and it closes at +10 at most places..

Onner, this guy has nothing.. he has no idea what he's doing.. you can beat this guy easily, onner.. The way this guy plays, he doesnt have a good chance at beating you.. If he continues to make plays like this, you will be the favorite to win, as he has 30 or so games to go..

I will not remove the Nicky Santoro jinx from him..

[onthewhat]

Thanks buddy. I basically gave contest to him, I was going to fade but I felt like playing 33 games in one day...and I won units. LT has gone about 2-12 in last 14...if I faded i'm up 10 units now

[LT Profits]

onner, you should have no problem with LT.. 76% of his games go against him (line wise) he had Kent ST +6 and it closed at +7.. He takes Marshall +8.5 and it closes at +10 at most places..

Onner, this guy has nothing.. he has no idea what he's doing.. you can beat this guy easily, onner.. The way this guy plays, he doesnt have a good chance at beating you.. If he continues to make plays like this, you will be the favorite to win, as he has 30 or so games to go..

I will not remove the Nicky Santoro jinx from him..

You conveniently left out that Missouri closed at -4, and I bet the game at -3 at The Greek (see my daily CBB thread), which I couldn't take in this contest.

You are right though, the other two turned around on me. Shit happens, and nobody beats the closing number 100% of the time.

[onthewhat]

You conveniently left out that Missouri closed at -4, and I bet the game at -3 at The Greek (see my daily CBB thread), which I couldn't take in this contest.

You are right though, the other two turned around on me. Shit happens, and nobody beats the closing number 100% of the time.

No offense, but do you watch college basketball? No way Missouri should have been favored.

[MilfDriller]

I like the accountability and credibility of this contest. I just wish you could add (bi)curious to this contest... and you could change the units of the contest to be 1,100,000 units to make 1,000,000 units per wager. And money line wagers would be in play... so you'd have wagers like 45,000,000 units to make 300,000 units.

Anyways, the thing about this contest is it's based in fact and reality. You have to hand it to LT Profits.

[durito]

No offense, but do you watch college basketball? No way Missouri should have been favored.

I rated it -2.5.

And no I have not seen a single college basketball game this year nor do I intend to.

[Nicky Santoro]

Durito, why you going around trying to make people feel stupid.. you tell onner your line is -2.5.. what makes your line the right line? also, you go and correct me in other thread when i said that 20 pt favs have been winning, and then you tell me they are 4-154.. but do you realize that 4-154 at -5000, -4000, -3500.. etc.. are up money? what did you expect 20 pt dogs to be, 42%??

durito, instead of correcting us, you should be focused on your team contest team that was mocking us last week and now have not said a word to us in 1 week because you've fallen far behind us.

[durito]

Durito, why you going around trying to make people feel stupid.. you tell onner your line is -2.5.. what makes your line the right line?

My point was about the worthlessness in watching games for betting purposes. Something I've seen you say before.

also, you go and correct me in other thread when i said that 20 pt favs have been winning, and then you tell me they are 4-154.. but do you realize that 4-154 at -5000, -4000, -3500.. etc.. are up money? what did you expect 20 pt dogs to be, 42%??

According to my data, you'd be up this season if you'd taken the ML on every NCAAB favorite of 14 or more pts. Obviously that's not a good idea, but you suggested dogs had been winning SU more often than normal. If you have some different data, I'd love to see it.

durito, instead of correcting us, you should be focused on your team contest team that was mocking us last week and now have not said a word to us in 1 week because you've fallen far behind us.

I made my 20 picks, I'm done. I don't have time to do some stupid contest every day. I do not do this for attention on a forum. I do it to make money. Period.

[Kingctb27]

Durito, why you going around trying to make people feel stupid.. you tell onner your line is -2.5.. what makes your line the right line? also, you go and correct me in other thread when i said that 20 pt favs have been winning, and then you tell me they are 4-154.. but do you realize that 4-154 at -5000, -4000, -3500.. etc.. are up money? what did you expect 20 pt dogs to be, 42%??

durito, instead of correcting us, you should be focused on your team contest team that was mocking us last week and now have not said a word to us in 1 week because you've fallen far behind us.

No one even cares about that contest anymore. No one besides you sits around their computer all day to watch line movement to win 100 bucks and a t-shirt.

[Nicky Santoro]

nice try kinger, but that's not what you said last week when you guys were in 1st place.. but now that you have fallen 20 units behind us, the contest all of a sudden has become stupid, huh?? LOL

i dont hear anymore trash talk by you, bby or rjt anymore.. last week you guys were hammering us, especially bby.. not anymore.. now the contest is stupid.. i wonder why??

this contest takes me 3 minutes of work a day. i did it for my 3 teammates. i wanted them to have the 100.. i am donating this money to a charity..

[onthewhat]

Last week they were saying how they are winning, and good job team, we are beating them, etc.

Now they are getting taken out back to the woodshed and contest sucks.

If it sucks so much...STOP MAKING PLAYS!

[onthewhat]

I rated it -2.5.

Thanks for proving my point, Illinois was the right side.

[khaliagent]

personally in my opinion ..LT is nothing special
any true sports betting enthusiast can take him

[onthewhat]

personally in my opinion ..LT is nothing special
any true sports betting enthusiast can take him

exactly

LT is like everyone else flipping coins, and he cant even beat closing numbers consistently

[TPowell]

jesus please dont start with the closing number again. WHo really gives a ****? If I cap a game and find an advantage in the opening line I'll pound it. 90+ % of the time the line will move with me.

[bigboydan]

No offense, but do you watch college basketball? No way Missouri should have been favored.

OMG, I can't believe you actually said something I agree with sir.

[onthewhat]

jesus please dont start with the closing number again. WHo really gives a ****? If I cap a game and find an advantage in the opening line I'll pound it. 90+ % of the time the line will move with me.

So you are smarter than the books? There is a reason why all of the sharp guys on here make fun of you.

[onthewhat]

OMG, I can't believe you actually said something I agree with sir.

[TPowell]

So you are smarter than the books? There is a reason why all of the sharp guys on here make fun of you.

are you telling me that lines are sharper when they open than when they close??? Honestly, they can suck me stupid as long as I keep up the pace I am now.