Louisville Michigan Line Will Move To 4.5 By Game Time

Louisvillekid1 · 04-08-13, 12:22 PM

Yet you bet it at +3.5

to win 4k?

Either way its not going to matter, were going to light them up tonight.

Renegades · 04-08-13, 12:23 PM

The total is going to go up too

TheMoneyShot · 04-08-13, 12:28 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Yet you bet it at +3.5

to win 4k?

Either way its not going to matter, were going to light them up tonight.

i'm waiting til game time... or near it. And currently I only laid 500 so far... but I'm waiting for the line to move to +4.5

boeing power · 04-08-13, 12:33 PM

Louisville is a fukin lock.

d2bets · 04-08-13, 12:51 PM

Seems like you're right. I took a little on +4. I'm going to add more, maybe 1H, and probably ML too.

No coincidences · 04-08-13, 12:53 PM

I don't understand people who think it's a good sign that the line is moving against their bet.

senseionline · 04-08-13, 12:58 PM

Originally posted by Renegades

The total is going to go up too

I think game should stay under louisville look awful on offense last game vs wichita and both have strong defense

Smoke · 04-08-13, 01:03 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I don't understand people who think it's a good sign that the line is moving against their bet.

Depends who moved the line

Easy-Rider 66 · 04-08-13, 01:05 PM

Originally posted by Smoke

Depends who moved the line

k13 · 04-08-13, 01:07 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I don't understand people who think it's a good sign that the line is moving against their bet.

lol

NFL line moves to +3.5, let me get some more of that.....yum yum.

No coincidences · 04-08-13, 01:12 PM

Originally posted by Smoke

Depends who moved the line

Irrelevant, given we have no idea.

Smoke · 04-08-13, 01:14 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Irrelevant, given we have no idea.

You not have a line service no?

TheMoneyShot · 04-08-13, 01:28 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I don't understand people who think it's a good sign that the line is moving against their bet.

Book may not want any ties... might land right on 4 correct? That's the only reasoning...

Louisvillekid1 · 04-08-13, 01:42 PM

Originally posted by senseionline

I think game should stay under louisville look awful on offense last game vs wichita and both have strong defense

Wichita defense is light years ahead of michigans

Itsamazing777 · 04-08-13, 01:45 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Wichita defense is light years ahead of michigans

And their offense is nowhere close....
also Michigan has covered every tournament game.

No coincidences · 04-08-13, 01:51 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Wichita defense is light years ahead of michigans

This.

No coincidences · 04-08-13, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by Itsamazing777

also Michigan has covered every tournament game.

I remember reading this about Iowa before they got killed by Baylor.

BeerBottlez · 04-08-13, 01:54 PM

Michigan is 18-0 vs. Non-Big Ten Teams.

While Louisville is the most talented Michigan has played they still beat a lot of quality teams over the past couple weeks to get in this position.

d2bets · 04-08-13, 03:38 PM

4.5 at Bookmaker.

Smoke · 04-08-13, 04:14 PM

My local is at 5

Louisville gettin all the money

MoneyLineDawg · 04-08-13, 04:23 PM

If line moves meant everything we'd all be rich

Just pick who you like in these kind of games

jayc88 · 04-08-13, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg

If line moves meant everything we'd all be rich

Just pick who you like in these kind of games

If we would always know in which direction the line moves we would indeed all be rich

d2bets · 04-08-13, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg

If line moves meant everything we'd all be rich

Just pick who you like in these kind of games

These kind of games? Wouldn't you rather have +4.5 than +4? You never know. Pick your side, sure, but then get the best # possible.

Easy-Rider 66 · 04-08-13, 04:41 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

These kind of games? Wouldn't you rather have +4.5 than +4? You never know. Pick your side, sure, but then get the best # possible.

Agree with that, but some think if a line moves like that it indicates you are on the wrong side. I try not to let line movements dictate what I go with. Seen plenty of times where a line move is right and also wrong. Who the fuk knows?

MoneyLineDawg · 04-08-13, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

These kind of games? Wouldn't you rather have +4.5 than +4? You never know. Pick your side, sure, but then get the best # possible.

I agree get your best number on the side you like.....But just because the line moves from 4 to 4.5 doesn't mean Michigan will lose or whatever people want to read into it

agharah1 · 04-08-13, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Wichita defense is light years ahead of michigans

Louisville looks beatable to me. Relying on Henderson and Hancock isnt' a recipe for consistent offense. They call him Russdiculous because of his questionable shot selection. Siva's a lock for 4 or more fouls. Montrezl Harrell isn't Perry Ellis. Michigan's better than you think at using the shot fake to avoid blocks. They also don't have the size in the backcourt to contain Burke.

I've been waiting for this for 20 years. Michigan 80 Louisville 76. Keep Calm and Go Blue.

chunk · 04-08-13, 05:15 PM

Experience wins the day here. 71-63 Cards.

d2bets · 04-08-13, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg

I agree get your best number on the side you like.....But just because the line moves from 4 to 4.5 doesn't mean Michigan will lose or whatever people want to read into it

Oh sure, agree with that. And the number moves back and forth a lot too. On a game like this, it just means if you like Lou you should have -3.5 an d if you like Mich +4.5. Lou wins by 4 we all win.

Frisco · 04-08-13, 05:34 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I remember reading this about Iowa before they got killed by Baylor.

When you make it to the championship game and were dogs in most of your games of course you have covered them. Ridiculous argument

Dexter · 04-08-13, 05:41 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I don't understand people who think it's a good sign that the line is moving against their bet.

dont you always say beating the closer means nothing?

the guy likes michigan....he feels the line is going to go up. hes supposed to be afraid to bet more cause the line is moving on gameday?

regardless....who are you on?

Dexter · 04-08-13, 05:45 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Wichita defense is light years ahead of michigans

michigan only gave up 63ppg during reg season. not bad at all....

k13 · 04-09-13, 11:16 AM

+3.5, +4, +4.5, +5, spreads don't matter, just pick a winner.

oh yeah, line moves don't matter...lol

MoneyLineDawg · 04-09-13, 11:20 AM

Originally posted by k13

+3.5, +4, +4.5, +5, spreads don't matter, just pick a winner.

oh yeah, line moves don't matter...lol

If line moves matter so much why aren't you rich and retired following steam?

k13 · 04-09-13, 11:49 AM

Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg

If line moves matter so much why aren't you rich and retired following steam?

You need a big BR.

You will still lose at least 40% of the time.

What do books do to people that follow steam?

Let's say you have a 10k roll (which is already higher than most), Hit 60% for the year on a 100 plays betting 1% of BR.
Whats your profit on that? Are you going to retire now? Do that for 10 years straight, you still won't retire.

Hit 100% on a 100 plays for $100 for the year and you still won't be rich and retired.

You need to bet $10k a game to even start thinking about getting rich and retired but then again if you bet that much you should already have millions or just playing way over your BR.