Best value on the board today......Easy MLB pick for 4/3- TWINKIES

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  • BennyBigNuts
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-16-12
    • 8700

    #1
    Best value on the board today......Easy MLB pick for 4/3- TWINKIES
    Baseball is all about value and dogs.
    You have to hop on the home teams getting a price whenever you see a window.
    Today is one of those games.
    Win or lose you cannot go wrong taking the Twins +145.

    Analballs Sanchez is nothing more than an average pitcher. He's been gettin rocked all spring, the Twins beat him at home twice last year.
    This guy may be the most overrated pitcher in the league (80 million is a joke go look at this guys numbers).

    Correia is average at best also, but he's a solid horse every year. He gives you 30 starts.
    I think if he can manage 6 innings and 2 or 3 runs he will get the win today.

    You're a fool to lay the wood on this guy (Sanchez) on the road.

    Go Twins!!!!!!!!
  • BIGDAY
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 02-17-10
    • 48245

    #2
    Benny, I like your big nuts pal, but why in the fukk all the love for the Twinkies this season??????

    Sharps tried this on Monday.

    Trust me, as a twins fan, I would love for the twins to have a +EV season. But it's not in the cards.

    Just hit the team totals over for every twins opponent and thank me later. No "value" in the twins.
    Comment
    • BennyBigNuts
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-16-12
      • 8700

      #3
      Originally posted by BIGDAY
      Benny, I like your big nuts pal, but why in the fukk all the love for the Twinkies this season??????

      Sharps tried this on Monday.

      Trust me, as a twins fan, I would love for the twins to have a +EV season. But it's not in the cards.

      Just hit the team totals over for every twins opponent and thank me later. No "value" in the twins.

      Sharps tried it Vs. Verlander (An ACE).
      No love for the Twins from me as a team. Just today.
      +150 at home vs. a borderline scrub at times in Sanchez?
      Don't know how you don't see the value in that.
      He's just not that calibur of a pitcher to lay that much wood on the road brah.
      Let's also not forget the Tigers bullpen is a disaster right now. I'm not sold on them as contenders until I see the pen hold it down for a month. They could blow 10 games in a month you never know.

      If i lose my bet I can recover with one winner and possibly come out ahead, if someone loses on Detroit you're gonna need 2 winners in a row to come out barely ahead. It's simple math the chalk bettors can't comprehend.
      You don't always have the prettiest picks on paper when you take dogs. But you have to find value in below average teams sometimes to be a profitable MLB bettor.
      I like this game 99 out of 100 times today, win or lose.
      Comment
      • Big Bear
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-01-11
        • 43253

        #4
        Big Day the Twins are at home and have the better pitcher going tonight.

        Twins have a better bullpen too, and Morneau And Mauer are both healthy for the first time in like 5 years
        Comment
        • El Nino
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 05-03-12
          • 18426

          #5
          Correia gives up 5. Doubt the Twins get 6.
          Comment
          • EXhoosier10
            SBR MVP
            • 07-06-09
            • 3122

            #6
            Anibal ain't a scrub
            Comment
            • BennyBigNuts
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-16-12
              • 8700

              #7
              Originally posted by EXhoosier10
              Anibal ain't a scrub
              Definitely disgustingly overrated. Signed a contract ppl will be laughing at 2 years from now.
              Comment
              • BIGDAY
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 02-17-10
                • 48245

                #8
                Originally posted by El Nino
                Correia gives up 5. Doubt the Twins get 6.
                Exactly. Guys, just hit the Tigers TT OV.
                Comment
                • BIGDAY
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 02-17-10
                  • 48245

                  #9
                  BigNutter, good luck regardless. I hope you cash bro.
                  Comment
                  • BennyBigNuts
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-16-12
                    • 8700

                    #10
                    Originally posted by BIGDAY
                    BigNutter, good luck regardless. I hope you cash bro.

                    I don't bet totals EVER. Laying -110 is insane on a total for baseball when you can actually beat the game itself with moneylines and no juice half the time. This is the only sport where totals shouldn't be mentioned in a forum IMO.
                    But yeah, there could be a buttload of runs today. I'm gonna say 5-3 Twins though lol. I can't afford a shootout type of game the Twins offense isn't that explosive.
                    Comment
                    • konck
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-17-06
                      • 12554

                      #11
                      Sanchez is a guy you know what you get. I also laugh at the money they paid him.
                      He is a guy that his era will fall between 3.60-4.00 he is steady doesnt walk to many.
                      But superstar no. Correia at 32 had his best year ever, but it wasnt that good. How much
                      more will a 33 yr old pitcher improve moving to the AL....he wont. his numbers are mediocre
                      across the board but could blow up in the AL. If I had to bet this game the theres not enough
                      separate the good from the bad so no way I'm laying wood on the road in this one.

                      Today im taking a chalk parlay..... Harvey pitched super this ST I watched games where
                      the jugs came close to 100. I think Harvey comes into the picture big this year people do
                      not realize how close this guy is to Strasberg talent. Licksumcum is declining every year
                      this year Im really surprised he is starting. I dont think the guy could get me out this spring
                      his ERA was over 10. He is a guy who will pitch 1 game out of 4 now. Becketts move to a
                      picther friendly stadium and the NL is now a little better than avg but I think like last year
                      they move will help him pitch well again.
                      So parlaying METS/DODGERS
                      I see some good handicappers in the forum now for mlb but my hero is missing, As Mookie would say ....Where he at?
                      Comment
                      • TrapperDapper
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 08-20-10
                        • 502

                        #12
                        Sanchez has been about almost a 4 win pitcher every year since 09. I don't think hes worth what hes getting, but I'm not sure I would trust Correia here.
                        Comment
                        • milwaukee mike
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 08-22-07
                          • 26914

                          #13
                          from now on i will always think of him as analballs sanchez

                          well played benny
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Big Bear
                            Big Day the Twins are at home and have the better pitcher going tonight.

                            Twins have a better bullpen too, and Morneau And Mauer are both healthy for the first time in like 5 years
                            LOL -- what?
                            Comment
                            • El Nino
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-03-12
                              • 18426

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Big Bear
                              Big Day the Twins are at home and have the better pitcher going tonight.

                              Twins have a better bullpen too, and Morneau And Mauer are both healthy for the first time in like 5 years
                              Mauer is perpetually injured.
                              Comment
                              • bradleysnyder
                                Restricted User
                                • 04-18-07
                                • 6662

                                #16
                                Saying the twins have the better pitcher going Is just insane
                                Comment
                                • BennyBigNuts
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-16-12
                                  • 8700

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                  from now on i will always think of him as analballs sanchez

                                  well played benny


                                  I am king of the nicknames in sports.
                                  Comment
                                  • homerbush
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-17-08
                                    • 2317

                                    #18
                                    You might not bet totals but by your own admission this one screams over
                                    Comment
                                    • Big Bear
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 11-01-11
                                      • 43253

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by bradleysnyder
                                      Saying the twins have the better pitcher going Is just insane
                                      kevin correia was amazing the 1st half of last season.

                                      Anibal Is a gas can
                                      Comment
                                      • Smoke
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-09-09
                                        • 48111

                                        #20
                                        Good value for the price

                                        Tigers lines will be inflated all year
                                        Comment
                                        • gryfyn1
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-30-10
                                          • 3285

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Big Bear
                                          kevin correia was amazing the 1st half of last season.

                                          Anibal Is a gas can
                                          er no correia was "amazing" his first 2 starts, and amazing meaning not a disaster. Other than that He's the type of pitcher a team signs because they've done a terrible job at developing any minor league and need to sign someone for next to nothing. Corriea is making 5m a year and far more overpayed than Sanchez.
                                          Comment
                                          • BennyBigNuts
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-16-12
                                            • 8700

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by gryfyn1
                                            er no correia was "amazing" his first 2 starts, and amazing meaning not a disaster. Other than that He's the type of pitcher a team signs because they've done a terrible job at developing any minor league and need to sign someone for next to nothing. Corriea is making 5m a year and far more overpayed than Sanchez.

                                            Please stop. Get your knowledge up brah:
                                            Correia has MORE wins than Analballs 3 of the last 4 seasons. Getting paid more than 1/3 less.
                                            Analballs Sanchez' career numbers-
                                            48-51 and only 144 games started in 7 FULL seasons as a starter That's an avg of 20 starts per season basically.
                                            His highest win total in a season is 13 and that was the ONLY season he busted double digit wins.
                                            Translation? 80 Million.
                                            Comment
                                            • BennyBigNuts
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-16-12
                                              • 8700

                                              #23
                                              So gross watching this Twins offense. 3 batters strike out looking with 2 men on base already this game.
                                              Down 2-0 hoping for plan B which is the terrible Tigers bullpen to dog this one.
                                              Comment
                                              • EXhoosier10
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-06-09
                                                • 3122

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                                Please stop. Get your knowledge up brah:
                                                Correia has MORE wins than Analballs 3 of the last 4 seasons. Getting paid more than 1/3 less.
                                                Analballs Sanchez' career numbers-
                                                48-51 and only 144 games started in 7 FULL seasons as a starter That's an avg of 20 starts per season basically.
                                                His highest win total in a season is 13 and that was the ONLY season he busted double digit wins.
                                                Translation? 80 Million.
                                                Cant argue with this! Correia >> Anibal
                                                Comment
                                                • BIGDAY
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 02-17-10
                                                  • 48245

                                                  #25
                                                  Best value today is Texas -185.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Smoke
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-09-09
                                                    • 48111

                                                    #26
                                                    Twins won. Good call
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BennyBigNuts
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-16-12
                                                      • 8700

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                                      So gross watching this Twins offense. 3 batters strike out looking with 2 men on base already this game.
                                                      Down 2-0 hoping for plan B which is the terrible Tigers bullpen to dog this one.

                                                      GIMMIE THAT FKKKKN SHIT!!!! Tigers bullpen is fkn garbage.
                                                      Sick winner!!!!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TheMoneyShot
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 02-14-07
                                                        • 28672

                                                        #28
                                                        Nice win I can't believe the Tigers can't buy a closer. What were they thinking in the off-season?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Big Bear
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 11-01-11
                                                          • 43253

                                                          #29
                                                          Bang!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BennyBigNuts
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-16-12
                                                            • 8700

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                                            Nice win I can't believe the Tigers can't buy a closer. What were they thinking in the off-season?

                                                            My buddy is a Tigers fan he was texting me the whole game I kept saying don't worry Benoit or Coke will blow it, and it will be one of 30 saves the team blows this year.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pokernut9999
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 07-25-07
                                                              • 12757

                                                              #31
                                                              And Sanchez 2 hits and 0 runs , you guys should apologize for your comments about him.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BIGDAY
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 02-17-10
                                                                • 48245

                                                                #32
                                                                Nice call Nuter!!
                                                                Comment
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