LT Profits vs. onthewhat Daily Thread - Sunday, 12/21/08

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    LT Profits vs. onthewhat Daily Thread - Sunday, 12/21/08
    1 - Contest runs through January 15, 2009. Each player must make EXACTLY 100 plays. If they do not make 100 plays, they lose automatically. If both players make 100 plays before January 15, 2009, the contest is over.

    2 - Contest is for College Basketball Only.

    3 - All wagers will be for one unit, and are to WIN one unit with favorites and RISKING one unit with underdogs.

    4 - Available wagers are ATS, Totals, and Money Lines (Dogs no more than +400, Favorites no more than -250). Only full game wagers are allowed, no halves or periods.

    5 - Available Books are Pinnacle, 5 Dimes and BetJamaica only. Line and book should be posted with each selection, and tiimestamp will be used to verify lines at EITHER SBRLines, Vegas Insider or SBR Odds Archives the following morning. If the line matches ANY of these three sources, it is acceptable.
    5a - An OBVIOUSLY bad line feed will be ignored and only the other two sources can be used in that case. This would be for wrong favorites or obviously off lines.

    6 - Players can post plays as often as they wish throught the day up until the SCHEDULED start times of the games. Players may NOT post after scheduled start times, even if the books leave the lines up because games have not actually started. Any past-posted play will be NO ACTION.

    7 - Once plays are posted, they can NOT be removed.

    8 - If you write a bad line for a game, the game will be graded based on the best avaialble line from the three sources in Rule #5 at the book that you post at the time that you post for the TEAM that you post. If you accidenatally write the wrong team, you are stuck with that team.

    9 - You may NOT edit a post that contains plays in it. If you edit a post, ALL PLAYS in the post will be graded as a LOSS.

    10 - You can not play both sides of the same game.

    11 - The winner will be the player with the most units.

    Wager is for $100, payable at the completion of the contest. (Honor system)
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Code:
    Name      	W	L	P	Units	Games
    LT Profits	29	33	1	-4.26	63
    onthewhat  	46	49	2	-7.11	97
    Comment
    • onthewhat
      Restricted User
      • 05-14-08
      • 15411

      #3
      unreal
      Comment
      • InTheHole
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-28-08
        • 15243

        #4
        You could win this onner....LT has a lot of plays to make
        Comment
        • themajormt
          SBR MVP
          • 07-30-08
          • 3964

          #5
          Originally posted by onthewhat
          unreal

          HAHAHAHA! Onner, I went to this post knowing how many plays you had and I didnt see your post I just saw the results and said "Un ****ing real"

          Nice work! Pressure is back on LT
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Youngstown State/NC Charlotte UNDER 136.5 -105 (Pinnacle)
            Comment
            • onthewhat
              Restricted User
              • 05-14-08
              • 15411

              #7
              From what LT has shown this basketball season, I'd say its a 50/50 tossup on who wins this contest. 55/45 me if he keeps flipping coins on totals.
              Comment
              • Ganchrow
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-28-05
                • 5011

                #8
                Originally posted by onthewhat
                From what LT has shown this basketball season, I'd say its a 50/50 tossup on who wins this contest. 55/45 me if he keeps flipping coins on totals.
                Actually, the underlying probability would tend to disagree.

                Assuming your score were to remain unchanged and for the remainder of the contest LT solely picked no-push totals out of a hat at -105 odds, then at the start of the day the binomial distribution would have put his win probability at about 59.93%.
                Comment
                • onthewhat
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-14-08
                  • 15411

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Ganchrow
                  Actually, the underlying probability would tend to disagree.

                  Assuming your score were to remain unchanged and for the remainder of the contest LT solely picked no-push totals out of a hat at -105 odds, then at the start of the day the binomial distribution would have put his win probability at about 59.93%.
                  I am factoring in the Nicky Santoro jinx. Have you seen his 2008 splits, pre and post jinx? They are alarming.
                  Comment
                  • onthewhat
                    Restricted User
                    • 05-14-08
                    • 15411

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    Youngstown State/NC Charlotte UNDER 136.5 -105 (Pinnacle)
                    88 point first half

                    unreal
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Wright State +139 ML (Pinnacle)
                      Comment
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