Top 20 Pitcher + Underdog Sagarin System

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  • oZgoodZ33
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-28-12
    • 525

    #1
    Top 20 Pitcher + Underdog Sagarin System
    I'm sure this has been around for a while, but I just came across it and was wondering if anyone had any experiences or thoughts.

    "To use this baseball gambling system you must first collect the necessary information. Click on MLB Games to get a listing of the daily MLB baseball matchups, starting pitchers, and odds for the day.Make a list of the starting pitchers that are playing for the “underdog” teams.

    Rule 1:
    The starting pitcher must be ranked in the top 20. You determine this by looking at the Sagarin ratings. Click on the National or American League to get a ranking of every pitcher in the league. If Sagarin ranks the starting pitcher in the top 20, proceed to Rule 2.


    Rule 2:
    If the underdog is playing on the road, determine if their road record is above 48%. If the underdog is playing at home, check and see if their record at home is above 48%.

    If the answer to both rules above is yes, place a bet on the underdog.

    How well did this gambling system do in 2010?

    If you would have bet $100 on every underdog team that met the above two rules, you would have won 110 games and lost 91 games for a 54.73% win percentage and a net profit of $4,254.
    What’s most remarkable is that the win% for the home and road dogs in 2010 was almost the same (54.67% and 54.76% respectively.) The home dogs’ record was 41 wins and 34 losses for a net profit of $1,380. The road dogs had 69 wins and 57 losses for a profit of $2,874."
  • Chi_archie
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-22-08
    • 63172

    #2
    this is intriguing

    would like to see it tracked this year
    Comment
    • ACoochy
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-19-09
      • 13949

      #3
      OP what are minimum number of games here before model comes into signifigance??
      Comment
      • oZgoodZ33
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-28-12
        • 525

        #4
        I would assume it starts in May as the other systems featured on the site I found this one on started in May.
        Comment
        • ACoochy
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-19-09
          • 13949

          #5
          If this started today then my calculations say it went 2-0 +2.3ish units. Solid start
          Comment
          • Aaron McCrevice
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-26-13
            • 669

            #6


            when I'm done pitching to daughter Judy, we'll all hop into my 2010 time machine



            Comment
            • dshawn
              Restricted User
              • 04-30-12
              • 151

              #7
              post plays everyday
              Comment
              • oZgoodZ33
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 02-28-12
                • 525

                #8
                Originally posted by ACoochy
                If this started today then my calculations say it went 2-0 +2.3ish units. Solid start
                I'm tracking this system as well as 2 others in a thread called "MLB Tracking: 3 Separate Systems".

                Also, there would have been no plays for this system as the 2 qualifying teams did not have a road records above 48%
                Comment
                • AceofSP2107
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-28-09
                  • 717

                  #9
                  whats the 3rd system other that this and mlb track
                  Comment
                  • oZgoodZ33
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-28-12
                    • 525

                    #10
                    Originally posted by AceofSP2107
                    whats the 3rd system other that this and mlb track
                    All 3 systems I'm tracking are in the thread mentioned in my previous post. There's a totals system and 2 dog systems
                    Comment
                    • AceofSP2107
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 07-28-09
                      • 717

                      #11
                      i see sorry thnaks
                      Comment
                      • Avala7ch3
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 06-04-12
                        • 257

                        #12
                        "
                        Comment
                        • TheCentaur
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 06-28-11
                          • 8108

                          #13
                          Sounds pretty effective but that same year underdogs with a starting pitcher who had a ranking that ends in 7 (17,27,etc.) who's first child is a daughter pitching on Wednesdays and Fridays had a 59.27% win rate.
                          Comment
                          • 70kgman
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-31-10
                            • 4354

                            #14
                            "
                            Comment
                            • easyliving
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 06-25-12
                              • 8876

                              #15
                              so does anyone actually track these plays?
                              Comment
                              • oZgoodZ33
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 02-28-12
                                • 525

                                #16
                                Originally posted by easyliving
                                so does anyone actually track these plays?
                                I mentioned in the above post the name of the thread that I am tracking this on. See post #8
                                Comment
                                • Avala7ch3
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-04-12
                                  • 257

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by 70kgman
                                  That is stolen from that "bookie buster" PDF file containing a bunch of "systems" and money management strategies. Unless that guys friend "Andrew" is author of the beat the bookie systems (he is not, Frank Belanger is), that is blatant plagiarism.
                                  It doesn't matter. I am very pessimistic about systems in general, as I think that only constantly good picks with level stakes can be a safe betting system's base. Real good profits could be made only with hard work, "15 minutes each morning" is not enough
                                  I am still looking for "the perfect system"
                                  Comment
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