If i flip a coin 3 times, my chances of guessing all 3 correctly is 12.5%, right?
And guessing 2 out of 3 is 25%?
tto827
SBR Hall of Famer
10-01-12
9078
#2
3 out of 3 is .5x.5x.5 =.125 or 12.5% as you said
Chances of guessing 2 and only 2 correct out of 3 is 3/8 or 37.5%
Chances of guessing two or more correct is 4/8 or 50%
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ThaWoj
SBR Hall of Famer
03-09-10
6764
#3
Where does 3/8 and 4/8 come from? Thx
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pavyracer
SBR Aristocracy
04-12-07
82840
#4
There is also a chance of landing upright or getting lost in a manhole or a bird picking it up in the air. So you have to add +/- 0.01% to the above probabilities.
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tto827
SBR Hall of Famer
10-01-12
9078
#5
Originally posted by ThaWoj
Where does 3/8 and 4/8 come from? Thx
Easiest way to do it with this small of a sample is just list all possible outcomes.
Red ones are 2 correct and only two correct, green is all 3 correct (so the or more part of 2 or more0
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ThaWoj
SBR Hall of Famer
03-09-10
6764
#6
Now it makes sense thx. I was trying to use my example for blackjack (i know its a less than 50% chance of winning a hand and i didnt account for pushes).
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mynameismud
SBR Hall of Famer
02-13-12
5461
#7
tto is a math prodigy.
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sweethook
SBR Posting Legend
11-21-07
12667
#8
you win again
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Cheme82
SBR Hall of Famer
09-03-08
7823
#9
Originally posted by ThaWoj
If i flip a coin 3 times, my chances of guessing all 3 correctly is 12.5%, right?
And guessing 2 out of 3 is 25%?
Use a binomial calculator bro. You can find whatever combination you want and since you are talkig about blackkjack, you can use whatever probabilit you actually have (less than 50%).