simple math question

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  • ThaWoj
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-09-10
    • 6764

    #1
    simple math question
    If i flip a coin 3 times, my chances of guessing all 3 correctly is 12.5%, right?

    And guessing 2 out of 3 is 25%?
  • tto827
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-01-12
    • 9078

    #2
    3 out of 3 is .5x.5x.5 =.125 or 12.5% as you said

    Chances of guessing 2 and only 2 correct out of 3 is 3/8 or 37.5%

    Chances of guessing two or more correct is 4/8 or 50%
    Comment
    • ThaWoj
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-09-10
      • 6764

      #3
      Where does 3/8 and 4/8 come from? Thx
      Comment
      • pavyracer
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-12-07
        • 82840

        #4
        There is also a chance of landing upright or getting lost in a manhole or a bird picking it up in the air. So you have to add +/- 0.01% to the above probabilities.
        Comment
        • tto827
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-01-12
          • 9078

          #5
          Originally posted by ThaWoj
          Where does 3/8 and 4/8 come from? Thx
          Easiest way to do it with this small of a sample is just list all possible outcomes.

          Assuming you always pick heads
          HHH
          HHT
          HTT
          HTH
          TTT
          TTH
          THH
          THT

          Red ones are 2 correct and only two correct, green is all 3 correct (so the or more part of 2 or more0
          Comment
          • ThaWoj
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-09-10
            • 6764

            #6
            Now it makes sense thx. I was trying to use my example for blackjack (i know its a less than 50% chance of winning a hand and i didnt account for pushes).
            Comment
            • mynameismud
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-13-12
              • 5461

              #7
              tto is a math prodigy.
              Comment
              • sweethook
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-21-07
                • 12667

                #8
                you win again
                Comment
                • Cheme82
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-03-08
                  • 7823

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ThaWoj
                  If i flip a coin 3 times, my chances of guessing all 3 correctly is 12.5%, right?

                  And guessing 2 out of 3 is 25%?
                  Use a binomial calculator bro. You can find whatever combination you want and since you are talkig about blackkjack, you can use whatever probabilit you actually have (less than 50%).

                  Comment
                  • ThaWoj
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-09-10
                    • 6764

                    #10
                    Thanks
                    Comment
                    • Marigold HD
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-03-07
                      • 5053

                      #11
                      25%
                      Comment
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