First Baseball Plays for 2013

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  • tatddy
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-02-10
    • 10779

    #1
    First Baseball Plays for 2013
    I'm not big on tying up money on futures for 6 months...time value of money and all...but I've had a decent run over the past 6 weeks and have some extra money for my baseball bankroll. Was gonna cash out but will bite on a few futures for 2013.

    Tampa Bay D Rays:

    Odds to win AL East +300 Risking 2 Units
    Over 86.5 wins -110 Risking 4 units
    Odds to win AL Pennant +1000 1/3 Unit

    Los Angeles Dodgers:

    Field wins NL West over LA -120 1 unit

    Arizona D-Backs

    Over 82.5 wins +105 1 unit
  • JMobile
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-21-10
    • 19074

    #2
    I'll go with the Rays for sure. If the Dodgers win the West, I hope they lose it in the Postseason. (Mayan, don't hurt me)
    Comment
    • tatddy
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-02-10
      • 10779

      #3
      Originally posted by JMobile
      I'll go with the Rays for sure. If the Dodgers win the West, I hope they lose it in the Postseason. (Mayan, don't hurt me)
      Dodgers won't win with Mattingly. He fails at basic in game strategy. Can he foster chemistry great enough to overcome his incompetences in game? I'm betting against it. The NL west is better than you think.
      Comment
      • BigDeem5
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-26-11
        • 17191

        #4
        I like it tat, I may tail for my life
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94379

          #5
          dont like the zona play but good luck on the rest.
          Comment
          • tatddy
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-02-10
            • 10779

            #6
            Originally posted by lakerboy
            dont like the zona play but good luck on the rest.
            I like a rebound year from them with underachieving upton gone and a healthy staff. Prado is a great addition.

            Ps sorry in advance Boeing power and blue jays backers. They are a fade in 2013
            Comment
            • italianbandit
              SBR MVP
              • 05-17-11
              • 2622

              #7
              Tat have you seen Lincecum pitch at all. He might be a reliever by September...
              Comment
              • broadway6
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-14-09
                • 13337

                #8
                Originally posted by tatddy
                I'm not big on tying up money on futures for 6 months...time value of money and all...but I've had a decent run over the past 6 weeks and have some extra money for my baseball bankroll. Was gonna cash out but will bite on a few futures for 2013.

                Tampa Bay D Rays:

                Odds to win AL East +300 Risking 2 Units
                Over 86.5 wins -110 Risking 4 units
                Odds to win AL Pennant +1000 1/3 Unit

                Los Angeles Dodgers:

                Field wins NL West over LA -120 1 unit

                Arizona D-Backs

                Over 82.5 wins +105 1 unit

                best bet by far
                Comment
                • tatddy
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-02-10
                  • 10779

                  #9
                  Originally posted by italianbandit
                  Tat have you seen Lincecum pitch at all. He might be a reliever by September...
                  Well see. Velocity is fine. Movement is fine. All that matters in spring.
                  Comment
                  • JMobile
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-21-10
                    • 19074

                    #10
                    Originally posted by tatddy

                    Dodgers won't win with Mattingly. He fails at basic in game strategy. Can he foster chemistry great enough to overcome his incompetences in game? I'm betting against it. The NL west is better than you think.
                    Yeah, Donny doesn't know how to use the pen real well. Ever since Donny took over, Bochy was able to get through them. It's going to be an interesting year. Can't wait!
                    Originally posted by tatddy

                    I like a rebound year from them with underachieving upton gone and a healthy staff. Prado is a great addition.

                    Ps sorry in advance Boeing power and blue jays backers. They are a fade in 2013
                    Jays are kind of like the Dodgers of the AL East. I like Boeing, but I doubt the Jays will show up to the Postseason. Sorry Boeing.
                    Comment
                    • italianbandit
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-17-11
                      • 2622

                      #11
                      Originally posted by tatddy
                      Well see. Velocity is fine. Movement is fine. All that matters in spring.
                      His hair looks better too. Belt should improve as well.
                      Comment
                      • YouHave2outs
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-02-11
                        • 4448

                        #12
                        Originally posted by italianbandit
                        Tat have you seen Lincecum pitch at all. He might be a reliever by September...
                        the man will be pitching for $, the biggest contract he will get in his career will likely be gotten at the end of this season. doesn't everyone know what happens when this is the case?

                        edit:
                        Comment
                        • TankHankerous
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-22-12
                          • 2088

                          #13
                          He better start auditioning for some Hanson Bros cover bands
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #14
                            Very Sharp as usual
                            Comment
                            • tatddy
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-02-10
                              • 10779

                              #15
                              Well if it wasn't for PUIGMANIA I'd be really happy with where these wagers stand at the break. I have to say I didn't factor that kid into my analysis.
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #16
                                Originally posted by tatddy
                                Well if it wasn't for PUIGMANIA I'd be really happy with where these wagers stand at the break. I have to say I didn't factor that kid into my analysis.
                                Tat, goddammit, don't you have the itch again yet?
                                Comment
                                • The Giant
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-21-12
                                  • 21480

                                  #17
                                  Baseball is such a long, tedious season. Even more than halfway through, it's really hard to tell how these wagers are going. You can still win every one, or lose every one.

                                  Here is to a profitable second half.
                                  Comment
                                  • tatddy
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-02-10
                                    • 10779

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                    Tat, goddammit, don't you have the itch again yet?
                                    Bro to be honest I don't. I reinvested my cashouts in other markets. I'm sure ill get back in the game at some point. Been a nice break.
                                    Comment
                                    • tatddy
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-02-10
                                      • 10779

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by The Giant
                                      Baseball is such a long, tedious season. Even more than halfway through, it's really hard to tell how these wagers are going. You can still win every one, or lose every one.

                                      Here is to a profitable second half.
                                      Giant no doubt. I'm not trying to say I have winners. At this point in the season you get a general idea of who will contend. To that end, I feel good that I backed contenders.
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by tatddy
                                        Bro to be honest I don't. I reinvested my cashouts in other markets. I'm sure ill get back in the game at some point. Been a nice break.
                                        I wish I had the same discipline. I'm burned out, but every day at about 5, I start twitching.
                                        Comment
                                        • tatddy
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-02-10
                                          • 10779

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                          I wish I had the same discipline. I'm burned out, but every day at about 5, I start twitching.
                                          I hear you. Fortunately I love the game much more than I love the action from wagering. A year ago I'd have tilted away my profits after the shyte week I had to end May. Fortunately I've learned how to get out ahead.
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by tatddy
                                            I hear you. Fortunately I love the game much more than I love the action from wagering. A year ago I'd have tilted away my profits after the shyte week I had to end May. Fortunately I've learned how to get out ahead.
                                            Baseball's been a fvcking chalk-fest for a good month now.
                                            Comment
                                            • BigDeem5
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-26-11
                                              • 17191

                                              #23
                                              Tattttty
                                              Comment
                                              • tatddy
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-02-10
                                                • 10779

                                                #24
                                                So I've been out of the game since late May. Since I got pissed at a bad few days of bases and cashed out everything at every book. Prob would have titled off 10K the next day if I handnt.

                                                Been a nice break...no reloads....and since in such a fukking gem I still checked I'm with you clowns a few times a week.

                                                But shyte just got dangerous up in here. If the Rays win today, or 1 more game, will be sitting with $1660 funded at a shop. Even more if the dbacks keep winning

                                                Will be putting the whole $1660, or whatever it is, allin on one game. I don't need the cash and I don't need back into this fukking club.

                                                1 NFL game...or 1 MLB playoff game...will be posted here. Feel free to send cheers or jeers. Same thing to me.

                                                If that allin wins shyte is gonna get fun up in here...cause I might do it again.

                                                So go Rays
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by tatddy
                                                  So I've been out of the game since late May. Since I got pissed at a bad few days of bases and cashed out everything at every book. Prob would have titled off 10K the next day if I handnt.

                                                  Been a nice break...no reloads....and since in such a fukking gem I still checked I'm with you clowns a few times a week.

                                                  But shyte just got dangerous up in here. If the Rays win today, or 1 more game, will be sitting with $1660 funded at a shop. Even more if the dbacks keep winning

                                                  Will be putting the whole $1660, or whatever it is, allin on one game. I don't need the cash and I don't need back into this fukking club.

                                                  1 NFL game...or 1 MLB playoff game...will be posted here. Feel free to send cheers or jeers. Same thing to me.

                                                  If that allin wins shyte is gonna get fun up in here...cause I might do it again.

                                                  So go Rays
                                                  I have a bet on Balty, but I'd be glad to sacrifice it if that means you'll be posting plays here again.

                                                  Plus, you're $$$ in the MLB playoffs. If you're not around posting plays for that, it's SBR's loss.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Checkerboard
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-15-06
                                                    • 7799

                                                    #26
                                                    go rays go bol tatddy i wanna see the all in play correction i wanna follow the all in play
                                                    Comment
                                                    • tatddy
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-02-10
                                                      • 10779

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                      I have a bet on Balty, but I'd be glad to sacrifice it if that means you'll be posting plays here again.

                                                      Plus, you're $$$ in the MLB playoffs. If you're not around posting plays for that, it's SBR's loss.
                                                      I don't care about Balty pal. I just need the Rays to win 87 games. The rest can lose

                                                      Edit- never mind. You were talking about today's game. Sorry I'm fried. Been traveling all day
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #28
                                                        Congrats, tat.

                                                        Tampa hits the milestone.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-17-07
                                                          • 52143

                                                          #29
                                                          This guy just knows how to live
                                                          Comment
                                                          • tatddy
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-02-10
                                                            • 10779

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                            Congrats, tat.

                                                            Tampa hits the milestone.
                                                            Thanks buddy. Now gonna need a dog from you for the allin play whenever the bets are graded. +170 or better would be sexy.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                              This guy just knows how to live
                                                              Most +EV poster at SBR. Period.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • tatddy
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 03-02-10
                                                                • 10779

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                                This guy just knows how to live
                                                                Sorry I missed you in NY pal. We got in a day late due to Southwest ineptness. Was a bender from there.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by tatddy
                                                                  Thanks buddy. Now gonna need a dog from you for the allin play whenever the bets are graded. +170 or better would be sexy.
                                                                  Hard to go wrong with Rudy's big Central Florida play on Saturday if you want to wait that long.

                                                                  I might be hitting the Iowa State ML relatively hard on Thursday, though I haven't completely made up my mind yet.

                                                                  Not sure if I'd use it on a baseball game at this point. As you can see from the early game, things are just a total toss-up right now more often than not.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • tatddy
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-02-10
                                                                    • 10779

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Haha Coiner these bets on this thread weren't even +ev. Gonna need the dbacks to even make a profit. But since in cashed out this is now a free play in my mind...

                                                                    No rush on the allin. Might not even use it until MLB playoffs. Don't know when they usually grade these futures since I barely ever play them. Time value of money makes most of them -ev.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                                      • 52143

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by tatddy

                                                                      Sorry I missed you in NY pal. We got in a day late due to Southwest ineptness. Was a bender from there.
                                                                      Hope you had a blast brother
                                                                      Comment
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