Did you boys know that.. aside from the pros... your avg bettor would go broke if you never paid juice again. here is how.
If you can bet games like Lakers -12.5 even/Wolves +12.5 even.. OR Yankees -175/Twins +175, you'd still go broke.. here is why.
How many times have you seen an overnight line on Lakers -6.5 and you say, wow, only -6.5 and you bet it, and by game time, it's now -4, OR you DON'T bet it at night and by game time, it's -4 and you say, thank god i didn't bet it at -6.5.. I'm sure that happens alot to you all..
Now, here's the reason why all bettors would go broke. No one really knows what a fair line is, except the books. .Books know ahead what squares will bet.. If they know Lakers true line is Lakers -8.5, they will make it Lakers -9, or -9.5 and 83% will be on Lakers -9.5, cause avg bettor doesn't know any better. He can't calculate a real line. When cubs real line is -220 at home, they make it -245 knowing the world will be on Zambrano at home and all bet cubs..When square sees Cowboys at -3, they jump thinking they got a deal.. Books are laughing, cause they know when they made the line, that the cowboys true line is -2.. They can play around with you and avg bettor will NEVER know he is getting ripped off.
Bettors can never distinguish what a real line is, so books can do whatever they want with line, charge you 0% juice, and still beat you.. now can you imagine how bad a bettor does at -110? Just to let you know, the books don't need the juice to bankrupt the avg player, they can do it with no juice, and you'd still go broke.. That's why every square loses $$ much faster than the avg bettor because they are laying -14.5 on Lakers at -110, when real line is probably -13.. Book knows what avg bettor will bet, so why make it -13, when they can make Lakers -14.5, they're still going to bet it..
Bottom line is, books know what a true line on a game is and bettor doesnt.. Books know what your avg bettor will bet and they can do whatever they want with the line and bettor will still bet it.. and 95% of avg bettors will bet it cause they usually bet the same.. books know this.. which is why all squares lose
moral of the story.. if you think you are losing because of the juice, think again.. even without any juice at all, or even if you got +103 on every game.. INSTEAD of -110, your avg bettor would still go broke cause the book is always going to be 23 steps ahead of you. That's why avg bettor will never hit more than 50%>
If you can bet games like Lakers -12.5 even/Wolves +12.5 even.. OR Yankees -175/Twins +175, you'd still go broke.. here is why.
How many times have you seen an overnight line on Lakers -6.5 and you say, wow, only -6.5 and you bet it, and by game time, it's now -4, OR you DON'T bet it at night and by game time, it's -4 and you say, thank god i didn't bet it at -6.5.. I'm sure that happens alot to you all..
Now, here's the reason why all bettors would go broke. No one really knows what a fair line is, except the books. .Books know ahead what squares will bet.. If they know Lakers true line is Lakers -8.5, they will make it Lakers -9, or -9.5 and 83% will be on Lakers -9.5, cause avg bettor doesn't know any better. He can't calculate a real line. When cubs real line is -220 at home, they make it -245 knowing the world will be on Zambrano at home and all bet cubs..When square sees Cowboys at -3, they jump thinking they got a deal.. Books are laughing, cause they know when they made the line, that the cowboys true line is -2.. They can play around with you and avg bettor will NEVER know he is getting ripped off.
Bettors can never distinguish what a real line is, so books can do whatever they want with line, charge you 0% juice, and still beat you.. now can you imagine how bad a bettor does at -110? Just to let you know, the books don't need the juice to bankrupt the avg player, they can do it with no juice, and you'd still go broke.. That's why every square loses $$ much faster than the avg bettor because they are laying -14.5 on Lakers at -110, when real line is probably -13.. Book knows what avg bettor will bet, so why make it -13, when they can make Lakers -14.5, they're still going to bet it..
Bottom line is, books know what a true line on a game is and bettor doesnt.. Books know what your avg bettor will bet and they can do whatever they want with the line and bettor will still bet it.. and 95% of avg bettors will bet it cause they usually bet the same.. books know this.. which is why all squares lose
moral of the story.. if you think you are losing because of the juice, think again.. even without any juice at all, or even if you got +103 on every game.. INSTEAD of -110, your avg bettor would still go broke cause the book is always going to be 23 steps ahead of you. That's why avg bettor will never hit more than 50%>
