Vegas Dave's Philosophy Pick 12/14 (17 - 6 YTD)

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  • VegasDave
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-03-07
    • 8056

    #1
    Vegas Dave's Philosophy Pick 12/14 (17 - 6 YTD)
    Green Bay (-2.0) @ Jacksonville (+2.0)

    Fred Taylor out. Matt Jones out. Jerry Porter (even if he IS an underachiever this year) out.

    Jacksonville has lost 4 straight games by double digits. They've lost 6 of their last 7 games, with the only win coming over Detroit. They have had problems on and off the field all season long. Tons of key injuries on the lines and to some big name position players. They appear to have given up on the season.

    So how on earth are they only getting 2 points here?

    Yes, Green Bay has also fallen off in a major way, losing 5 of their last 6. But those 5 losses were @Tennessee, @Minnesota, @New Orleans, vs. Carolina, and vs. Houston; all good opponents, and only one of those losses was by more than 4 points.

    Even with all their struggles, Green Bay seems way too easy here, and 85% of bettors are betting Green Bay minus the points, and the heavy majority of ML bettors are on Green Bay too.

    I just NEED to go the other way.

    I like Jacksonville +2 and on the money line.

    If you didn't see it from the other day, I did a video on why I like philosophy picks: http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...ork-video.html

    Good luck this week!
  • VegasDave
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-03-07
    • 8056

    #2
    For the later-morning crowd
    Comment
    • SexyMit
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-12-06
      • 6139

      #3
      Was already looking at this one Dave.... Glad to see you on it as well.
      If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

      I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
      Comment
      • VegasDave
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-03-07
        • 8056

        #4
        Any other ones for you Mit? This was my only one this week. I like Miami a lot this week, but thats not for Philosophy reasons.

        Last two weeks I expect to be chock-full of philosophy picks, especially next week.
        Comment
        • SexyMit
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-12-06
          • 6139

          #5
          I know this game doesn't matter but was looking at St Louis?? Kinda looking at Dallas, Giants already in the playoffs and Dallas needs to win to even stay in the wild card hunt??
          If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

          I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
          Comment
          • accuscoresucks
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-03-07
            • 7160

            #6
            gl usc

            cash this ticket,i applaud the effort this guy puts in,if you were in my botonist class you would get an a+ for math
            Comment
            • VegasDave
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-03-07
              • 8056

              #7
              Originally posted by accuscoresucks
              gl usc

              cash this ticket,i applaud the effort this guy puts in,if you were in my botonist class you would get an a+ for math
              Thank you my friend
              Comment
              • rm18
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-20-05
                • 22291

                #8
                Green Bay still has a shot at the playoffs and Jax has quit.
                Comment
                • riggs
                  Restricted User
                  • 11-06-08
                  • 1100

                  #9
                  Vegas Dave I respect your insight a great deal and I have to admit that I rather enjoy your videos. If I was a tech-guy I would love to do that! I also noticed you liked the Texans Sunday, as I do, what's your take on the game???

                  Thanks!!!
                  Comment
                  • VegasDave
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-03-07
                    • 8056

                    #10
                    Originally posted by rm18
                    Green Bay still has a shot at the playoffs and Jax has quit.
                    Exactly why you and 17 out of 20 bettors are on them Sunday

                    Originally posted by riggs
                    Vegas Dave I respect your insight a great deal and I have to admit that I rather enjoy your videos. If I was a tech-guy I would love to do that! I also noticed you liked the Texans Sunday, as I do, what's your take on the game???

                    Thanks!!!
                    Thanks riggs!

                    Going to the Kings game, will post my write-ups when I get back... Check for 'em tonight.
                    Comment
                    • Rio DiNero
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-03-08
                      • 2010

                      #11
                      Originally posted by VegasDave
                      Any other ones for you Mit? This was my only one this week. I like Miami a lot this week, but thats not for Philosophy reasons.

                      Last two weeks I expect to be chock-full of philosophy picks, especially next week.
                      Looks like a solid 6pt teaser to me Dave= Mia Pk, Jac+8.5
                      Comment
                      • irishdude
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 11-05-08
                        • 103

                        #12
                        i was ont the pack but now i will thnk about it,i do like the texans +3
                        Comment
                        • VegasDave
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-03-07
                          • 8056

                          #13
                          Originally posted by riggs
                          Vegas Dave I respect your insight a great deal and I have to admit that I rather enjoy your videos. If I was a tech-guy I would love to do that! I also noticed you liked the Texans Sunday, as I do, what's your take on the game???

                          Thanks!!!
                          Posted; http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...-write-up.html
                          Comment
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