The whole world seems to like the over in this affair. Several sites I visited shows around 70 percent of the total money bet on this game is on the over.
I get it, both teams average in the 70's, but what I don't think the casual bettor is seeing is Mizzou is a rebounding machine, (second in the nation) averaging over 40 boards a game. Couple that with the fact that even though Arky does average 74 a game, it has a pretty crappy, OK pedestrian like, 43 percent shooting percentage, which is middle of the pack. My point being, if Arky doesn't hit their first shot, the way Missouri rebounds, it'll be one and done.
Also, bear in mind, Arky's 74PPG is a bit skewered, they hung 112 on Longwood, but who can't hang a 100 spot on Longwood, they scored 89 on Florida A&M early in the season too, Arky was scoring in the 80's and 90's early in the season, look at the recent past, the last five Arky has been in the 50's and 60's and low 70's. Their offensive out put has been trending downward
Both defenses are OK, not great, but not crap either.
Remember, it takes two to make an over, and I feel Arky won't hold up their end of the bargain either.
I know, this game screams 165 at first glance, I'm not buying it. I see a lot of one and dones from the Razorbacks.
Mizzou wins this, say 76-67 or something.
You don't have to tail this play, just throwing my thoughts out there.
151.5 is a big number.
I get it, both teams average in the 70's, but what I don't think the casual bettor is seeing is Mizzou is a rebounding machine, (second in the nation) averaging over 40 boards a game. Couple that with the fact that even though Arky does average 74 a game, it has a pretty crappy, OK pedestrian like, 43 percent shooting percentage, which is middle of the pack. My point being, if Arky doesn't hit their first shot, the way Missouri rebounds, it'll be one and done.
Also, bear in mind, Arky's 74PPG is a bit skewered, they hung 112 on Longwood, but who can't hang a 100 spot on Longwood, they scored 89 on Florida A&M early in the season too, Arky was scoring in the 80's and 90's early in the season, look at the recent past, the last five Arky has been in the 50's and 60's and low 70's. Their offensive out put has been trending downward
Both defenses are OK, not great, but not crap either.
Remember, it takes two to make an over, and I feel Arky won't hold up their end of the bargain either.
I know, this game screams 165 at first glance, I'm not buying it. I see a lot of one and dones from the Razorbacks.
Mizzou wins this, say 76-67 or something.
You don't have to tail this play, just throwing my thoughts out there.
151.5 is a big number.
