Montana @ Southern Utah +2/ML Write up inside

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Louisvillekid1
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-17-07
    • 52143

    #1
    Montana @ Southern Utah +2/ML Write up inside
    As I look at this short card and see everyone trying to find winners on the big tv games I decided to dive into this under the radar matchup and might of found a nice hidden gem.

    First it caught my eye that Montana (20-6, 16-1) is only 2 point fav's against Southern Utah (11-16, 8-9). This game is Montana's 5th straight road game, which is very rare during the conference slate. They also just played rival Montana St surviving by 3 on saturday. Very quick turn around to come back on monday and play a team in SUU who could easily be overlooked while the kids are checking the standings. Before playing Montana St they also had a very draining Davidson game which they lost in OT.

    Montana's leading scorer Mathias Ward (14.8 ppg/3.9 boards) missed both of those games and is still listed being out indefinitely. His fellow senior leader Will Cherry (13.2 ppg/ 4.4 boards / 4.4 assists) also missed the last game. He got x rays but even though they looked good, he's has only walked on it once. He had broken his foot earlier in the season.

    Also all the local Articles I've read seem that they are just trying to make sure their 2 leader scorers/seniors will be healthy for the Big Sky Tournament.

    This is the second matchup this season between these two, Montana winning @ Home only by 6 : 73-67. In that game Ward went off for 20 and 4 and Cherry dropped 10, 5, and 3.

    Ward and Cherry are the only Seniors on the team, which is worth pointing out as we know teams can struggle and look lost missing their seniors after running the same sets all season long.



    Now I'm watching the line and every book has -2 -110 pretty much except our favorite Pinny!

    They have a nice looking pinny lean going right now offering the 20-6 road favorites -2.5 +101 and the comeback +2.5 -113.

    Southern Utah hasn't played since the 28th and this is their senior night. Their top 2 leading scores Jackson Stevenett (17 pgg / 6 boards) and Damon Heuir (15.9 ppg / 3 and 3) are both seniors and should want to play their last home strong especially since they won't have any postseason.

    On top of that the entire team also has the revenge factor after losing as mentioned earlier by 6 in the previous matchup.

    Southern Utah also has a big edge on the glass,

    TEAM OFF DEF TOTAL
    MONTA 7.8 23.0 30.8
    SUTAH 12.1 25.6 37.7
    Southern Utah's Home Rebounds vs Montana's Road Rebounds Allowed 40.5 18 33.0 83
    HEAD TO HEAD SUMMARY
    DATE DAY AWAY PTS HOME PTS HOMELINE ATS TOTAL OU FG% EDGE REB EDGE 3PT EDGE
    01/17/2013 Thu SUTAH 67 MONTA 73 -13½ SUTAH 131 O SUTAH
    SUTAH SUTAH

    I'm going w/ a max play on this game on both the +2, 1h and ML (when it comes out at my book)

    Just wanted to share the info I've found and GL if you decide to tail/fade.




    Here is the most recent update I can find about the two senior's injuries.

    Montana’s two seniors, forward Mathias Ward and point guard Will Cherry, both watched Tuesday’s practice from the bleachers. That might be as close as they get to the action for a good while. It’s highly unlikely either will play Saturday or Monday when the Griz travel to Montana State and Southern Utah.
    Ward missed Saturday’s overtime loss at Davidson after spraining the arch in his left foot late in a win at Idaho State.
    “I just came down on someone’s foot wrong, twisted it and felt something pop,” Ward said Tuesday.
    Doctors have told Ward he could possibly recover in time to play in the Big Sky tournament, which begins March 14 in either Missoula or Ogden.
    “I’m hoping to come back sooner than that,” Ward said.
    Cherry, who missed the first seven games of the season with a broken bone in his right foot, thought that he had broken it again late in the game at Davidson.
    “It was kind of the same, but it was more when I came down that I heard it pop,” Cherry said. “I instantly thought it broke. There was no way I could have gone back in the game. It was the same exact feeling as when I broke it.”
    X-rays on Sunday, though, did not show a break and a more detailed look with a CT scan on Monday confirmed the X-rays.
    “They actually said it looked exactly the same as my last checkup. (Jan. 28),” Cherry said.
    Cherry said there is no timetable yet for his return.
    “That’s a hard call,” Cherry said when asked if he thought he would play for the Griz again. “As of right now I don’t know too much. I haven’t walked an ounce on it since. I want to say I’ll give it a week to see how it’s feeling. Right now it feels as if something’s wrong, but nobody knows what it is. That’s the confusing part and that’s the scary part because I don’t know what the percentages are of me going back out there and this time breaking it.
    “Personally, I feel like it’s a warning sign, telling me to take it easy. But I know me, I want to get back on the court. If my foot’s not feeling right, I’m not going to push it because sure, I want to end my career right and do some things I haven’t been able to accomplish. The only thing left for me in my career is to win a game or two in the NCAA tournament and that’s what I want to do. But I have to think long term because there’s life after college basketball. I have to think of what’s best for me personally.”
  • Louisvillekid1
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-17-07
    • 52143

    #2
    Right after finishing this write up, i checked back at the Pinny line and they now are offering a huge 34 cent lean.

    Montana -2.5 +110 w/ the comeback on SUU +2.5 -124!!!!
    Comment
    • sweep
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-09-10
      • 16755

      #3
      Will be on this
      Comment
      • Vegas39
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 09-22-11
        • 30686

        #4
        Montana
        Comment
        • Vegas39
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-22-11
          • 30686

          #5
          On a side note as I grew up in Montana I get burned betting them more than bigday betting Minnesota
          Comment
          • Louisvillekid1
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-17-07
            • 52143

            #6
            Pinny Knows public will see the record differential and bet the short line. Looks to be begging for Montana action , will be interesting to watch the movement in this under the radar game.
            Comment
            • Vegas39
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 09-22-11
              • 30686

              #7
              Gl lk
              Comment
              • The Giant
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-21-12
                • 21480

                #8
                I like it. Good luck.
                Comment
                • Jrod124
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-31-09
                  • 5622

                  #9
                  Kareem Jamar will still be the best player on the court, almost single handily beat Davidson on the road as a huge underdog, will pass on this one.

                  GL LKid hope u cash
                  Comment
                  • You mad bro
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-15-12
                    • 16641

                    #10
                    Utah representtttt
                    Comment
                    • nba2013
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-01-12
                      • 464

                      #11
                      s utah +2 ??
                      Comment
                      • GoBlue77
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 03-20-11
                        • 9166

                        #12
                        good write up kid. especially the part about the public just looking at the records plus mondays are notorious fade the public days. you are 100% spot on this game might go big myself.
                        Comment
                        • cockblocker
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-26-09
                          • 1268

                          #13
                          Looks great in a 8 pt teaser with Nuggets and Blazers or Nuggets and Cinci.
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #14
                            Originally posted by cockblocker
                            Looks great in a 8 pt teaser with Nuggets and Blazers or Nuggets and Cinci.
                            Yeah I'm not a big teaser play at all but I agree Cincy +18 and SUU +10 look strong..'

                            Especially since I'm playing them both ATS already.

                            GL
                            Comment
                            • cockblocker
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-26-09
                              • 1268

                              #15
                              Especially with Nuggets-2 getting Hawks off that B2B battle with the Lakers.

                              I dont like to play them much either but this its all played this weekend the way these games have been going. Lines are very tight right now.

                              I only lost one the whole weekend. I wont continue to do it because they won't keep hitting at that rate. But sometimes you have to play them when the lines are right in order to win.
                              Comment
                              • BIGDAY
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 02-17-10
                                • 48245

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Vegas39
                                On a side note as I grew up in Montana I get burned betting them more than bigday betting Minnesota
                                Comment
                                • jinxpro13
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-31-12
                                  • 1434

                                  #17
                                  love this play. goodluck to any that play it.
                                  Comment
                                  • sweep
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-09-10
                                    • 16755

                                    #18


                                    TIME MONT SUTAH
                                    03/04 01:37 AM -2 -110 66% 2 -110 34%
                                    03/03 07:42 PM -2½ -110 68% 2½ -110 32%
                                    03/03 05:36 PM -2 -110 100% 2 -110 0%
                                    Comment
                                    • alamo
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-21-09
                                      • 7131

                                      #19
                                      Good luck LK ! Will be with you !
                                      Comment
                                      • Vinnie Paz
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-27-12
                                        • 12177

                                        #20
                                        People in Montana actually play/watch basketball? I thought it was cowboy/country music heaven.

                                        Will tail this too thanks kid


                                        Any info on NC A&T game anyone??
                                        Comment
                                        • 16johnnymac
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-27-10
                                          • 3499

                                          #21
                                          I posted match up I for on a thread here nc2a hoops

                                          Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                                          People in Montana actually play/watch basketball? I thought it was cowboy/country music heaven.

                                          Will tail this too thanks kid


                                          Any info on NC A&T game anyone??
                                          Comment
                                          • fitguy67
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-13-11
                                            • 5082

                                            #22
                                            Cinci +10.5 at pin,sia, b365, you, sbr
                                            and Cin +11 at greek

                                            latecomer sale...could end anytym
                                            Comment
                                            • tto827
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 10-01-12
                                              • 9078

                                              #23
                                              On Cincy and Southern Utah here LKid, don't bury me.
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                Pinny Knows public will see the record differential and bet the short line. Looks to be begging for Montana action , will be interesting to watch the movement in this under the radar game.
                                                You could look at it this way, or the book is just collecting big juice on SUU backers.
                                                Comment
                                                • Louisvillekid1
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-17-07
                                                  • 52143

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by tto827
                                                  On Cincy and Southern Utah here LKid, don't bury me.
                                                  too be clear to everyone who is tailing botH this is how I'm playing the card tonight.

                                                  SUU +2 2x
                                                  SUU 1h +1 2x
                                                  SUU +115 1x

                                                  Cincinnati + 2x

                                                  Ticket#:87777024
                                                  Mar 04 07:00 PM
                                                  User/Phone INTERNET / -1
                                                  Date Placed Mar 03 10:42 PM
                                                  Sport
                                                  CBB
                                                  Description STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [717] CINCINNATI +10-110
                                                  Risk/Win
                                                  110 / 100


                                                  WAGER
                                                  GameDate Ticket#:87778822
                                                  Mar 04 09:00 PM
                                                  User/Phone INTERNET / -1
                                                  Date Placed Mar 04 03:34 AM
                                                  Sport
                                                  CBB
                                                  Description STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [722] SOUTHERN UTAH +2-110
                                                  Risk/Win
                                                  110 / 100


                                                  WAGER
                                                  GameDate Ticket#:87780808
                                                  Mar 04 09:00 PM
                                                  User/Phone INTERNET / -1
                                                  Date Placed Mar 04 11:54 AM
                                                  Sport
                                                  CBB
                                                  Description STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [722] SOUTHERN UTAH +115
                                                  Risk/Win
                                                  50 / 58


                                                  WAGER
                                                  GameDate Ticket#:87780809
                                                  Mar 04 09:00 PM
                                                  User/Phone INTERNET / -1
                                                  Date Placed Mar 04 11:54 AM
                                                  Sport
                                                  CBB
                                                  Description STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [1722] 1H SOUTHERN UTAH +1-110
                                                  Risk/Win
                                                  110 / 100



                                                  Also 550/500 sbr points
                                                  Comment
                                                  • tto827
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 10-01-12
                                                    • 9078

                                                    #26
                                                    Mines similar, but I got a bit sprinkled on Cincy ML also.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Bengals28
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-20-11
                                                      • 2164

                                                      #27
                                                      Some RLM
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-17-07
                                                        • 52143

                                                        #28
                                                        -1.5 everywhere now
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #29
                                                          Good luck LK. Nice writeup.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • NittanyLionsFan
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-26-10
                                                            • 2857

                                                            #30
                                                            I'm all over Montana here. They win easily.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by NittanyLionsFan
                                                              I'm all over Montana here. They win easily.
                                                              I lean Montana as well, but I respect LK's opinion and he gave a good writeup. I'll probably just pass personally.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Clown Shoes
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 12-01-12
                                                                • 331

                                                                #32
                                                                You are right about Pinny and the lean. I will be on Montana still allot of talent without Cherry. Montana and Weber are class of the Big Sky.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jinxpro13
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-31-12
                                                                  • 1434

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by NittanyLionsFan
                                                                  I'm all over Montana here. They win easily.
                                                                  Lol

                                                                  fukkin clueless
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Roon28
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 02-11-12
                                                                    • 322

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Montana will win this by 6-7 pts
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BigDeem5
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-26-11
                                                                      • 17191

                                                                      #35
                                                                      S. Utah = winner.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...