I hate to say it, but: Cincinnati +10 is a gift....

[Louisvillekid1]

This rival goes back a long way and I can't ever remember this game being decided by Double Digits. I won't be upset If I lose this wager on the Bear-cats Monday night, but I can't turn down the play.

Should be a very tough low scoring game. Both clubs outstanding Defensively holding opponents to around 38% per contest and Cincy is a little better on the glass even.

I think there are going to be a ton of 3's shot in this game with the way both squads defend and we all know how familiar both coaches are w/ each others system.

Louisville coming off very hard fought win, with one day's rest and now the odds makers drop a 10 ball on this ESPN Big Monday Match up.

Doesn't make any sense to me, as I felt this line would open 8.5 and close at 8.

I'm hitting this now as no way it moves to 10.5/11.

Good Luck Gentlemen.



Go Cards!

[BIGDAY]

Agreed. Actually think the line should be closer to 7.

GL

[innovation]

I come up with -9.5. Cards are 2-6 ats at home lately. I don't think they have covered this year after playing 2 or more road games.

Is this a statement game? Seems too easy to take points.

[Bcatswin]

Damnt LK1 do me a favor and STFU!!!!! Can't be jinxing me this early...

[Louisvillekid1]

Damnt LK1 do me a favor and STFU!!!!! Can't be jinxing me this early...

ha, am I considered an SBR jinx now?



good luck tomorrow

[mcduggly]

I was gonna ask you about this and why it opened so big for Cinci. Honestly, I might wait till the line gets down to like 8.5 or 9 and take the Ville.

[Bcatswin]

dugger going against my Cats, unreal.

[sweep]

cards by 18.....book it

[cockblocker]

cards by 18.....book it

Good, still win by .5 pt in 8 pt teaser.

[GoBlue77]

anything that seems easy i would fade on a monday. the points seem nice but i bet you anything the cards run them out of the gym by DD

[cockblocker]

I see this line as the same type of game as Villanova and Pitt yesterday. Everyone played Pitt because the line looked too easy. Pitt was very lucky the game even went to ot. I can definitely see Cinci keeping this close with chance at an outright win. Looking at the actual matchup beteween the teams and not purely playing because of the line like Pitt. They have the #9 ranking myth attached to them for public perspective only reason the line is so high.

After some tough losses in 5 of their last 7 games I see them coming and playing with some urgency against a team that has won 8 of its past 9.

[richierich1421]

nice write up. what do you think about the over/under at 120.5?

[GIVEMETHEMONEY]

I agree with you LouisvilleKid

Also watch for Siva to make some wrong stupid turnover at the very worst time.

He tends to have a habit of doing that.

BOL everyone!

I hopped on Cincinnati +10 before the line changed.

[16johnnymac]

Hey guys a little info

I know wrong thread sorry

Jmac


In the paint, the rebound battle will feature Louisville's No. 35-rated squad against Cincinnati's No. 6-rated roster. And in long-range shooting, Louisville rates No. 221 in the country with 5.7 per game, while their foes tonight rank No. 100 nationally with 6.9 per match.

Defensively, Cincinnati features the nation's No. 34-rated defense on the road, allowing 62.4 points per game. Louisville, meanwhile, comes in at No. 65 nationally in scoring at home.

In their last action, Cincinnati was a 61-56 winner at home against Connecticut. They failed to cover the 7.5-point spread as favorites. Cincinnati earned a 61-56 victory over Connecticut on Saturday, getting 20 points from Sean Kilpatrick at Fifth Third Arena.

Louisville was a 58-53 winner in its last match on the road against Syracuse. They covered the 1.5-point spread as underdogs. The Cardinals got 18 points from Russ Smith as Louisville ran past Syracuse 58-53 on Saturday at Carrier Dome.

Cincinnati Bearcats Trends:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing South Florida are 6-4
After playing Connecticut are 3-6
After a win are 5-5

Louisville Cardinals Trends:
When playing on Monday are 9-1
Before playing Notre Dame are 10-0
After playing Syracuse are 7-3
After a win are 8-2

A few Bearcats at Cardinals trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisville
Cincinnati is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Louisville is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

[Da Beer Guy]

anything that seems easy i would fade on a monday. the points seem nice but i bet you anything the cards run them out of the gym by DD

werent u just saying fade the public monday thru wednesday?

You know the public has never seen a -10 point spread they didnt like.

[Louisvillekid1]

nice write up. what do you think about the over/under at 120.5?

The total being set this low just makes me like the 10 point head start even more. But I'm staying away from a play on the total in this one

[Chi_archie]

Cincy is fighting for their big dance life here right? they NEED this game

but if the book makers know this, like we do. that would be factored in the line, no?

seems fishy and too easy.

ultimately i'm sure i'll still put 2 units on the number and a tiny drop on the ML. But I don't like the feeling when I'm scratching my head at the line like this

[BigDeem5]

One would think 10 is too many

[mcduggly]

dugger going against my Cats, unreal.

I went to Cinci for 3 years and saw this team play a couple times this year as well and know that this is one of the worst offensive teams I've ever seen. They stand around and jack up 3s all day and have no interior presence at all. Because of that, I think they are very unpredictable and anything could happen in this game, but I think Louisville shuts their offense down and they don't hit their much-needed 3s.

[16johnnymac]

89% of the public on the ML Louisville
74% of the public on the over 122

QUOTE=Da Beer Guy;17989500]werent u just saying fade the public monday thru wednesday?

You know the public has never seen a -10 point spread they didnt like.[/QUOTE]

[16johnnymac]

Team to Cover SpreadSpreadConsensusBest SpreadBet Against
North Carolina A&T vs SAVAN -2.5 62.8% 5Dimes 5Dimes » Matchup
Montana @ SUTAH -2 59.7% 5Dimes 5Dimes » Matchup
Kansas vs TEXTK -25 57.2% JustBet 5Dimes » Matchup
Baylor @ TEXAS -1.5 56.7% 5Dimes JustBet » Matchup
Louisville vs CINCY -10 53.3% 5Dimes 5Dimes » Matchup
Best Over/Under BetsTotalConsensusBet typeBest Line

About NCAA Basketball Consensus

[CTOWNsCAPPIN]

Louisville -10 and over 121.......good luck!

[Dilo]

If you like the Bearcats you are getting a good deal right now at +10.5

[DonQ]

Just about to say line moved to 10.5

[mcduggly]

If you like the Bearcats you are getting a good deal right now at +10.5

Why the hell is it moving in that direction?

I think the Cards roll but I thought for sure the line was going to get down to maybe 9.

[Dilo]

Why the hell is it moving in that direction?

I think the Cards roll but I thought for sure the line was going to get down to maybe 9.

seems like all the bearcat love is late to the betting window

[Da Beer Guy]

vegasinsider is saying Cincy is a public play!

WTF since when does the public bet underdogs?

[No coincidences]

High spread with low total makes me wonder. Something's up. Why do I get the feeling Cincy will look like they're going to cover all game long, then lose 65-53?

Up to 11 at The Greek. No way in hell am I playing this game.

[Louisvillekid1]

This line movement is crazy, I'm sticking to my guns here though.

louisville rolls I won't be upset either so it's win/win..

SUU is my big play tonight anyway ,

[mcduggly]

This line movement is crazy, I'm sticking to my guns here though.

louisville rolls I won't be upset either so it's win/win..

SUU is my big play tonight anyway ,

I was looking at Southern Utah as well. What line did you get and how confident do you feel about it?

[Da Beer Guy]

how good is Cincinnati's defense?

the under here is starting to look good.

No fukkin way cincy puts up more than 60 on Louisville, the bearcats offense is one of the worst ive seen all year.

[tto827]

I was looking at Southern Utah as well. What line did you get and how confident do you feel about it?

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/2212146-montana-southern-utah-2-ml-write-up-inside.html

[Jeff Grant]

[Da Beer Guy]

jeff how much does sbr pay you?

[Bcatswin]

how good is Cincinnati's defense?

the under here is starting to look good.

No fukkin way cincy puts up more than 60 on Louisville, the bearcats offense is one of the worst ive seen all year.

Offense very anemic. Defense very good generally. 6th in the nation in Rebounds