Whenever you find an edge. If you let the lines shape, you may be missing out on the best number. There are instances where athletes are ruled ineligible for one reason or another (academics, misconduct, etc.) such as Florida St. last year, but I don't worry about things of that nature. They will even out in the long term. It also provides you little benefit in betting after the fact since the line is quickly taken off the board and readjusted. It's also something that you cannot accurately handicap unless you have inside information prior to its announcement. That said, there are currently a few games where I am finding value and I expect the line to move in my favor.
Comment
pavyracer
SBR Aristocracy
04-12-07
82888
#3
Between 2-4 am on December 13th.
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mmike032
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-08
8905
#4
I would say it depends on what lines look appealing to you, and if you expect them to move for or agaisnt your favor
Comment
EBone
SBR MVP
08-10-05
1787
#5
Yeah, I would say "later" as well. I think the panic-striken make irrational decisions at the deadline. I have been there and lived that. Not a good feeling.
E
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pags11
SBR Posting Legend
08-18-05
12264
#6
I agree with later as well...with all of the coaching changes, injuries, suspensions, etc. you can end up with a good number on a bad side if you bet a bowl game four weeks ahead of time...
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AGENT99
SBR MVP
03-31-08
1576
#7
for you dan? maybe never.
Comment
Chi_archie
SBR Aristocracy
07-22-08
63172
#8
great question...
Comment
Kingctb27
SBR MVP
07-16-08
2258
#9
Originally posted by pags11
I agree with later as well...with all of the coaching changes, injuries, suspensions, etc. you can end up with a good number on a bad side if you bet a bowl game four weeks ahead of time...
This thread is done.
Comment
laxdjock
SBR MVP
09-15-07
4074
#10
pags nailed it.
Comment
Jca6000
SBR High Roller
12-05-08
124
#11
It depends though, you could get a great deal -120 on BC -3 against Vandy but closer to game day this line could easily be -6, and BC doesnt have one key play maker, theres no real injury that could happen unless they pulled an FSU (which FSU still won that game) that would deter my bet