My new strategy making $2000 or go bust

[pavyracer]

I have cashed out of my stocks just a few minutes ago with another cool $2,000 profit in just 5 days. I have decided to invest it in the sports betting business but with a new strategy. After listening to Nicky Santoro (one of the greatest sport gamblers of 21st century) I will be betting only huge ML dogs for $100 a bet.

Since many of you are convinced this system is better I will compare this system with the previous one tried betting huge ML favs (It went from $2,000 to $1,000 in roughly 2 weeks).

Balance is $2,000 and record is 0-0.

Monday's plays:

Bobcats +330
Grizzlies +275

[Bread]

Good luck Pavy and God Bless.

[onthewhat]

good luck

[Matt Rain]

$100 a bet is most likely too much, unless you line-shop heavily, which you don't.

You'll go broke just as fast. But good luck.

[blittydeuce]

Get em Pavers!

[Matt Rain]

You should at least adjust your base amount every day. Flat 5% on each bet, based on your available balance at the start of the day.

[pavyracer]

You should at least adjust your base amount every day. Flat 5% on each bet, based on your available balance at the start of the day.

If the balance drops below $1000 I will start making $50 bets. Thanks for the advice Matt.

[donjuan]

You are more likely to be hot over a small sample size betting dogs than favs. But blindly betting anything without line shopping is likely to be a loser.

[Kingctb27]

Good luck my friend. Much better strategy.

[fiveteamer]

Hit'em hard Paves.

[Matt Rain]

If the balance drops below $1000 I will start making $50 bets. Thanks for the advice Matt.

[Nicky Santoro]

paver,

like i said earlier, you will eventually lose it all again.. that is 100% certain.. if you want to have a chance at coming up ahead, you actually do have a chance..

all you have to do is make sure you always get the best possible #.. for example, Pinnacle has a line at -800/+600.. you can't write down +600 and expect to win.. if you can consistently shop around and write +700 on those (which matchy does have), then you will end up a winner.. but don't just write down the real price, or you lose.. you have to always get a better # than the current line, and you will take home the money in the long haul..

[pico]

good luck

[pavyracer]

paver,

like i said earlier, you will eventually lose it all again.. that is 100% certain.. if you want to have a chance at coming up ahead, you actually do have a chance..

all you have to do is make sure you always get the best possible #.. for example, Pinnacle has a line at -800/+600.. you can't write down +600 and expect to win.. if you can consistently shop around and write +700 on those (which matchy does have), then you will end up a winner.. but don't just write down the real price, or you lose.. you have to always get a better # than the current line, and you will take home the money in the long haul..

Thanks for the advice Nicky. I am a recreational player and not trying to become a pro. I use the time required for shopping lines to research the stock market to buy stocks or real estate. I will leave the line shopping to the pros like yourself and donjuan that do this for a living.

[JRS21386]

Will never work... Too much of a simple strategy.. You actually have to MAKE an advantage for yourself

[Matt Rain]

Will never work... Too much of a simple strategy.. You actually have to MAKE an advantage for yourself

If he does what Nicky suggests and he drops his bets when he loses half his bankroll, he'll make money. Guaranteed.

[JRS21386]

But when you drop your bets, in turn it will take you that much longer to get it back... If it's so surefire then why doesn't everyone do it?

[WileOut]

Pavy you have to be betting at matchbook for these ML plays you are making. Look at matchbook ML's vs every one else.

[Matt Rain]

But when you drop your bets, in turn it will take you that much longer to get it back... If it's so surefire then why doesn't everyone do it?

Cause it's boring as **** when you bet within your means and your edge - and it does take a while to cover your losses, but it's the only way to minimize your risk of ruin. I've been doing it almost daily for nearly 2 years now. As an example, I've had a catastrophic downswing in MLB in May - 20 units lost over a couple of days. It took 4 months to cover my losses.

It sure beats any other form of investment though (IMO).

[tacomax]

Maybe you should PM Teela and see if you can get some advice about playing the $2000 on slot machines; she won $500,000 on the slots a few years back.

[Boner_18]

Maybe you should PM Teela and see if you can get some advice about playing the $2000 on slot machines; she won $500,000 on the slots a few years back.

I heard FH made a lot playing slots.

[szk1983]

Pavy,

Other posts aside, serious question. Why don't you just try betting the way you normally would? The problem I see with betting big dogs is that the value on those games normally are awful. For instance, even though this is an extreme, at 5dimes, Louisville is a -18500 on the ml, and the comeback is +7500. Obviously that is a huge difference. Why not just try to win the normal way?

[pavyracer]

Pavy,

Other posts aside, serious question. Why don't you just try betting the way you normally would? The problem I see with betting big dogs is that the value on those games normally are awful. For instance, even though this is an extreme, at 5dimes, Louisville is a -18500 on the ml, and the comeback is +7500. Obviously that is a huge difference. Why not just try to win the normal way?

Cause I have already made enough money winning the normal way. I have won money straight up, betting parlays, betting round robins, betting props, betting draws, betting futures, you name it. I want to win money trying something else. I like the challenge of trying something new. I am the Juan Pablo Montoya of sports betting.

[MastaB]

Get em PAVY!

[szk1983]

Cause I have already made enough money winning the normal way. I have won money straight up, betting parlays, betting round robins, betting props, betting draws, betting futures, you name it. I want to win money trying something else. I like the challenge of trying something new. I am the Juan Pablo Montoya of sports betting.

Hey, I guess gambling is about enjoyment, so go for it. If it were me, I would go with what works. At least it should be more fun to bet the dogs. Less sweating then betting a huge fave.

[reno cool]

keep your bets high enough that a couple wins in a row would meet your goal of doubling your original stake. That would give you your best chance.

[pavyracer]

Balance $2175 record is 1-1

[pokernut9999]

Balance $2175 record is 1-1

Almost had both of them

[pokernut9999]

Hey Pavy ,

What are tickets going for on the Chick Filet game ?

[pavyracer]

Almost had both of them

Thanks. Even if I bet both spread I would have won only $25 more so it wasn't too bad going 1-1.

[pavyracer]

Hey Pavy ,

What are tickets going for on the Chick Filet game ?

Upper Level $100 Lower level $150-$225

[pokernut9999]

Upper Level $100 Lower level $150-$225

Too much for a meaningless game , think I will get tickets to Rascal Flats concert instead,

[pavyracer]

Too much for a meaningless game , think I will get tickets to Rascal Flats concert instead,

Not to mention that a glass of beer costs almost $10. I would go to the concert and buy a case of beer to watch the game on the big screen home.

[pavyracer]

Balance $2175 record is 1-1

Tuesday Play's:

Wizards +175
Knicks +325
Hawks +175

[DaProfessor23]

I'm betting the same game's[ML] as you today Pavy . and good luck at reaching your goal