Minnesota +4/ML is a Very strong play Wednesday Evening...

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  • Louisvillekid1
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-17-07
    • 52143

    #1
    Minnesota +4/ML is a Very strong play Wednesday Evening...
    Mich St banged up big time and coming off very tough games. Minny starting to get their confidence back after two close wins.

    I think the Gophers go wire to wire in this one and win by 8-10...

  • Ralphie1412
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-08
    • 13963

    #2
    a few week ago I would have loved it. Something seems off with the gophers to me.
    "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
    Goat Milk
    Comment
    • Brock Landers
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 06-30-08
      • 45367

      #3
      LOVE Michigan St ML here
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by Ralphie1412
        a few week ago I would have loved it. Something seems off with the gophers to me.
        I lean Gophers here too (which is probably a bad thing for LK), but the revenge angle worries me. Plus I agree Minnesota isn't exactly playing its best ball right now. I watched the MSU/Minnesota game the first time around and I'm kind of thinking this is a pretty sharp number and either side is going to be sweating this bet out late.
        Comment
        • BigDeem5
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-26-11
          • 17191

          #5
          Lets go hit Lville
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by Brock Landers
            LOVE Michigan St ML here
            ruh-roh
            Comment
            • Louisvillekid1
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-17-07
              • 52143

              #7
              Originally posted by Ralphie1412
              a few week ago I would have loved it. Something seems off with the gophers to me.
              And yet the line comes out this short...

              Enticing the following ...

              Originally posted by Brock Landers
              LOVE Michigan St ML here

              :
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                I'm assuming Trice is out -- what about Gary Harris?
                Comment
                • Louisvillekid1
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-17-07
                  • 52143

                  #9
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  I'm assuming Trice is out -- what about Gary Harris?
                  Prob going to play, but can't be 100%

                  I even going to predict some RLM here..

                  Closes at 3/3.5
                  Comment
                  • BigDeem5
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-26-11
                    • 17191

                    #10
                    Minnesota better team, but on road. Figure minny will be public side... Agh.

                    I lean minny too.

                    And landers is on MSU...

                    Do the following
                    Comment
                    • Ralphie1412
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-29-08
                      • 13963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Brock Landers
                      LOVE Michigan St ML here

                      well there ya go
                      "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                      Goat Milk
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #12
                        Originally posted by BigDeem5
                        Minnesota better team, but on road. Figure minny will be public side... Agh.

                        I lean minny too.

                        And landers is on MSU...

                        Do the following
                        They are?
                        Comment
                        • Louisvillekid1
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-17-07
                          • 52143

                          #13
                          Originally posted by BigDeem5
                          Minnesota better team, but on road. Figure minny will be public side... Agh.

                          I lean minny too.

                          And landers is on MSU...

                          Do the following
                          They will? I think MSU will be backed pretty hard here by public
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                            Prob going to play, but can't be 100%

                            I even going to predict some RLM here..

                            Closes at 3/3.5
                            Probably will, especially because it technically opened at 2.5 @ BOL.

                            02/05 08:55 PM +4½ -110 -4½ -110
                            02/05 06:19 PM +4 -110 -4 -110
                            02/05 05:19 PM +3½ -110 -3½ -110
                            02/05 02:22 PM +2½ -110 -2½ -110
                            Comment
                            • BigDeem5
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-26-11
                              • 17191

                              #15
                              My opinion, yes

                              However Izzo better coach with home court
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                They will? I think MSU will be backed pretty hard here by public
                                Yep. Public loves short home favorites.
                                Comment
                                • Louisvillekid1
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-17-07
                                  • 52143

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                  Probably will, especially because it technically opened at 2.5 @ BOL.

                                  02/05 08:55 PM +4½ -110 -4½ -110
                                  02/05 06:19 PM +4 -110 -4 -110
                                  02/05 05:19 PM +3½ -110 -3½ -110
                                  02/05 02:22 PM +2½ -110 -2½ -110
                                  Wow I didn't see that thought it opened @ 4
                                  Comment
                                  • BigDeem5
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-26-11
                                    • 17191

                                    #18
                                    I'd love to get 4...

                                    Minnesota +4 should cash. Minny ml give it 50-50
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                      Wow I didn't see that thought it opened @ 4
                                      BOL goes with the "pre market" Glantz-Culver numbers. You can look at that two ways: the "opening line" was soft and MSU got pounded, or the market -- led by Pinny of course -- was just correcting itself and now you're seeing a more true number.
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BigDeem5
                                        I'd love to get 4...

                                        Minnesota +4 should cash. Minny ml give it 50-50
                                        What do you mean you'd "love to get 4"? It's 4 right now. Go get it.
                                        Comment
                                        • Brock Landers
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 06-30-08
                                          • 45367

                                          #21
                                          MSU ML WILL cash

                                          They basically never lose big ten home games
                                          Comment
                                          • ClayMaker52
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 10-15-10
                                            • 78

                                            #22
                                            I'm a Minnesota alum and watch nearly every game. You guys need to be careful here, the gophers haven't played well in weeks. Beating nebraska at home and then uglying it up for 40 minutes and squeaking by Iowa as a double digit favorite isn't a great indicator of how this team is doing right now. Tubby Smith is in hot water- our rotation is a mess and frankly he hasn't coached very well of late. I understand the angle, but just don't sell out on this one play- we definitely are not a lock.
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Brock Landers
                                              MSU ML WILL cash

                                              They basically never lose big ten home games
                                              Is that your reasoning? Seriously?
                                              Comment
                                              • Ralphie1412
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-29-08
                                                • 13963

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Brock Landers
                                                MSU ML WILL cash

                                                They basically never lose big ten home games


                                                I love your analysis. Brock you are 40 years old and have been doing this for years and you still bet like a 16 year old girl

                                                "they liiiiike never lose at home......Like....totally."
                                                "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                                Goat Milk
                                                Comment
                                                • Louisvillekid1
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-17-07
                                                  • 52143

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by ClayMaker52
                                                  I'm a Minnesota alum and watch nearly every game. You guys need to be careful here, the gophers haven't played well in weeks. Beating nebraska at home and then uglying it up for 40 minutes and squeaking by Iowa as a double digit favorite isn't a great indicator of how this team is doing right now. Tubby Smith is in hot water- our rotation is a mess and frankly he hasn't coached very well of late. I understand the angle, but just don't sell out on this one play- we definitely are not a lock.
                                                  This is why its a good to buy low in this spot...

                                                  I think they play big tomorrow...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Ralphie1412
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-29-08
                                                    • 13963

                                                    #26
                                                    The Big 10 tournament is going to be sick this year.
                                                    "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                                    Goat Milk
                                                    Comment
                                                    • No coincidences
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                      • 76300

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                                                      The Big 10 tournament is going to be sick this year.
                                                      Yes and no.

                                                      MSU, for instance, typically tanks unless they have something to play for. I've read that Izzo would rather be out and get ready for the real tournament.

                                                      Hopefully Minnesota or Illinois will catch a second wind. Wisconsin just isn't very good. Iowa's not quite there yet. Purdue, Nebraska, Northwestern and Penn State are awful. That basically leaves the big three unless MSU is going for a higher seed in the NCAA Tournament.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-17-07
                                                        • 52143

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                        Yes and no.

                                                        MSU, for instance, typically tanks unless they have something to play for. I've read that Izzo would rather be out and get ready for the real tournament.

                                                        Hopefully Minnesota or Illinois will catch a second wind. Wisconsin just isn't very good. Iowa's not quite there yet. Purdue, Nebraska, Northwestern and Penn State are awful. That basically leaves the big three unless MSU is going for a higher seed in the NCAA Tournament.
                                                        Minny will and I don't think anyone wants to play Illinois in early round of that tourny
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Emily_Haines
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 04-14-09
                                                          • 15847

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Ralphie1412


                                                          I love your analysis. Brock you are 40 years old and have been doing this for years and you still bet like a 16 year old girl

                                                          "they liiiiike never lose at home......Like....totally."
                                                          Brock is 50 and has no bankroll left
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                            Minny will and I don't think anyone wants to play Illinois in early round of that tourny
                                                            Illini are dangerous if they get hot from deep, and I still think their coaching situation is significantly better than it was a year ago.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • no1here
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-23-09
                                                              • 5914

                                                              #31
                                                              very confident minnesota doesn't have a chance here at win or spread
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Big Bear
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 11-01-11
                                                                • 43253

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                                                                a few week ago I would have loved it. Something seems off with the gophers to me.
                                                                same here. minnesota playing like bums lately. They are a below average team on the road.

                                                                hope minnesota wins though i am not much of a fan of michigan state
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Big Bear
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 11-01-11
                                                                  • 43253

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                  Yep. Public loves short home favorites.
                                                                  not that it matters but public on minnesota for some reason..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Ron29301
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-27-11
                                                                    • 2311

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                                    not that it matters but public on minnesota for some reason..
                                                                    My shop has it at +4.5. For what reason if the public is on MIN?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Big Bear
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 11-01-11
                                                                      • 43253

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Ron29301
                                                                      My shop has it at +4.5. For what reason if the public is on MIN?

                                                                      my bad last night minnesota got pounded. guess that was sharp money.

                                                                      now vegasinsider showing 96% of bets on michigan state.
                                                                      Comment
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