-1 Runline

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  • freebie
    SBR MVP
    • 08-10-05
    • 1174

    #1
    -1 Runline
    I know Pinny offers -1 RL for bases. And someone here also mentioned bet365 offers -1 RL, but when I checked their lines I don't see the -1 RL option.

    Do I have to login to see it or Bet365 doesn't offer it?

    any other books offer -1 RL for bases?

    Thanks
  • Doug
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-10-05
    • 6324

    #2
    Do a search. You can bet ML and RL anywhere to get -1 line.
    Comment
    • Doug
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-10-05
      • 6324

      #3
      Quote:
      RPM said...
      Doug,

      i would love to see that formula!


      Here's a made-up example of how to make a -1 line : Numbers may not reflect actual odds on what happens when going +/- 1.5 runs with a +175/ -185 game, I made the line up quick.

      Boston +175 +1.5 -115
      NYY -185 -1.5 +105

      You want NYY, but don't want to lay -185, and will take a push if they win by one, instead of a loss laying -1.5 runs.

      take the ML ( 185) divide it into 100. That's 100 divided by 185, which = .5405 .5405 is your multiplier.

      add 1 to the multiplier to get 1.5405

      divide that into 1. That's 1 divided by 1.5405= .6491
      Where basing this on a $100 bet, so multiply .6491 X100= 64.91

      That's what you bet on ML

      64.91 at -185= 35.09

      you take the ML payoff ( 35.09) and bet it on RL

      35.09 at +105= 36.84

      so you have:

      64.91= 35.09 on ML
      35.09= 36.84 on -1.5 RL
      _______________________

      100= 71.93

      100 divided by 71.93 gives you a -1 line of -139


      If NYY win by one you win the ML for 35.09 and lose that 35.09 on RL for a profit/ loss of zero. It's not too difficult once you do it a few times.

      You effectively make a -1 line at any book or combination of books.

      Don't credit me, credit RX'er Illini.
      Comment
      • carlos vincente
        SBR Rookie
        • 07-21-06
        • 29

        #4
        wow doug, that was impressive. i should be using that often. thanks alot!
        Comment
        • ganchrow
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-28-05
          • 5011

          #5
          This is the spreadsheet I had posted with respect to synthesizing ±1 run lines.
          Comment
          • Doug
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-10-05
            • 6324

            #6
            Originally posted by carlos vincente
            wow doug, that was impressive. i should be using that often. thanks alot!
            It's not my original idea, learned from Illini at RX.
            Comment
            • ourbet
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-23-05
              • 464

              #7
              When I read stuff such as this, I realize just how little I actually know and how much there is to learn. This is really awe-inspiring, well for me at least; I wonder what comes next?
              Comment
              • RickySteve
                Restricted User
                • 01-31-06
                • 3415

                #8
                Originally posted by ourbet
                When I read stuff such as this, I realize just how little I actually know and how much there is to learn. This is really awe-inspiring, well for me at least; I wonder what comes next?
                7th grade algebra...mind-blowing...
                Comment
                • ourbet
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-23-05
                  • 464

                  #9
                  Originally posted by RickySteve
                  7th grade algebra...mind-blowing...
                  "profitable" is what I'm looking for RickySteve.
                  Comment
                  • imgv94
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-16-05
                    • 17192

                    #10
                    Originally posted by RickySteve
                    7th grade algebra...mind-blowing...
                    Comment
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