Was it smart to hedge - Berdych vs Anderson, Aussie Open, Live Betting?!

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  • dontknowhowtobet
    SBR MVP
    • 01-21-09
    • 2896

    #1
    Was it smart to hedge - Berdych vs Anderson, Aussie Open, Live Betting?!
    I've placed £1000 on Berdych to win this match, before it has begun ....
    That would have brought me £200 of winnings.

    However, because the 3rd set is so tight (at the moment Kevin Anderson is leading 6-5 in the 3rd set, and Tomas Berdych is going to serve to either force a tie break or lose the 3rd set) - I've decided during the 3rd set to hedge and bet £70 on Anderson as you can see in the following screenshot:




    Basically

    I spent £1070 in total.
    If Berdych wins I get £1200, so that is £130 profit.
    If Anderson wins I get £1190, so that is £120 profit.


    This way I don't have to worry about if one of the players retire and the profit is secured ...

    Do you think this was a good move or I should have left the bet on Berdych as is, without hedging on Anderson?!



    Of course I prefer Berdych to win coz it's £10 more ... but you know... Tennis can be unpredictable, right?!
  • dontknowhowtobet
    SBR MVP
    • 01-21-09
    • 2896

    #2
    Comment
    • dontknowhowtobet
      SBR MVP
      • 01-21-09
      • 2896

      #3
      Berdych wins the 3rd set in a tie-break, it was very very tight with lots of break points for Mr. Anderson!
      He won 15-13 in this tie-break in the 3rd set (28 points in total!)

      I'm glad I tried to hedge coz it could have ended towards the other direction.... 28 points in a tie-break only show how close it was!

      Congrats Tomas, I love you
      Comment
      • dontknowhowtobet
        SBR MVP
        • 01-21-09
        • 2896

        #4
        And this is how I get £62.50 back in a matter of seconds:



        Did a calculation if the 3 games before this game....

        Last one - won to deuce
        Previous to that one - won to deuce
        Previous to that - won to 15

        This game she won to love (0) but I backed it up just in case with +2.5 points (she needs to reach 30 for the bet to win)....

        Easy £62.50

        Going to cashout now, had enough winnings for today.
        Comment
        • dontknowhowtobet
          SBR MVP
          • 01-21-09
          • 2896

          #5
          The 10th game is going to be interesting in my opinion ... I wouldn't bet on it.
          Comment
          • Domestic
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-10-09
            • 6323

            #6
            I had the under 39 and this match also made me sweat it out. Was cruising early in the third then was about ready to give up on my wager during that tiebreak with Anderson suddenly hitting first serves everywhere. Glad that shit is over.
            Comment
            • dontknowhowtobet
              SBR MVP
              • 01-21-09
              • 2896

              #7
              Originally posted by Domestic
              I had the under 39 and this match also made me sweat it out. Was cruising early in the third then was about ready to give up on my wager during that tiebreak with Anderson suddenly hitting first serves everywhere. Glad that shit is over.


              Congrats man
              Comment
              • Bbr
                SBR MVP
                • 08-17-10
                • 3900

                #8
                u seriously dont know how to bet
                Comment
                • dontknowhowtobet
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-21-09
                  • 2896

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Bbr
                  u seriously dont know how to bet
                  Comment
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