I dont see how this cant win!!!???

[Tsoprano]

Such a horrid mangling of logic.

To go by in all situations, yes. But picking two teams to win against horrible teams tomorrow isn't.

What are your favorite plays hotshot?

I only went 10-1 today, can sure use the advice from you.

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

don juan is just a person who likes to bash everyone , and has nothing but negative things to say let him b

[donjuan]

To go by in all situations, yes. But picking two teams to win against horrible teams tomorrow isn't.

Yep betting MLs/parlays regardless of price because a couple of teams "suck" is a winning gambling strategy.

I only went 10-1 today, can sure use the advice from you.

Maybe running hot over piddling sample sizes impresses the morons of Players Talk but all that does is make me chuckle at your naivete.

[donjuan]

don juan is just a person who likes to bash everyone , and has nothing but negative things to say let him b

I only bash retards who post stupid titles like "I don't see how this can't win!". Strangely enough, you fall into this category, too.

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

I only bash retards who post stupid titles like "I don't see how this can't win!". Strangely enough, you fall into this category, too.

and ive made one of these posts before?

[donjuan]

and ive made one of these posts before?

Are you aware of the meaning of the word "like"?

[Tsoprano]

Donny boy, I've been beating the books since Mommy was packing your lunchbox in highschool pal.

There's nothing wrong with betting a 2 team parlay. And because great teams (on good runs) are playing team(s) that suck is usually a good reason to consider them.

[jayz00]

Chicago -3 is solid. Sixers are just not playing good ball at the moment.. blew a first qtr lead and looked lost in the second half. I can't see how they can get out of this mess overnight

Chicago -3 is the play for me

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

Are you aware of the meaning of "edge" , a Moneyline on these bets is not a guarantee but it does give a "edge" over the spread, altho you having Insanely Negative Expected Value , as you call it, are you betting on the pacers to win straight up?

[wtf]

i smell a contest T vs that other guy, i got 5k on T

you up for that other guy? free 5k for you smart ass

[Tsoprano]

I only bash retards who post stupid titles like "I don't see how this can't win!". Strangely enough, you fall into this category, too.

What's wrong with being very confident in something? Is emotion a trait you fail to carry?

I didn't call it a lock, guaranteed, etc. Just voiced that I cant see it losing, and theres a possibility im wrong. But I dont see that possibility very likey at all.

Time will tell.

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

i got all the time in the world

[donjuan]

Donny boy, I've been beating the books since Mommy was packing your lunchbox in highschool pal.

Sure you have.

There's nothing wrong with betting a 2 team parlay. And because great teams (on good runs) are playing team(s) that suck is usually a good reason to consider them.

Of course there is nothing wrong with a 2 team parlay. It's part of an optimal Kelly strategy. What's basically the opposite of optimal, however, is parlaying "can't-lose" favorites regardless of price. Your answer to Justin was precisely that of your average random square.

[donjuan]

Are you aware of the meaning of "edge"

Yes. But for a laugh, I'd love to hear you try to define it.

a Moneyline on these bets is not a guarantee but it does give a "edge" over the spread

In what way does it give an edge without knowing what the moneyline actually is?

altho you having Insanely Negative Expected Value , as you call it, are you betting on the pacers to win straight up?

Whatever schools you attended should be investigated for fraud.

[Tsoprano]

Sure you have.



Of course there is nothing wrong with a 2 team parlay. It's part of an optimal Kelly strategy. What's basically the opposite of optimal, however, is parlaying "can't-lose" favorites regardless of price. Your answer to Justin was precisely that of your average random square.

You must of had a bad day at your day job.

I know the odds already on 2 out of 3 of the teams in consideration. I didn't answer Justin in depth because im not into mathy writeups at 2:00 in the morning. I like the picks, im playing the picks, im probably going to be cashing the picks.

To each his own.

[donjuan]

What's wrong with being very confident in something? Is emotion a trait you fail to carry?

Random, vague words are always fun. I'm confident that pretty much every bet I place has an edge, not that you would understand the meaning of the word edge.

I didn't call it a lock, guaranteed, etc. Just voiced that I cant see it losing, and theres a possibility im wrong. But I dont see that possibility very likey at all.

Time will tell.

I hope you bet online rather than with a local.

[Tsoprano]

Yes. But for a laugh, I'd love to hear you try to define it.

Lakers on a 7 game win streak, including wins over contending teams. Starting an easy road trip tomorrow against the Pacers, Trying to improve this 15-1 record to matchup against an Elite Bulls franchise of the past, etc.

In what way does it give an edge without knowing what the moneyline actually is?

2 of the lines are already posted. Just the Jazz are missing.


Whatever schools you attended should be investigated for fraud.

lol, w.e

.

[donjuan]

You must of had a bad day at your day job.

Cute.

I know the odds already on 2 out of 3 of the teams in consideration. I didn't answer Justin in depth because im not into mathy writeups at 2:00 in the morning. I like the picks, im playing the picks, im probably going to be cashing the picks.

Mathy writeups along the lines of Lakers 99.9%, Jazz 99.8%, Blazers 99%?

[Tsoprano]

I hope you bet online rather than with a local.

I bet 90% of the time with Locals.

After all this bs Don, let me ask you 2 simple questions (and please answer it honestly):

1.) Do you think the Lakers will win tomorrow?

2.) Do you think the Jazz will win tomorrow?

[donjuan]

Lakers on a 7 game win streak, including wins over contending teams. Starting an easy road trip tomorrow against the Pacers, Trying to improve this 15-1 record to matchup against an Elite Bulls franchise of the past, etc.

I asked Untiltheendoftime to define "edge", not what he though the edge was for a particular play. Your reading comprehension is off-the-charts terrible.

[donjuan]

I bet 90% of the time with Locals.

I was hoping to see a small boost to the offshore SB economy.

[dwaechte]

.

Huh? You answered a post directed at Untiltheendoftime?

[Tsoprano]

i smell a contest T vs that other guy, i got 5k on T

you up for that other guy? free 5k for you smart ass

Thanks wtf. He wouldnt be up for it. Guy barely posts a play for free, let alone if he has to risk a pack of skittles and maybe 2 rubber bands (half his bankroll) on it in a contest.

BTW, "wtf" is definitely a good term for the wife in your avatar.

[Tsoprano]

Huh? You answered a post directed at Untiltheendoftime?

I felt like answering it too.

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

Yes. But for a laugh, I'd love to hear you try to define it.
Edge is a fictional belief in any bettors head that enables him or her to place a bet, if they felt no edge theyd be flipping a coin not capping

In what way does it give an edge without knowing what the moneyline actually is?

Moneyline is already posted donny,


Whatever schools you attended should be investigated for fraud.

Your the one that made that quote in a past thread of mine so you should be held in a mental institution

[donjuan]

After all this bs Don, let me ask you 2 simple questions (and please answer it honestly):

1.) Do you think the Lakers will win tomorrow?

2.) Do you think the Jazz will win tomorrow?

Your questions are meaningless to sports betting and also lack any meaning in reality but I do think that each individually has a greater than 50% chance of winning if that is what you are asking.

[Tsoprano]

I was hoping to see a small boost to the offshore SB economy.

Check my spreadsheet (which I havent updated in a long time), check every one of my posts since the day I joined. Your conclusion would be lots of profit.

Now your just throwing jabs at me instead of using the facts to back your statements. Which I must say, disappoints me.. because you seem like a good debater.

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

by donjuan in a post for a teaser i made months ago

Quote:
but i don't have a better word for this 10 point teaser
I do, except in 4 words. Insanely negative expected value. How books ever go broke is beyond me.

[donjuan]

Thanks wtf. He wouldnt be up for it. Guy barely posts a play for free, let alone if he has to risk a pack of skittles and maybe 2 rubber bands (half his bankroll) on it in a contest.

1. I'm sure you'd come up with some absurd rules a la Nicky/LT.
2. Any contest that would actually prove anything would be rather complex and long lasting. I'm sure you have no clue as to what "time value of money" means but you should look it up if you don't.

[WestsidePete]

Yep betting MLs/parlays regardless of price because a couple of teams "suck" is a winning gambling strategy.



Maybe running hot over piddling sample sizes impresses the morons of Players Talk but all that does is make me chuckle at your naivete.

You are correct in the larger picture...but let's look at these two games:

Lakers are not only clearly better...they have the size advantage...shoot 2% better get more rebounds...play better defense and only avg 13.7 TO's while the Pacers avg 16.3 The Pacers will be hyped up being at home vs the Lakers, and 8-9 pts on the road to cover may be a lot..but would never take the Pacers to win the game....then you go to the Jazz who got their ass kicked last game...come to Sacramento vs a beat up Kings team...if they weren't beat up I probably wouldn't even think of this play since the Jazz are an average road team, but they will come out strong and have a clear advantage with Deron Williams back and Martin/Salmons hurting on the Kings side...ML parlays are not something to do everyday.....but this one looks good...the Blazers are a no play....just Lakers/Jazz

[Tsoprano]

Your questions are meaningless to sports betting and also lack any meaning in reality but I do think that each individually has a greater than 50% chance of winning if that is what you are asking.

I never said it did. Since you've used up a page of my thread, I figured at the least I can get your opinion on the two events.

I knew you couldnt answer the question straight up, your style is making an agrument out of everything.

[Tsoprano]

1. I'm sure you'd come up with some absurd rules a la Nicky/LT.
2. Any contest that would actually prove anything would be rather complex and long lasting. I'm sure you have no clue as to what "time value of money" means but you should look it up if you don't.

I'd let you make the rules up. Im not a picky guy.

[donjuan]

Untiltheendoftime,

When you can post something resembling a coherent thought, much less reasonably formated, I will respond. Until then, get help.

[Tsoprano]

Don, I guess everyone is out of your league.

Have you ever tried eog.com?

Anyone can talk the talk, lets see you do the walk by consistently picking winners here for us all to enjoy, and profit from.

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

when you can post a winning record in anything then you can talk to me

for your assurance,