Serious Thread: Want To Hit A Home Run. Large Play. Which Remaing 4 NFL Teams Win It?

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  • TheMoneyShot
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-07
    • 28672

    #1
    Serious Thread: Want To Hit A Home Run. Large Play. Which Remaing 4 NFL Teams Win It?
    You know who I trust in this situation... and you guys are going to laugh. LakerBoy. He's good at reading things. I'm waiting for his play... and I might consider it.

    I think San Francisco Wins It All. That's my Gut Instinct. No Low Seeded team should ever be a favorite at the higher seed's stadium. I want to hit a game for around Risking 4k.

    Should I go All In to win 4k on San Francisco VS Atlanta ML?

    Or

    San Francisco To win it all.... Risking 4k wins around 8k.

    What would you do??
  • tto827
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-01-12
    • 9078

    #2
    GL if you go that route, but Matty Ice finally has some confidence, think they might actually get to the Super bowl this year.
    Comment
    • frostno98
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-11-07
      • 9769

      #3
      Falcons Ravens. Falcons win it all.
      Comment
      • lunchbawks
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-31-10
        • 12873

        #4
        Comment
        • tatddy
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-02-10
          • 10779

          #5
          If you have to search for a game to make a huge bet then you should take a step back and make normal sized wagers based on your reads. When the time comes for your "big" play you will know it. It will find you.
          Comment
          • zoo youk
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-23-11
            • 10701

            #6
            Originally posted by tatddy
            If you have to search for a game to make a huge bet then you should take a step back and make normal sized wagers based on your reads. When the time comes for your "big" play you will know it. It will find you.
            damn. took the words right out of my mouth. good advice.
            Comment
            • paco
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-07-09
              • 62873

              #7
              Seattle had the best remaining secondary and Ryan exposed em. Sherman alone slapped away 2 td's last second. SF will lose next week.
              Comment
              • k13
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-16-10
                • 18104

                #8
                Pats ML vs Baltimore
                Comment
                • zoo youk
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-23-11
                  • 10701

                  #9
                  Originally posted by paco
                  Seattle had the best remaining secondary and Ryan exposed em. Sherman alone slapped away 2 td's last second. SF will lose next week.
                  paco why do you keep pretending to forget how Seattle picked up literally 30 yards a play and scored on every single drive from the end of the first half till the end of the game and why? because Atlanta had absolutely no pass rush at all. I can't stress it enough. SF o line is 10x nastier than Seattles. they are going to eat Atlantas D line alive man. there is only so much time them corners can hold up in coverage as you saw today.
                  Comment
                  • InTheDrink
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-23-09
                    • 23983

                    #10
                    Originally posted by tatddy
                    If you have to search for a game to make a huge bet then you should take a step back and make normal sized wagers based on your reads. When the time comes for your "big" play you will know it. It will find you.
                    its hilarious how people load up for the last few playoff games and the super bowl

                    like let's try to undo all the fukked up bets we made over the past 20 weeks and make a huge one on the super bowl to end up burying ourselves completely
                    Comment
                    • tto827
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-01-12
                      • 9078

                      #11
                      Originally posted by InTheDrink
                      its hilarious how people load up for the last few playoff games and the super bowl

                      like let's try to undo all the fukked up bets we made over the past 20 weeks and make a huge one on the super bowl to end up burying ourselves completely
                      Especially when they are the sharpest lines you'll ever come across.
                      Comment
                      • TheMoneyShot
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-14-07
                        • 28672

                        #12
                        Originally posted by tatddy
                        If you have to search for a game to make a huge bet then you should take a step back and make normal sized wagers based on your reads. When the time comes for your "big" play you will know it. It will find you.
                        Thanks for your advice Tat. You are correct.


                        Originally posted by InTheDrink

                        its hilarious how people load up for the last few playoff games and the super bowl

                        like let's try to undo all the fukked up bets we made over the past 20 weeks and make a huge one on the super bowl to end up burying ourselves completely
                        I always go large during the last game of the year. But... I'm trying to see if there's any value in the AFC/NFC Championship. And... I'm pissed off at myself taking Green Bay. S.F. embarrassed them. I took Seattle +12.5 Live betting and got lucky... I noticed momentum shifting and Atlanta was playing conservative.

                        I don't trust Matt Ryan. You can say it's his year... but he throws interceptions at the most horrible of times!! He has a good team that surrounds him... I wish he would take the easy check down throws... and I don't know if I trust him with my money.


                        Early Public Flow Courtesy of PreGame.com

                        San Francisco: 80% Spread, 77% Money Line, Exotics 81%,

                        That's not what I wanted to see.
                        Comment
                        • k13
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-16-10
                          • 18104

                          #13
                          All 23k points on the Pats. That's 6k worth of free points.

                          Comment
                          • briedward
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 03-24-12
                            • 982

                            #14
                            Ravens +10 is a good deal vs Pats - they usually play each other close. Flacco can play decently vs Pats, and Ravens can give Brady enough trouble to keep it close.

                            If you want a risky gamble that could pay huge, take Ravens ML +345.

                            It's possible we will see a Harbaugh Bowl - and if that happens, Ravens win (Kaepernick will not go crazy against the Ravens defense)
                            Comment
                            • InTheDrink
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-23-09
                              • 23983

                              #15
                              Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                              I always go large during the last game of the year.
                              the ONLY reason why someone should bet bigger on and end of the year game is because they might know more about the teams/have more data at that point in the year

                              super bowl is just another game as far as betting goes

                              i'll play some small plays on stupid props for the super bowl strictly for entertainment but the game is just one game
                              Comment
                              • GP
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 06-03-12
                                • 890

                                #16
                                what other sports do you bet MoneyShot?
                                Comment
                                • PAULYPOKER
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-06-08
                                  • 36581

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                  You know who I trust in this situation... and you guys are going to laugh. LakerBoy. He's good at reading things. I'm waiting for his play... and I might consider it.

                                  I think San Francisco Wins It All. That's my Gut Instinct. No Low Seeded team should ever be a favorite at the higher seed's stadium. I want to hit a game for around Risking 4k.

                                  Should I go All In to win 4k on San Francisco VS Atlanta ML?

                                  Or

                                  San Francisco To win it all.... Risking 4k wins around 8k.

                                  What would you do??


                                  Trust me Money,

                                  nothing is stopping this train.............
                                  Comment
                                  • TheMoneyShot
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 02-14-07
                                    • 28672

                                    #18
                                    Well... I did it... going Large! "In It To Win It... Like Yzerman!!!"

                                    Comment
                                    • tatddy
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-02-10
                                      • 10779

                                      #19
                                      Boom! You know I'll be rooting you on.
                                      Comment
                                      • d2bets
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-10-05
                                        • 39995

                                        #20
                                        I'm going to assume you're choosing between SF ML -190 and SF to win SB +200. These odds imply SF at -103 to win the Super Bowl. If you think you'll get better than -103 then take the ML now. If you think you'll be laying more then take the future. A good part of it is how you think NE/Balt will turn out. If you think Balt's chance to beat NE is better than the current ML then take the future. If you're confident NE will win then take the SF ML vs. ATL and then put it back on SF for the Super Bowl.
                                        Comment
                                        • Slimpickens
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-28-12
                                          • 2030

                                          #21
                                          You should have taken the 49ers to just win Sunday vs the Falcons as the playing of this game to me is no more than a formality. No real value IMO to take them at +200 to win the bowl unless you get lucky and they face the Ravens.
                                          Comment
                                          • tatddy
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-02-10
                                            • 10779

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by d2bets
                                            I'm going to assume you're choosing between SF ML -190 and SF to win SB +200. These odds imply SF at -103 to win the Super Bowl. If you think you'll get better than -103 then take the ML now. If you think you'll be laying more then take the future. A good part of it is how you think NE/Balt will turn out. If you think Balt's chance to beat NE is better than the current ML then take the future. If you're confident NE will win then take the SF ML vs. ATL and then put it back on SF for the Super Bowl.
                                            He already booked his bet pal. Save your breath
                                            Comment
                                            • Slimpickens
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-28-12
                                              • 2030

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by PAULYPOKER


                                              Trust me Money,

                                              nothing is stopping this train.............
                                              Theres no way Baltimore would beat the 49ers.
                                              Comment
                                              • lakerboy
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-02-09
                                                • 94379

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                                You know who I trust in this situation... and you guys are going to laugh. LakerBoy. He's good at reading things. I'm waiting for his play... and I might consider it.

                                                I think San Francisco Wins It All. That's my Gut Instinct. No Low Seeded team should ever be a favorite at the higher seed's stadium. I want to hit a game for around Risking 4k.

                                                Should I go All In to win 4k on San Francisco VS Atlanta ML?

                                                Or

                                                San Francisco To win it all.... Risking 4k wins around 8k.

                                                What would you do??


                                                SF is my big play this weekend. -3.5. very confident in them. also have balty with points and ml and both unders.
                                                Comment
                                                • easyliving
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 06-25-12
                                                  • 8876

                                                  #25
                                                  Falcons+4.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Ghenghis Kahn
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                    • 19734

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                                    You know who I trust in this situation... and you guys are going to laugh. LakerBoy.
                                                    i stopped reading after this sentence...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ProPicker713
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-15-10
                                                      • 6788

                                                      #27
                                                      Just bet the over in the rest of the playoffs games.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • PAULYPOKER
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-06-08
                                                        • 36581

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by ProPicker713
                                                        Just bet the over in the rest of the playoffs games.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Big Bear
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 11-01-11
                                                          • 43253

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by paco
                                                          Seattle had the best remaining secondary and Ryan exposed em. Sherman alone slapped away 2 td's last second. SF will lose next week.
                                                          No doubt . Ryan and White and Jones burnt those seattle corners deep early and often and they are the best in the league...

                                                          however Ryan also threw 2 very costly interceptions...

                                                          i dont think anyone here has any doubt whether or not the Falcons can score..:.

                                                          the problem with the Falcons is they cant finish a game

                                                          they have let soooo many teams climb back into ball games this year
                                                          Comment
                                                          • numismatist
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-02-11
                                                            • 2192

                                                            #30
                                                            49ers ML
                                                            Patriots spread
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Jonah
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-21-09
                                                              • 4042

                                                              #31
                                                              The only SB in recent memory that I have lost on was the Colts v Saints and I must say I almost never know who I am going to take until after championship games are played.

                                                              Last year I took NY ML v Pats, but would have take Baltimore ML v The Giants
                                                              Comment
                                                              • face
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-31-11
                                                                • 14740

                                                                #32
                                                                i think niners probably win, but if you get cold feet you can always put a little on

                                                                pats beat falcons +381
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Jonah
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-21-09
                                                                  • 4042

                                                                  #33
                                                                  At this point most excited about opportunity to take New England v Niners.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • GamblerSpirit
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-18-11
                                                                    • 4085

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                                                                    i stopped reading after this sentence...

                                                                    Lol im hoping he losses now. If he felt that strongly, he could have pmed him.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheMoneyShot
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 02-14-07
                                                                      • 28672

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I added more to this MOTHER FU#$ER!!!!!! I'm in it to win it like YZERMAN!!!!!



                                                                      Why can't I make this BIT#$ LARGER?!?!?!
                                                                      Comment
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