Atl +3.5 against SF. Win or gone till 2k14

[Dabeergod]

Agree with this play Pac. BOL brotha

[lakerboy]

Public atS and ml burial coming up.

disagree. if you got -3 or -3.5 you should be okay. you cant take sf at -4 or more anymore. the line is being moved up by hardcore sharp money. probably be buybacks at the end. regardless you should have waited cause you probably knew sf would get hammered. and if its a public hammering the lines usually dont move much. thats not the case here. atl is badly outmatched here.

[paco]

disagree. if you got -3 or -3.5 you should be okay. you cant take sf at -4 or more anymore. the line is being moved up by hardcore sharp money. probably be buybacks at the end. regardless you should have waited cause you probably knew sf would get hammered. and if its a public hammering the lines usually dont move much. thats not the case here. atl is badly outmatched here.

How are they outmatched? Public seems to easily forget this is the same Kaepernick who couldn't beat the rams on the road and now he is suddenly a 3.5 road dog? Lol, gimme a break. Guy had a great game against gB defense, like that's saying anything. Atl was the best home team all season. They don't blow any one out but they get it done. Same sF team that got smoked by Seattle running game skittles and skittles did jack shit off paper this past game. I feel confident in this wager and will likely add on more $ closer to game time.

[lakerboy]

How are they outmatched? Public seems to easily forget this is the same Kaepernick who couldn't beat the rams on the road and now he is suddenly a 3.5 road dog? Lol, gimme a break. Guy had a great game against gB defense, like that's saying anything. Atl was the best home team all season. They don't blow any one out but they get it done. Same sF team that got smoked by Seattle running game skittles and skittles did jack shit off paper this past game. I feel confident in this wager and will likely add on more $ closer to game time.

Bro seriously if you need to ask me how atl is outmatched here. atl is not better anywhere except kicker and wr. sf beat gb twice in the same season. that isnt easy to do. in fact i cant remember the last team that did that. the rams were a good team bro. i heard the same thing last week by some packers fan saying they (sf)couldnt beat the rams and the packers did. meant nothing. hey atl lost to carolina. does that mean much now? atl is lucky to be still alive after yesterday. i just think you might have waited to get a better number like the +4.5 that is out now. gl but we wont agree on this game.

[paco]

Atl qb > SF
Atl wr > SF
Atl TE > SF
Atl kicker > SF
Atl rb < SF (barely)
Atl defense < SF (barely)
Special teams atl > SF
Home field atl
Offensive line atl < SF

[pavyracer]

disagree. if you got -3 or -3.5 you should be okay. you cant take sf at -4 or more anymore. the line is being moved up by hardcore sharp money. probably be buybacks at the end. regardless you should have waited cause you probably knew sf would get hammered. and if its a public hammering the lines usually dont move much. thats not the case here. atl is badly outmatched here.

The line is moved up by hardcore sharp money..lol

It's being moved by every penetrating square on the planet who thinks they got a freebie.

[lakerboy]

Paver still clueless. Cause all squares are betting when the lines are released.

[pavyracer]

Paver still clueless. Cause all squares are betting when the lines are released.

Yeah 75% of the bets on San Francisco and they are all sharp. Books are getting 75% of their bets on this game from sharps. It must be Groundhog Day.

[lakerboy]

Yup paver and all those $10 bets moved the line so much. If books were begging for sf $$ they could easily keep it at -3 and get loads of action. Btw atl ml is +200 now. I would assume that has pretty insane value.

[cblackgold]

atalanta is gona get a smakdown paco man

[GoATL]

Remember bettors that Kaepernick will be eating thru a straw before this game is over. So take that into account when betting.

[paco]

Adding another 2units +4.5

[70CoupeDeVille]

49ers may not have to punt in this one. What an offensive line, one of the very best ever.

SF side and, when it becomes available, a double digit margin of victory side or prop.

[paco]

49ers may not have to punt in this one. What an offensive line, one of the very best ever.

SF side and, when it becomes available, a double digit margin of victory side or prop.

Same offensive line that gave up 2 safeties and 6 sacks to the rams?

[70CoupeDeVille]

Yeah, 9ers offense hit a lull in those two games, Saints then Rams. But remember, those were Kaepernick's 2nd and 3rd starts. Rams stuffed the box all game long and the strategy worked. But that was then. SF is firing on all cylinders now, with K'nick very comfortable at the helm. I was very impressed w/ the early play calling vs. Green Bay -- 9ers opened with an aggressive passing assault, K'nick throwing bullseyes. Falcs can't gamble by keying on the run as STL was able to in one of K'nick's first starts.

[twolves41]

ATL

[italianbandit]

Why wouldn't you have waited till Sunday morning to buy ATL. Might be + 5.5 by then.

[paco]

Why wouldn't you have waited till Sunday morning to buy ATL. Might be + 5.5 by then.

Won't make a difference. 3 is good enough. Atl wins outright or less than a fg. 80% outright

[lakerboy]

Same offensive line that gave up 2 safeties and 6 sacks to the rams?

Dude your are capping this game based on a reg season game vs the rams? WOW

[paco]

Dude your are capping this game based on a reg season game vs the rams? WOW

No, but it's all relevant when bringing up the superiority of this new SUPERMAN Kaepernick lmao smh

[t-wizzle]

Paco how much you go total on this so far? And why are you putting your sbr life on the falcons. Nothin fun about that.

[lakerboy]

kapernick wont have to do much in this game. gore and davis will have field days. matty ice will be intercepted at least 2 times.

[paco]

kapernick wont have to do much in this game. gore and davis will have field days. matty ice will be intercepted at least 2 times.

Gore lol.

[lakerboy]

Gore lol.

turner lol.

[paco]

turner lol.

Crabtree lol

[Vinnie Paz]

Colin K is the future

Atl IMO still not ready

Cant count on These last second drives forever

[lakerboy]

yeah crabtree was awful last game wasnt he? paco its all good. i wont come in your thread after this game is over when atl goes home. oh wait they will have to just drive up the street. falcons one of sports biggest choke teams facing the niners. lets see. im out till sunday. have fun pal with the other posters.

[t-wizzle]

Crabtree lol

Bro you just lol'd at a 1200+ yard rusher (every year) and an 85 catch 1100+ yard receiver.

[paco]

yeah crabtree was awful last game wasnt he? paco its all good. i wont come in your thread after this game is over when atl goes home. oh wait they will have to just drive up the street. falcons one of sports biggest choke teams facing the niners. lets see. im out till sunday. have fun pal with the other posters.

if atl doesnt covers, I won't be back anyway lol so it doesn't matter. But atl will cover the 3.5 if not win outright

[ramones951]

Atl qb > SF
Atl wr > SF
Atl TE > SF
Atl kicker > SF
Atl rb < SF (barely)
Atl defense < SF (barely)
Special teams atl > SF
Home field atl
Offensive line atl < SF

I forgot the guys who play the same positions on opposite teams go up against each other.

[italianbandit]

Ok, so you're passing on 5.5 or 6 on Sunday morning, because you think there is an 80% that you won't need the 2.5 extra points. We look at gambling very differently. Either way good luck. Can't see how SF -170, or -3, -3.5 wasn't the best choice. I do agree with you that Kapernick is overhyped.

[frostno98]

Heavy public plays in the NFL championship games usually split or both loses.

Public right now is heavy on 49ers and Baltimore. Right now I like the Patriots more than like the 49ers with that +3.5. I'll be all over the 49ers at -2.5 though.

[Big Bear]

Paco i hope you win this bet man, i dont want to see you go...

even though you hate dogs and i'm a dog lover

you are the reason i joined SBR i started following your MLB picks before i even got a username

[pimike]

Atlanta is now 4 and 4.5 at dimes. Should had waited Paco.

[paco]

None that will matter mike. Atl likely winning outright or lose by fg or less.