How bout teasing Baltimore and Houston?

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  • face
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-31-11
    • 14740

    #36
    also like broncos over 14.5 1H. the key is the hurry up offense. instead of wasting 30 seconds per play standing around, the broncos will be hauling ass and payton will keep finding open recievers and ravens will get tired
    Comment
    • daimoshokage
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-07-11
      • 8935

      #37
      stupid idea
      Comment
      • tblues2005
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-30-06
        • 9235

        #38
        Originally posted by face
        also like broncos over 14.5 1H. the key is the hurry up offense. instead of wasting 30 seconds per play standing around, the broncos will be hauling ass and payton will keep finding open recievers and ravens will get tired
        Your probably right.
        Comment
        • icancount2one
          SBR MVP
          • 01-05-10
          • 1507

          #39
          Use your damn push chart. Teasing big dogs up even bigger is not a good play. Fukking parlay them if you're feeling both teams.
          Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
          Comment
          • icancount2one
            SBR MVP
            • 01-05-10
            • 1507

            #40
            Originally posted by icancount2one
            Use your damn push chart. Teasing big dogs up even bigger is not a good play. Fukking parlay them if you're feeling both teams.
            Actually don't parlay them. You're giving up value there too.
            Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
            Comment
            • Phatman36
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-31-12
              • 183

              #41
              Broncos 1st half ML or BUST. 7 out of last 8 games they cover first half ML. Ironically the one team that they didn't cover 1st half ML for was the Bucs game.
              Comment
              • Big Bang Clock
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-08-13
                • 335

                #42
                Why don't you just tease NE and Denver down to -3.5 or even -2.5 if you buy a point. Much safer bet and I like both teams to smash this weekend.
                Comment
                • jazzyj7
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 03-02-09
                  • 859

                  #43
                  I did a 4 team 12 point teaser. Baltimore+22, Texans+22, Falcons+11, packers+15. Got juiced pretty good, but just looked too good to pass on. I can see the 49ers beating the packers by 17-20 though, so that's the game I'm worried about.
                  Comment
                  • GunShard
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-05-10
                    • 10033

                    #44
                    Nevermind.
                    Comment
                    • Cheme82
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-03-08
                      • 7823

                      #45
                      The 2 best numbers you'd be crossing are the 10 and the 14 with close to 5% push probability each. All the other ones add up to less than 5%, so you are crossing about 15% worth of push numbers. You are not getting close to the 72.37% win that you need to break even on the teaser at -110. And if you consider that some locals grade a 2-team teaser with a push as a loss, you are even worse.

                      A basic strategy teaser gets you close to 25% worth of push numbers with the 7,6,4, and the almighty 3. That one is obviously worth it.

                      Just pick whichever team you believe has the best chance of covering and take them straight. Or tease GB and Sea up.
                      Comment
                      • face
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-31-11
                        • 14740

                        #46
                        Originally posted by face
                        like broncos over 14.5 1H
                        Comment
                        • paco
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-07-09
                          • 62873

                          #47
                          1st leg is a winner
                          Comment
                          • paco
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-07-09
                            • 62873

                            #48
                            Originally posted by paco
                            Peyton struggles in cold weather, no?

                            Baltimore was a shanked fg away from Super Bowl against pats last year, no?
                            Balti bang
                            Comment
                            • paco
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-07-09
                              • 62873

                              #49
                              Originally posted by daimoshokage
                              stupid idea
                              daimoSLANT was all in on Denver ml
                              Comment
                              • Ron29301
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-27-11
                                • 2311

                                #50
                                Cash$$$$
                                Comment
                                • PAULYPOKER
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-06-08
                                  • 36581

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                  I think Houston gets blown out of Foxborough..........
                                  Originally posted by paco
                                  Why?
                                  Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                  They are weakest team left in the AFC hunt............

                                  Do not match up well against NE especially with most of Brady's toys coming back...........
                                  My word is always good but even I don't follow my instinct sometimes.............
                                  Comment
                                  • face
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-31-11
                                    • 14740

                                    #52
                                    shit. i have houston teased all the way up to 24 and they can't even cover that
                                    Comment
                                    • amrit
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-30-12
                                      • 1307

                                      #53
                                      Not trying to be an asshole, but why would you tease Houston up rather than teasing NE down...the chance of NE losing or winning by less than 2.5 is much lower than Houston getting blown out.
                                      Comment
                                      • wantitall4moi
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-17-10
                                        • 3063

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by amrit
                                        Not trying to be an asshole, but why would you tease Houston up rather than teasing NE down...the chance of NE losing or winning by less than 2.5 is much lower than Houston getting blown out.
                                        thats what people said about Denver....
                                        Comment
                                        • PAULYPOKER
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-06-08
                                          • 36581

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by PAULYPOKER


                                          My word is always good but even I don't follow my instinct sometimes.............
                                          Jinxed err for ya Pac
                                          Comment
                                          • paco
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-07-09
                                            • 62873

                                            #56
                                            Winner daimo
                                            Comment
                                            • paco
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-07-09
                                              • 62873

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by wantitall4moi
                                              Since 2005 Teasing a 9 point dog UP to +15 has changed the ATS results from 24-30-1 (no points) to 37-18 (+6 points) Teasing the fav down in the same game went from 30-24-1 to 41-12-2.

                                              For 9.5 Teasing the dog up went from 36-32 to 48-20. Teasing fave down to 3.5 (bad tease) from 32-36 to 44-24.
                                              Wanti sharp as always
                                              Comment
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