Pay attention to these NBA lines

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  • dontknowhowtobet
    SBR MVP
    • 01-21-09
    • 2896

    #1
    Pay attention to these NBA lines
    You say I am not posting picks beforehand, after I won $5,200 in the last 2 days. (and got it paid by the way, because I encouraged people to use normal bookies and not dodgy ones)

    Look:



    There are only 2 games tonight, and the line with the spread is something I less care about.
    The under/over in both of these 2 games is around the 200.

    That requires 50 points per quarter in average.
    I am suggesting to everyone, now, beforehand, to wait for the LIVE BETTING and bet based on that, because when there are only 2 single NBA games in a day there ain't many choices!!

    Vegas knows this and the line should remain close to the 200 at least in one of these games, so you bet based on that.

    I cannot know how it would go, but I can tell you that I am going to bet based on these original lines

    So don't say I don't try to help beforehand, boeing power!
  • dontknowhowtobet
    SBR MVP
    • 01-21-09
    • 2896

    #2
    DO NOT bet $385,000 to win $350,000 before the game starts ... in live betting the chances to catch a lower number than 198 are greater!!!!
    Comment
    • BabyMatrix27
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-27-12
      • 203

      #3
      unfortunately, my sportsbook doesnt do live bets! Only Game, qtr and halves... I think both games go over listed total but what would you pick for these games?
      Comment
      • dontknowhowtobet
        SBR MVP
        • 01-21-09
        • 2896

        #4
        Originally posted by BabyMatrix27
        unfortunately, my sportsbook doesnt do live bets! Only Game, qtr and halves... I think both games go over listed total but what would you pick for these games?
        It's hard to tell but from a 1st glance the OVER in Dallas / Miami looks promising ... Dallas has started scoring with lots of 3 pointers, Miami got LeBron (who's celebrating his birthday in 10 days) and it looks like a game which could go Overtime as well ....

        But it's too early to say, I doubt it would be a 60 points in the 1st quarter, hence I wanna take the live betting here.
        Comment
        • Mocknroll
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-26-12
          • 577

          #5
          There are actually 3 games tomorrow, and should be another game that will open just over 200. I predict 203.

          Secondly, I didn't realize that players who are 10 days away from a birthday are likely to put up huge numbers and contribute to overs? Great trend. I'm on it.
          Comment
          • ngates815
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-01-09
            • 13845

            #6
            Thanks for the great write ups!!!!

            Are you telling us to take okc ml and Dallas ml? I'm very confused. I noticed you mention its LeBron James birthday in 10 days and therefore take the over, but personally when its someone's birthday in 10 days I normally like to take the opposite team and I think most of the forum would agree. I think you only take the over in the game when its a guy on the teams birthday month, but when it gets within 10 days they usually don't go with that and take the opposite team all together. Maybe I'm just rambling, I don't know.
            Comment
            • GIVEMETHEMONEY
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-13-12
              • 8428

              #7
              What teams are you looking to bet on?

              I kind of see what you are saying. The line movements are like the Stock Market indicators, mostly about buyers and perceived value on who will win.

              So who are you looking to take in these games and why?

              Can you elaborate some more please?
              Comment
              • hubbard689
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-28-12
                • 583

                #8
                Obv the play here is Miami -5, LeBron 10 days away from his bday he's gonna go OFF!!
                Comment
                • pellumb341
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-25-11
                  • 1183

                  #9
                  he is saying to bet the "over" ,but not to do it before the game.He is saying to do it live (in-play) because there are better chances to catch a better line.If there are less than 50 points in first quarter ,it means that at the beginning of 2nd qtr the total will be less than 198.5 This is the moment to bet the "over"
                  Comment
                  • dontknowhowtobet
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-21-09
                    • 2896

                    #10
                    Originally posted by pellumb341
                    he is saying to bet the "over" ,but not to do it before the game.He is saying to do it live (in-play) because there are better chances to catch a better line.If there are less than 50 points in first quarter ,it means that at the beginning of 2nd qtr the total will be less than 198.5 This is the moment to bet the "over"
                    E-X-A-C-T-L-Y.

                    Thank you Pellumb.
                    Is my English okay or I need to improve it??
                    Comment
                    • dontknowhowtobet
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-21-09
                      • 2896

                      #11
                      Originally posted by ngates815
                      but personally when its someone's birthday in 10 days I normally like to take the opposite team
                      That's what you do on his birthday ... in 2008 he had 4 losses in a row!!!
                      Don't do it now and I don't care about Money line now ... he's just getting warmed up, also Xmas is coming, should be entertaining game, not a low scoring one, that's all I'm saying.



                      Watch this video.
                      It has nice background music.
                      This video shows you what you do on LeBron James birthday.
                      Comment
                      • milwaukee mike
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-22-07
                        • 26914

                        #12
                        your local has livebetting?
                        Comment
                        • face
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-31-11
                          • 14740

                          #13
                          7 days before birthday is the key number. also you want to look deeper to find mother's birthdays, and if they will be in attendance. most handicappers know this so i don't have to tell you. also moon cycles of course and never bet against the more powerful mascot unless they are on the road.
                          Comment
                          • dontknowhowtobet
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-21-09
                            • 2896

                            #14
                            Originally posted by face
                            7 days before birthday is the key number. also you want to look deeper to find mother's birthdays, and if they will be in attendance. most handicappers know this so i don't have to tell you. also moon cycles of course and never bet against the more powerful mascot unless they are on the road.
                            Comment
                            • dontknowhowtobet
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-21-09
                              • 2896

                              #15
                              Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                              your local has livebetting?
                              Me?
                              Comment
                              • konck
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-17-06
                                • 12554

                                #16
                                Another ghost of a FAILED poster take a hike pal GFY
                                Comment
                                • konck
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-17-06
                                  • 12554

                                  #17
                                  You know he is a ghost just suking in 6pts a day he is so sharp that he doesnt gamble his SBR pts lol lets watch and see who gets his pts so we can have this nigit banned.
                                  His next post will be I dont bet pts they have no value to me lol Like littleassreemer and pickuranalallday say
                                  then as soon as they win the rare fp they drool over gambling it lol
                                  Comment
                                  • dontknowhowtobet
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-21-09
                                    • 2896

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by konck
                                    You know he is a ghost just suking in 6pts a day he is so sharp that he doesnt gamble his SBR pts lol lets watch and see who gets his pts so we can have this nigit banned.
                                    His next post will be I dont bet pts they have no value to me lol Like littleassreemer and pickuranalallday say
                                    then as soon as they win the rare fp they drool over gambling it lol
                                    Comment
                                    • dontknowhowtobet
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-21-09
                                      • 2896

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by konck
                                      he is so sharp that he doesnt gamble his SBR pts

                                      Never said I'm shap.
                                      But I wanna see you, American guy, taking a flight to the UK, from abroad, just like me.

                                      1) Betting £15,500 GBP on Obama.
                                      2) Paying for flight + hotel
                                      3) Sticking to your bet even in hard times when InTrade.com is trying to scare you.
                                      4) Collecting your £6,000 ($10,000) profit.

                                      You're good in typing behind the screen, I wanna see you, smart guy, DOING ALL THAT (link) and then you can talk, ok??
                                      Comment
                                      • Ra77er
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 06-20-11
                                        • 10969

                                        #20
                                        Shapping right now as a matter of fact
                                        Comment
                                        • smoke a bowl
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-09-09
                                          • 2776

                                          #21
                                          Could be the most non-winning strategy ever posted on a forum which is saying a lot.
                                          Comment
                                          • IGotKidsToFeed
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 11-12-12
                                            • 416

                                            #22
                                            I try to Shap at least once a day, wife gets mad if I dont
                                            Comment
                                            • VegasInsider
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-12-10
                                              • 14593

                                              #23
                                              So you have two strategies??

                                              1. Wait for live betting to open and make plays

                                              2. Bet a huge percentage of your bankroll on each play

                                              The fact that you've made $5K in the past two days doesn't bother me. What bothers me is that you feel like you've hit the lottery when you laid $1K on last nights Kings/Warriors total. You WILL run cold, which means you WILL go broke using this poor money management.
                                              Comment
                                              • thunderous
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 06-05-12
                                                • 1870

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                                your local has livebetting?
                                                Don't know if its sarcastic or not but mine does but only for TNT and ESPN games in NBA and in NFL certain 1pm games and certain 4pm games.
                                                Comment
                                                • dontknowhowtobet
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-21-09
                                                  • 2896

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by VegasInsider
                                                  So you have two strategies??

                                                  1. Wait for live betting to open and make plays

                                                  2. Bet a huge percentage of your bankroll on each play

                                                  The fact that you've made $5K in the past two days doesn't bother me. What bothers me is that you feel like you've hit the lottery when you laid $1K on last nights Kings/Warriors total. You WILL run cold, which means you WILL go broke using this poor money management.
                                                  There is no straightforward strategy for me, VegasInsider, I look for what seems reasonable and bet on it.
                                                  Could be very likely, that I won't play these 2 NBA games tonight!! if I don't feel safe with the lines...

                                                  if I see a good line I will take it, otherwise NO PLAY.
                                                  That's how I make money long term, I don't bet big if I don't feel certain!
                                                  (I just had 2 say my 2 bets that got VOIDED - wow, that was PURE LUCK lololol)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ngates815
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-01-09
                                                    • 13845

                                                    #26
                                                    So can we just assume that you won't post a play, you just say "I might make a play"....

                                                    Yet we can guarantee later tonight you post a thread saying "OMG OMG OMG OMG I just won 7200 tonight"

                                                    Once again thanks for the great write ups, letting us know that you may take the over or the under in tonight game....Looks like you set yourself up nicely to post a "I'm a big winner" thread for later tonight.

                                                    cheers.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dontknowhowtobet
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-21-09
                                                      • 2896

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ngates815
                                                      So can we just assume that you won't post a play, you just say "I might make a play"....

                                                      Yet we can guarantee later tonight you post a thread saying "OMG OMG OMG OMG I just won 7200 tonight"

                                                      Once again thanks for the great write ups, letting us know that you may take the over or the under in tonight game....Looks like you set yourself up nicely to post a "I'm a big winner" thread for later tonight.

                                                      cheers.
                                                      Sorry if that's how I play but I don't havr other strategy ... market is something you make money from if you join the right direction in the right time...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RetardStrength
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-25-10
                                                        • 1478

                                                        #28
                                                        Fading the fukk out of this idiot
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dontknowhowtobet
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-21-09
                                                          • 2896

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by RetardStrength
                                                          Fading the fukk out of this idiot
                                                          Comment
                                                          • tto827
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 10-01-12
                                                            • 9078

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by RetardStrength
                                                            Fading the fukk out of this idiot
                                                            what are you fading though, from that whole write-up I didn't see a pick. He just stated that 200/4 is 50.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • figue
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-23-10
                                                              • 2524

                                                              #31
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KTnamja
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-11-12
                                                                • 565

                                                                #32
                                                                So, what's the play?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RetardStrength
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-25-10
                                                                  • 1478

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by tto827
                                                                  what are you fading though, from that whole write-up I didn't see a pick. He just stated that 200/4 is 50.
                                                                  Primarily his English
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • tto827
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 10-01-12
                                                                    • 9078

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by RetardStrength
                                                                    Primarily his English
                                                                    I'll take English as a second language for $1000 please.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pimpinaces
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 08-25-10
                                                                      • 739

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                                                      your local has livebetting?
                                                                      Ya, his local text messages him the live play
                                                                      Comment
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