Mavs/Suns under 204.5 - Take it to POUND TOWN!

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  • ROFLcopter
    SBR MVP
    • 06-16-10
    • 4446

    #1
    Mavs/Suns under 204.5 - Take it to POUND TOWN!
    If you're looking for good reasons to take this, you're asking the wrong guy. But I guarantee you that it has a better chance of hitting versus not hitting.

    I don't really do write ups, but tonight I feel like some shots will be missed. Occasionally, there will be turnovers resulting in a waste of time and possessions. This will help to keep the score under the posted total.

    I will be taking this to POUND TOWN if the line closes at 204.5 or more. I recommend you do the same.

    Now, here are some tunes. Salad.


  • kobebryant55
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-06-10
    • 937

    #2
    Salud (sp?) *!
    Comment
    • ROFLcopter
      SBR MVP
      • 06-16-10
      • 4446

      #3
      Banging this baby for 500.. maybe more after I see how my other plays look
      Comment
      • ROFLcopter
        SBR MVP
        • 06-16-10
        • 4446

        #4
        Too bad I couldn't post my Knicks play. I was in my car when I heard Melo wasn't playing.. pulled over and banged Knicks +10
        Comment
        • brainfreeze0
          SBR MVP
          • 03-19-12
          • 2146

          #5
          So you don't have any reasoning why you think there will be missed shots and low score aside from a gut feeling that you're having? You say you guarantee it has a better chance of hitting than not hitting but say you have no reasons why you think this. Solid.

          Listen it may or may not hit, but either way you should at least provide some reasonable analysis if you are going to tell ppl they should pound a play..

          I'm on the opposite pounding the over. Suns money back guarantee plus rest. 3 pointers from Dragic, Brown, Fisher, and Mayo all game (because that's mainly what Mayo, Fisher, and Brown do). Over looks far better to me. They are also pretty hot with their 3's. So even if there are some missed shots the 3's should make up for them in my mind. But that's just my 2 cents/ analysis.
          Comment
          • ROFLcopter
            SBR MVP
            • 06-16-10
            • 4446

            #6
            I believe in the opposite of everything you just said, hows that? Under for me.
            Comment
            • brainfreeze0
              SBR MVP
              • 03-19-12
              • 2146

              #7
              Originally posted by ROFLcopter
              I believe in the opposite of everything you just said, hows that? Under for me.
              So basically, its just a gut feeling that you're having. A gamblers best friend.
              Comment
              • bigdaddyjames
                SBR MVP
                • 11-17-09
                • 3179

                #8
                looks like an under game to me



                DATE
                DAY SCORE OPPONENT SCORE SU LINE TOTAL FG% FT% 3PT MADE DAYS REST
                12/05/2012 Wed 90 at LA Clippers 112 L -8½ 200½ 40.5 89.5 5 3
                12/01/2012 Sat 92 Detroit 77 W -7 195 40.9 62.5 11 2
                11/28/2012 Wed 78 at Chicago 101 L -6 189½ 34.6 90.0 4
                11/27/2012 Tue 98 at Philadelphia 100 L -3 192 45.7 86.4 5 1
                11/24/2012 Sat 89 LA Lakers 115 L 1 205 37.0 55.0 10 2






                PHOENIX SUNS
                DATE DAY SCORE OPPONENT SCORE SU LINE TOTAL FG% FT% 3PT MADE DAYS REST
                12/04/2012 Tue 98 at Memphis 108 L -10 196 46.3 72.7 6 1
                12/02/2012 Sun 99 at New York 106 L -11½ 200 48.8 68.4 8
                11/30/2012 Fri 97 at Toronto 101 L -3 200 48.1 89.5 6
                11/28/2012 Wed 77 at Detroit 117 L -3 198 34.1 75.0 6
                11/27/2012 Tue 91 at Cleveland 78 W 201 46.8 61.1 6
                Comment
                • brainfreeze0
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-19-12
                  • 2146

                  #9
                  More ppl are pounding the over which is why the books are driving the o/u higher. its up to 205 now on Heritage where it was at 203 this morning.
                  Comment
                  • bigdaddyjames
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-17-09
                    • 3179

                    #10
                    under 204 and dallas +4
                    Comment
                    • ROFLcopter
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-16-10
                      • 4446

                      #11
                      If you really must know... I got a call from my friend Billy in Vegas. Under is the play.
                      Comment
                      • brainfreeze0
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-19-12
                        • 2146

                        #12
                        Originally posted by ROFLcopter
                        If you really must know... I got a call from my friend Billy in Vegas. Under is the play.
                        Well since he lives in Vegas that must mean its a lock
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          205 now.
                          Comment
                          • ROFLcopter
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-16-10
                            • 4446

                            #14
                            205.5 at Pinny. Doesn't matter. It won't come close.
                            Comment
                            • Butterface
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 11-05-12
                              • 378

                              #15
                              Under looking good right now lol
                              Comment
                              • BigDofBA
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-30-09
                                • 19313

                                #16
                                Watch for this pace to pick up....

                                Dallas start off horribly and had 1 point the first 4 minutes.

                                Despite the bad shooting they still put up 46 and had two shots to make it close to 50 at the end of the half.
                                Comment
                                • hawley
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 05-10-10
                                  • 14270

                                  #17
                                  Would not be surprised to see the second half go for 120.
                                  Comment
                                  • marcoloco
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-05-10
                                    • 3986

                                    #18
                                    looking good so far for an under
                                    Comment
                                    • ROFLcopter
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-16-10
                                      • 4446

                                      #19
                                      If the 2nd half goes for 120 I still might have a shot
                                      Comment
                                      • daimoshokage
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-07-11
                                        • 8935

                                        #20
                                        On pace.. Looks like a winner..
                                        Comment
                                        • BigDofBA
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-30-09
                                          • 19313

                                          #21
                                          It looks great right now. Both teams are missing shots and play good defense. I think that's what scares me...
                                          Comment
                                          • bigdaddyjames
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-17-09
                                            • 3179

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                            Watch for this pace to pick up....

                                            Dallas start off horribly and had 1 point the first 4 minutes.

                                            Despite the bad shooting they still put up 46 and had two shots to make it close to 50 at the end of the half.

                                            But at the end of the 1st Q. 23-23 that is only 46 points and for the over to hit the score should have been at least 51 a Q.
                                            Comment
                                            • ROFLcopter
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-16-10
                                              • 4446

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by bigdaddyjames
                                              But at the end of the 1st Q. 23-23 that is only 46 points and for the over to hit the score should have been at least 51 a Q.
                                              So what you're saying is this game will end 92-92? I will take it!
                                              Comment
                                              • daimoshokage
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-07-11
                                                • 8935

                                                #24
                                                It's a fukking winner already.. Sharp call by the op!
                                                Comment
                                                • ROFLcopter
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-16-10
                                                  • 4446

                                                  #25
                                                  Hey look a turnover. I predicted that!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BigDofBA
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 09-30-09
                                                    • 19313

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by bigdaddyjames
                                                    But at the end of the 1st Q. 23-23 that is only 46 points and for the over to hit the score should have been at least 51 a Q.
                                                    Obviously. My point was that the teams played horrible offense and were only 5 points off the pace. It doesn't look like it matters now though.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bigdaddyjames
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-17-09
                                                      • 3179

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ROFLcopter
                                                      So what you're saying is this game will end 92-92? I will take it!
                                                      yes something like that .... it will be under 200


                                                      i put 90 to win 234 on dallas +4 and under 204 1/2
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ROFLcopter
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-16-10
                                                        • 4446

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by ROFLcopter
                                                        If the 2nd half goes for 120 I still might have a shot
                                                        Yup!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bigdaddyjames
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-17-09
                                                          • 3179

                                                          #29
                                                          84 in the 1st half if they only get 84 in the 2nd half that would be 168 >>> so they can get 116 points in the 2nd half and that will only be 200 SO the under is looking really GOOD ...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ROFLcopter
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-16-10
                                                            • 4446

                                                            #30
                                                            Wish I went bigger on this. I call that "Winner's Remorse"
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ROFLcopter
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-16-10
                                                              • 4446

                                                              #31
                                                              Reggie Miller: "Sloppy Game. Bad Shooting. High Turnovers"



                                                              They got my memo
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TwoWays
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 03-24-10
                                                                • 13145

                                                                #32
                                                                Watch out for the double OT, fella.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jon2345
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 10-21-12
                                                                  • 134

                                                                  #33
                                                                  i tailed and also went big. im also on the mavs =4 1/2
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bigdaddyjames
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-17-09
                                                                    • 3179

                                                                    #34
                                                                    i won my parlay >>> winner winner chicken dinner ....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bigdaddyjames
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-17-09
                                                                      • 3179

                                                                      #35
                                                                      and right at the score that i said ....
                                                                      Comment
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