Incredible Insight

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  • RawBillyIce
    SBR MVP
    • 02-08-12
    • 2036

    #1
    Incredible Insight
    You see boys, this is a prime example of why I did buy 1/2 pt in this game.

    Washington is 0-10 and 9mins left in the 4Q and the score is tied 76-76

    I have Charlotte at + 5 and as bad as WAS wants/needs this the game will def be 5 or less and im thinking more around 2 to 3 pts


  • The Giant
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-21-12
    • 21480

    #2
    Alrighty.
    Comment
    • Erock87
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-24-10
      • 995

      #3
      If it's 2 or 3, then you wasted money buying that half point...
      Comment
      • Darkside Magick
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-28-10
        • 12638

        #4
        Buying points is for suckers
        Comment
        • Smoke
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-09-09
          • 48111

          #5
          Alrighty.
          Comment
          • RawBillyIce
            SBR MVP
            • 02-08-12
            • 2036

            #6
            u repeating what someone told u Darkside? cuz I am no sucker and will bitch &&&& the penetrate out of


            take your darkness and manhood in front of alll

            now open you mouth some more so I can stick my &ik in
            Comment
            • Darkside Magick
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-28-10
              • 12638

              #7
              Buying points is for loser gamblers
              Comment
              • RawBillyIce
                SBR MVP
                • 02-08-12
                • 2036

                #8
                im no loser and dont like the label gambler since I am math major and devote lots of time modeling
                Comment
                • RawBillyIce
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-08-12
                  • 2036

                  #9
                  on top of that I made 1 bet yesterday and only 1 today. Backed away from Clemson game
                  Comment
                  • RawBillyIce
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-08-12
                    • 2036

                    #10
                    im all about BRM at SB and NLH

                    very patient
                    Comment
                    • mbs4
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 05-14-10
                      • 388

                      #11
                      Lot of drunk posting this evening.
                      Comment
                      • stevenash
                        Moderator
                        • 01-17-11
                        • 65718

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Darkside Magick
                        Buying points is for suckers
                        This
                        The amount of juice you have to pay versus the times the 1/2 point is relevant makes it one of the biggest rip offs in the game.
                        Comment
                        • RawBillyIce
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-08-12
                          • 2036

                          #13
                          using JJ's avitar?
                          Comment
                          • Darkside Magick
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 05-28-10
                            • 12638

                            #14
                            Buying a half point against a 0-10 team......proboly bought half point for auburn against alabama
                            Comment
                            • RawBillyIce
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-08-12
                              • 2036

                              #15
                              Nash did u not hear me state I was a math major?

                              to u want to talk numbers? maybe if u r making 50min bets per day ..but I am selective and you can crunch the #'s all day but if u cant pick winners math is useless

                              now focus on getting through the season without anymore leg injuries
                              Comment
                              • stevenash
                                Moderator
                                • 01-17-11
                                • 65718

                                #16
                                Originally posted by RawBillyIce
                                and devote lots of time modeling
                                Naked, or do you leave your clothes on?
                                Comment
                                • RawBillyIce
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-08-12
                                  • 2036

                                  #17
                                  yes I really took the 33pt and Auburn
                                  Comment
                                  • RawBillyIce
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-08-12
                                    • 2036

                                    #18
                                    Darkside as long as u know that u r a nobody and I am the absolute shiiit

                                    now tell your mom to call me
                                    Comment
                                    • billysink
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 03-29-09
                                      • 5172

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by RawBillyIce
                                      im all about BRM at SB and NLH

                                      very patient
                                      Tell us more. Not being sarcastic.

                                      Using what?
                                      Comment
                                      • stevenash
                                        Moderator
                                        • 01-17-11
                                        • 65718

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by RawBillyIce
                                        Nash did u not hear me state I was a math major?
                                        I'm an I/T operations analyst.
                                        I make my living with numbers.
                                        What can you teach me that I don't already know.
                                        Comment
                                        • RawBillyIce
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-08-12
                                          • 2036

                                          #21
                                          did u want a private Nash?

                                          Comment
                                          • RawBillyIce
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-08-12
                                            • 2036

                                            #22
                                            do u want to talk number theory or M formulas or advanced calculus?
                                            Comment
                                            • RawBillyIce
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-08-12
                                              • 2036

                                              #23
                                              did u have a question Billy?
                                              Comment
                                              • Darkside Magick
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 05-28-10
                                                • 12638

                                                #24
                                                Math major making -ev bets by buying points...cant make this shyt up
                                                Comment
                                                • stevenash
                                                  Moderator
                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                  • 65718

                                                  #25
                                                  Amateur night at SBR, logging off.
                                                  See you guys tomorrow.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RawBillyIce
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-08-12
                                                    • 2036

                                                    #26
                                                    Darkside I work around the clock with math. I bought a 1/2 pt because line was 4.5 1/2 pt gets me to 5 and ensures a push if WAS wins by 5

                                                    buying a 1/2 pt might not mathematically make sense on paper but in the realm of picking winners...it can mean everything!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RawBillyIce
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-08-12
                                                      • 2036

                                                      #27
                                                      Later NASH

                                                      no PM's after midnight ok
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RawBillyIce
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-08-12
                                                        • 2036

                                                        #28
                                                        before u leave I went to peek at your SS Nash but of course it is not there
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RawBillyIce
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-08-12
                                                          • 2036

                                                          #29
                                                          lets play some head to head NL Poker nash
                                                          Comment
                                                          • billysink
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 03-29-09
                                                            • 5172

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by RawBillyIce
                                                            did u have a question Billy?
                                                            Give us a quick rundown, overview at how you quantify to value. What makes a pick for you?

                                                            In fukkin English would be helpful to the forum. Not everyone here is into " BRM at SB and NLH".

                                                            Thanks in advance for your time.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RawBillyIce
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-08-12
                                                              • 2036

                                                              #31
                                                              your welcome Billy I guess I should just take some of my precious time to show a couple of formulas I use to quantify the criteria for my wagering.

                                                              Because I need to prove myself huh Billyboy?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RawBillyIce
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-08-12
                                                                • 2036

                                                                #32
                                                                Billy ..just download a Kelly app for your smart phone and abide.

                                                                be the best thing u can do
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RawBillyIce
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-08-12
                                                                  • 2036

                                                                  #33
                                                                  here is another..

                                                                  during MLB keep track of the first 1/2 of the season(by hand is best) of Runs scored by a team over x under x

                                                                  after the 1/2 way mark u will have sufficient data. simple formulas. simple is best Billy

                                                                  pick your cutoff say 3 over under 3 TT's under 3 gets a 0 3 gets a pass and 4+ gets a 1

                                                                  add em up and run the emperical formual (simple bell-curve) for documenting standard deviation

                                                                  and walllaaa there u go a simple forumla for giving you the mathematical % of what a team will do

                                                                  does it mean that the Astros will absolutely not score 8 runs in the game. NO! but i.e. is that the bell curve depicts that it will be extremely unlikely . u do know the 68,95,99.7 formula of course right Billy


                                                                  your turn
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • romecloneout
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-06-11
                                                                    • 2243

                                                                    #34
                                                                    nice call on the game kid
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RawBillyIce
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-08-12
                                                                      • 2036

                                                                      #35
                                                                      thanks Jim!
                                                                      Comment
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