For my 1,000 post, heres a winner for today.

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  • nrok2118
    SBR MVP
    • 02-10-12
    • 1182

    #1
    For my 1,000 post, heres a winner for today.
    Been a few weeks since I had my Saturday morning off, figured Ill crunch some numbers which was doing me well earlier this college football season. Top pick of the day is:

    Oregon State +10.5

    Line is way too high. Public loving on Oregon has this line inflated and still has 69% of the public backing them (according to SportsInsights). My numbers come up with Oregon as a 2 point fave. Oregon showed they're human last week, yet still laying 10.5 points? I dont think so. Oregon State covers and could win outright. Take the sure thing, though, and take the points.

    Numbers also like Florida. I thought this was a trap line to get everyone on FLA and have them lose. But seems to be a sharp number getting about 50/50 public action. Rankings set the spread at around a pk, so Ill also be putting a little on the Gators at +7.

    BOL everyone
  • mynameismud
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-13-12
    • 5462

    #2
    mazel tov on 1k guy. i remember being stoked for my 1k post. ducks win but it will be close.
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3
      congrats on 1000! i think it has to be take the points or pass....gl
      Comment
      • tto827
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-01-12
        • 9078

        #4
        Ya I've taken Oregon st a lot this year, and if there is a play here it is definitely Oregon st. But my gut says Oregon wins by 7-14, not enough room for error for me.
        Comment
        • nrok2118
          SBR MVP
          • 02-10-12
          • 1182

          #5
          Well its not looking good, lines moved to 11.5. Still like the bet, but looks like books are gonna have to entice more Oregon State money. Still a winner, though.
          Comment
          • Chi_archie
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-22-08
            • 63184

            #6
            nice work on 1,000

            i'm on this as well
            Comment
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