Not gonna call it a lock by any means, but Detroit at home has historically played Tampa Bay strong. I'm not playing the due factor since i don't really believe a team HAS to win, but look at these stats. Games in Detroit (with year since they dont play often so these go back):
TB 16 Det 23 (2007)
TB 23 Det 20 (2002)
TB 20 Det 17 (2001)
TB 31 Det 10 (2000)
TB 3 Det 20 (1999)
Fact is Detroit has a good shot at covering the spread, maybe even winning. At +290 theres some value there, especially against Tampa's stagnant offense, it should be a close game. The line movement is also interesting, Tampa is being picked about 54/46 but some books have the line down from -9 to -7.5, meanwhile other books still have it at -9, really not sure what to make of it yet, but it might be RLM with some books late to react, or maybe some books are just getting a lot more money then others
TB 16 Det 23 (2007)
TB 23 Det 20 (2002)
TB 20 Det 17 (2001)
TB 31 Det 10 (2000)
TB 3 Det 20 (1999)
Fact is Detroit has a good shot at covering the spread, maybe even winning. At +290 theres some value there, especially against Tampa's stagnant offense, it should be a close game. The line movement is also interesting, Tampa is being picked about 54/46 but some books have the line down from -9 to -7.5, meanwhile other books still have it at -9, really not sure what to make of it yet, but it might be RLM with some books late to react, or maybe some books are just getting a lot more money then others