BlitzTheBooks model plays.....

BlitzTheBooks · 11-13-12, 09:05 PM

Michigan up 28 at the half, Northwestern up 29

Seriously debated adding 1H plays on big home favorites. Tonight, could have grabbed MICH at -8.5 and NW at -10.0.

As for football, here are the Week 12 plays so far (have a thread going on it as well http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-fo...two-weeks.html)

LOCKED AND LOADED
DOGS
Virginia +4.0
San Jose State +4.0
Rice +4.0
Kent State +3.0 (grab it at +3.0 if you like, prefer +3.5 or +4.0)
Texas Tech +11.0*
---TT is a model/judgement call. Came in a little less than a TD dog, decided to play it.

FAVS
Ball State -4.0

LOOKING
UCLA +4.0
Ohio State +3.0
Troy +3.5 (more than likely pull the trigger in the a.m. on this one)
Syracuse +4.5 (this is looking like it'll slide to a no-play)
Miss St -6.0
Buffalo -10.0
Kansas State -11.5 (missed this at -10)
Notre Dame -24 (home game; need to show out; Wake is not as offensively threatening as BC)

BlitzTheBooks · 11-13-12, 11:58 PM

11/13/12
NCAABB
Michigan -15.0 (W)
Northwestern -18.0 (W)
Long Beach State +8.0 (L)

NBA
Portland +3.0 (W)

(3-1) on the evening, not too bad

UPDATED MODEL RECORD THROUGH 11/13/12
NCAAFB: (17-6) +9.45 Units
NCAABB: (2-1) +.82 Units
NBA: (1-0) +.91 Units
NFL: (0-0)

BlitzTheBooks · 11-14-12, 04:45 PM

Good night last night at (3-1), hoping it continues. Should have made plays on 1H of MICH and NW (heavy favorite at home), would have been (5-1).

11/14/12
NCAABB
Texas Tech -13.0
Creighton -15.0
Saint Louis (will take at 12, might get at 11 if it keeps going down)

NBA
Philadelphia -8.0

[edit] Added Creighton and Saint Louis

Toying with adding personal plays of Texas Tech and Creighton 1H for 1/2 Unit plays. Large favs, at home seem to be a good play in the 1H if you're taking them full-game as well.

BlitzTheBooks · 11-14-12, 10:15 PM

Not exactly the great day it had yesterday. Work in progress. Still '+' money on the year.

11/14/12
NCAABB
Texas Tech -13.0
Creighton -15.0
Saint Louis -11.0

NBA
Philadelphia -8.0

NCAAFB
Ball State -4.0

UPDATED MODEL RECORD THROUGH 11/14/12
NCAAFB: (18-6) +10.36 Units
NCAABB: (4-2) +1.64 Units
NBA: (1-1) -.09 Units
NFL: (0-0)

BlitzTheBooks · 11-15-12, 03:05 PM

11/15/12
NCAABB
St. Johns +5.0
Baylor -12.0

NCAAFB
Virginia +4.0

The Heat +3.5/+4.0 narrowly missed the cut.

Frisco · 11-15-12, 03:09 PM

Love VA tonight. gl bud

BlitzTheBooks · 11-16-12, 01:20 AM

Originally posted by BlitzTheBooks

11/15/12
NCAABB
St. Johns +5.0
Baylor -12.0

NCAAFB
Virginia +4.0

The Heat +3.5/+4.0 narrowly missed the cut.

Looks like I should have played the Heat after all, nice win for them. Baylor missed a cover by a mere 2 points but a come from behind win was impressive for them. And Virginia. Oh, Virginia. You were in the game until you got stuffed on 4th and goal from the 1. I knew at that moment blowout city was coming.

Managed to figure out a tweak to this thing so hopefully it pays off. Still up on the year so on to tomorrow

UPDATED MODEL RECORD THROUGH 11/14/12
NCAAFB: (18-7) +9.36 Units
NCAABB: (5-3) +1.55 Units
NBA: (1-1) -.09 Units
NFL: (0-0)

BlitzTheBooks · 11-16-12, 06:14 PM

W.Michigan +5, USF -21, Cornell -6 and Siena +3 today.

EDIT: adding Dallas +3.0 NBA

BeatTheJerk · 11-16-12, 06:30 PM

So what's a unit worth ...

BeatTheJerk · 11-16-12, 06:31 PM

9.36 units means nothing to me.

BlitzTheBooks · 11-16-12, 06:52 PM

East Carolina -11.0 is a go as well. BOL.

BlitzTheBooks · 11-17-12, 12:18 AM

Originally posted by BlitzTheBooks

W.Michigan +5, USF -21, Cornell -6 and Siena +3 today.

EDIT: adding Dallas +3.0 NBA and East Carolina -11.0

Two oh so close missed covers, Siena by 1 and USF by 2.

Clemson -10 and Auburn +7 were decision calls that I went against (same as ECU), turned out to be winners. Got to stop picking and choosing and either go all or none. Would have salvaged the day a little.

UPDATED MODEL RECORD THROUGH 11/15/12
NCAAFB: (18-7)
NCAABB: (6-7)
NBA: (1-2)
NFL: (0-0)