MNF: Serious Discussion... Almost Every Casino In Vegas Giving You N.O. -3 +100???

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  • TheMoneyShot
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-07
    • 28672

    #1
    MNF: Serious Discussion... Almost Every Casino In Vegas Giving You N.O. -3 +100???
    When it comes to line movement... why are they doing this??? Does this mean N.O. really covers? Gaining juice on Philly +3 or is this a sucker wager?

    Almost every casino in vegas giving you N.O. -3 +100 - +115

    Your thoughts?
  • Darkside Magick
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-28-10
    • 12638

    #2
    NOLA covers...setting up suckers
    Comment
    • Paul Kemp
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-05-12
      • 278

      #3
      I'm thinking the same Darkside - already have NO at -3 -105 from early in the day - seeing +110 now

      Thinking of pounding it - worried about being one the suckers.....
      Comment
      • riffraff24
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-20-11
        • 7234

        #4
        Or maybe they're just trying to make you think that way? Or maybe they're trying to make you think that we think they're thinking of making us think that way.
        Comment
        • tto827
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-01-12
          • 9078

          #5
          Originally posted by riffraff24
          Or maybe they're just trying to make you think that way? Or maybe they're trying to make you think that we think they're thinking of making us think that way.
          Exactly, that's why I have never understood betting based on a books action. It's definitely an angle to consider, but it shouldn't override the rest of your capping of a game.
          Comment
          • CollegePro
            SBR MVP
            • 02-23-09
            • 4006

            #6
            Vegas wants saints money which means eagles will cover and win straight up.
            Comment
            • tto827
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-01-12
              • 9078

              #7
              Originally posted by CollegePro
              Vegas wants saints money which means eagles will cover and win straight up.
              How have the teams that Vegas wanted done the past 3 weeks?
              Comment
              • rfr3sh
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-07-09
                • 10229

                #8
                Originally posted by tto827
                How have the teams that Vegas wanted done the past 3 weeks?
                How have they done over a real sample size
                Comment
                • The Inevitable
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 05-02-10
                  • 773

                  #9
                  It looks like a trap. If I'm not looking at the line, I immediately think Eagles will win. I believe they should be the favorite. Eagles is the better team. But as soon as I saw the line, I'm thinking "wow, what a trap." No way should NO be the favorite, the way they've been playing. Unless there are significant injuries on Eagles team, they most definitely should be the favorite. But they're not, which is telling me I should take NO. But of course when playing the line, you can end up looking like a complete tool.
                  Comment
                  • theAkathist
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-18-12
                    • 313

                    #10
                    Originally posted by The Inevitable
                    It looks like a trap. If I'm not looking at the line, I immediately think Eagles will win. I believe they should be the favorite. Eagles is the better team. But as soon as I saw the line, I'm thinking "wow, what a trap." No way should NO be the favorite, the way they've been playing. Unless there are significant injuries on Eagles team, they most definitely should be the favorite. But they're not, which is telling me I should take NO. But of course when playing the line, you can end up looking like a complete tool.
                    eagles are in turmoil, its not like they are 5-2 or something. saints are always good at home. the line is right on

                    everyone pick who they think will win the game. best bet is saints u28 if you can find it
                    Comment
                    • rumnblack
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 05-21-12
                      • 876

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Paul Kemp
                      I'm thinking the same Darkside - already have NO at -3 -105 from early in the day - seeing +110 now

                      Thinking of pounding it - worried about being one the suckers.....
                      Don't worry, go with your gut.
                      Comment
                      • The Inevitable
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-02-10
                        • 773

                        #12
                        Originally posted by theAkathist
                        eagles are in turmoil, its not like they are 5-2 or something. saints are always good at home. the line is right on

                        everyone pick who they think will win the game. best bet is saints u28 if you can find it
                        Pretty much... I could see this game going either way. So I agree, just pick who think is going to win. Me personally I believe Eagles should win this game, but I'm going with the line and taking NO. LoL sounds stupid right?
                        Comment
                        • Paul Kemp
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-05-12
                          • 278

                          #13
                          I think I'll hold with my current position and see how the game plays out - perhaps some good live bets come up.
                          Comment
                          • Matt1144
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 07-25-11
                            • 813

                            #14
                            Eagles have burned me more times than I care to remember. But this NO defense is god awful. So many angles here. 2 lame ass teams. Over looks good too but I feel that will be a public burial. Then again after this weekend I don't know...

                            I'm leaning Eagles though. Stout D and a lot of talent on offense. Not that NO doesn't have talent but they'll be letting McCoy run all over them. Eagles RRL @ -2.5 seems nice.
                            Comment
                            • tto827
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-01-12
                              • 9078

                              #15
                              Originally posted by rfr3sh
                              How have they done over a real sample size
                              All that matters is how this game is going to go. Also, I am sorry but fading the public IS NOT profitable as a stand-alone angle.
                              Comment
                              • Paul Kemp
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-05-12
                                • 278

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Matt1144
                                Eagles have burned me more times than I care to remember. But this NO defense is god awful. So many angles here. 2 lame ass teams. Over looks good too but I feel that will be a public burial. Then again after this weekend I don't know...

                                I'm leaning Eagles though. Stout D and a lot of talent on offense. Not that NO doesn't have talent but they'll be letting McCoy run all over them. Eagles RRL @ -2.5 seems nice.

                                Doubled down on NO when she dropped to 2.5. BOL everyone.
                                Comment
                                • Matt1144
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 07-25-11
                                  • 813

                                  #17
                                  Was the line at 3 earlier this week?
                                  Comment
                                  • byronbb
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-13-08
                                    • 3067

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by CollegePro
                                    Vegas wants saints money which means eagles will cover and win straight up. are the right side

                                    When SIA is dealing a better ML than Pinnacle on the the public fav it should be pretty obvious, but 90% of the posts in here prove otherwise.
                                    Comment
                                    • WinningIsKeY
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-17-11
                                      • 1200

                                      #19
                                      Philly in shambles.. Team meeting usually means TROUBLE.
                                      Bol
                                      Comment
                                      • TheMoneyShot
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 02-14-07
                                        • 28672

                                        #20
                                        This is the weirdest line movement ever! Some books in Vegas now giving you N.O. -2.5 +100 That's crazy!!
                                        Comment
                                        • Darkside Magick
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-28-10
                                          • 12638

                                          #21
                                          again NOLA is the play!!!!.........line movement is nothing...just to mess with yr head
                                          Comment
                                          • theAkathist
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 10-18-12
                                            • 313

                                            #22
                                            eagles are the play. defense is 12th overall, saints d is 31st and perhaps the worst NFL defense the past 5 years

                                            eagles protect the ball and they win
                                            Comment
                                            • tto827
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 10-01-12
                                              • 9078

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by theAkathist
                                              eagles are the play. defense is 12th overall, saints d is 31st and perhaps the worst NFL defense the past 5 years

                                              eagles protect the ball and they win
                                              They ain't gonna protect the ball, so.........
                                              Comment
                                              • Paul Kemp
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 09-05-12
                                                • 278

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Darkside Magick
                                                again NOLA is the play!!!!.........line movement is nothing...just to mess with yr head
                                                Darkside = You are the first person I've ever come across that uses NOLA for NO in a forum. I kind of like it - might have to steal that from you.
                                                Comment
                                                • Darkside Magick
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 05-28-10
                                                  • 12638

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Paul Kemp
                                                  Darkside = You are the first person I've ever come across that uses NOLA for NO in a forum. I kind of like it - might have to steal that from you.
                                                  used to live in NOLA..love it there...thinking about moving back!!!!!!!!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • rfr3sh
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-07-09
                                                    • 10229

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by tto827
                                                    All that matters is how this game is going to go. Also, I am sorry but fading the public IS NOT profitable as a stand-alone angle.
                                                    fading the public is not what im talking sbout
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Darkside Magick
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 05-28-10
                                                      • 12638

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Darkside Magick
                                                      NOLA covers...setting up suckers
                                                      Yep
                                                      Comment
                                                      • face
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-31-11
                                                        • 14740

                                                        #28
                                                        vegas knew that the eagles o line had a bunch of subs and that vick would get hammered all night. some of those guys only played like 3 games total in nfl
                                                        Comment
                                                        • WinningIsKeY
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-17-11
                                                          • 1200

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by WinningIsKeY
                                                          Philly in shambles.. Team meeting usually means TROUBLE.
                                                          Bol
                                                          Yup
                                                          Comment
                                                          • rfr3sh
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-07-09
                                                            • 10229

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by byronbb
                                                            When SIA is dealing a better ML than Pinnacle on the the public fav it should be pretty obvious, but 90% of the posts in here prove otherwise.
                                                            Finally someone with a clue posted here.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The Inevitable
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 05-02-10
                                                              • 773

                                                              #31
                                                              It was a trap. Glad to be on the right side.
                                                              Comment
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