Knicks +4 and ML @ Philly

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Goat Milk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-24-10
    • 25850

    #1
    Knicks +4 and ML @ Philly
    Let's see what adjustments Collins will make going into game 2 of this matchup. J rich won't play and if I'm collins I'm starting Evans at the 2 and wright at the 3. Thad Young had no success guarding Mello. I think they will try a combination of Evans, Young, and Wright tmrw but Mello has significant advantages over all those guys in ever facet of the game.

    Chandler will play more on the road and should be able to limit holiday a little more in the paint. Felton and Kidd need to switch off on him more. Woodson will make the defensive adjustment. Expect a better game from some shooters perhaps Nick Young, although Young is not a passer and as I said about the sixers they need guard passers and they don't have them. Evans is a 1 on 1 player. Holiday the only passer with Hawes.

    WHy Spencer Hawes doesn't does is beyond me. Collins is an idiot for this. Hawes is a true C and Allen and Young are not going to hold down the paint tomorrow. Knicks will control the paint with Sheed/Camby/Thomas off the bench.

    JR smith is a streak shooter and expect him to go through peaks and valleys this year as always. Ride him while he's hot. I don't think Philly has the talent at this point without Bynum and no shut down defender to guard the 2/3s like a Melo can win these types of matchups 50% of the time, so these odds are ridiculous.

    $265 to win $250 on the +4 -110

    ML not out with my guy yet
    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #2
    Why take the 4 when every book has 4.5?
    Comment
    • Iwinyourmoney
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 04-18-07
      • 18368

      #3
      I'm locked in on it when I saw the line come out. Going to not get greedy and take the points
      Comment
      • Eagles27
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-19-12
        • 800

        #4
        Knicks were hot at home. Its about to be a completely different ball game in philly. Wouldn't be surprised if the knicks come out flat and get blown out. These types of back to back games usually get split. That being said, im going to probably sit this one out. But best of luck.
        Comment
        • pistol17
          SBR Rookie
          • 11-17-10
          • 12

          #5
          No Bynum or J Rich, +4.5 for the Knicks seems odd
          Comment
          • Smoke
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-09-09
            • 48111

            #6
            Thanks for the fades kid
            Comment
            • alfry
              SBR Rookie
              • 09-18-12
              • 14

              #7
              nice
              Comment
              • Chi_archie
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-22-08
                • 63182

                #8
                nice write up!
                Comment
                • Axis
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-08-09
                  • 1255

                  #9
                  Seems like such a square play to be honest. Knicks blast Miami, and then get 4.5 against Philly?

                  Scratch that...I see the line at 3.5 now.
                  Comment
                  • Eagles27
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-19-12
                    • 800

                    #10
                    Eff it, philly is now down to 2.5, I like those odds. I think philly wins this one fairly easy, so I took philly (small bet though).
                    Comment
                    • Goat Milk
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 03-24-10
                      • 25850

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Axis
                      Seems like such a square play to be honest. Knicks blast Miami, and then get 4.5 against Philly?

                      Scratch that...I see the line at 3.5 now.
                      It's kind of square but books are still adjusting imo here and they are undervaluing the knicks. I projected the Knicks to be one of the top 7 teams in the NBA this season.
                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                      Comment
                      • Eagles27
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-19-12
                        • 800

                        #12
                        Im actually more curious to see how this game turns out now. Im just not seeing the knicks winning, or if they do. Those who are thinking the knicks will run over the sixers today like they did at home (and bet big on knicks) will be sweating.
                        Comment
                        • Goat Milk
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-24-10
                          • 25850

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Eagles27
                          Im actually more curious to see how this game turns out now. Im just not seeing the knicks winning, or if they do. Those who are thinking the knicks will run over the sixers today like they did at home (and bet big on knicks) will be sweating.
                          No it'll be a closer game for sure. Do you have any valid reasons (matchup wise) for betting the Sixers? If you can counter any of the points I made feel free to do so. It's an open discussion.
                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                          Comment
                          • Eagles27
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-19-12
                            • 800

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Goat Milk
                            No it'll be a closer game for sure. Do you have any valid reasons (matchup wise) for betting the Sixers? If you can counter any of the points I made feel free to do so. It's an open discussion.
                            Overall, I think at these two teams are evenly matched. Much of the Knicks success is going to be based on whether or not Melo and Smith are on point tonight (which I think is asking a lot). So in essence if you are betting knicks tonight, you are essentially betting on Melo and JR Smith having another hot shooting night (they accounted for 50% of the knicks offense yesterday). I just don't see them doing that away from the Garden, I think the Sixers win this by 6-7 points.
                            Comment
                            • goldengreek
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-25-07
                              • 8340

                              #15
                              Why did you start a new thread ???
                              What is you record in the NBA this yr Goat ?
                              Comment
                              • Goat Milk
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 03-24-10
                                • 25850

                                #16
                                Originally posted by goldengreek
                                Why did you start a new thread ???
                                What is you record in the NBA this yr Goat ?
                                my thread is in the subforum. i'm gonna post bets every now and then in players talk like always.
                                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                Comment
                                • goldengreek
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-25-07
                                  • 8340

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                  my thread is in the subforum. i'm gonna post bets every now and then in players talk like always.
                                  ...And you record YTD ?

                                  Im too lazy , help me out
                                  Comment
                                  • Goat Milk
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-24-10
                                    • 25850

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by goldengreek
                                    ...And you record YTD ?

                                    Im too lazy , help me out
                                    5-5 -$107
                                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                    Comment
                                    • hougigo
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-01-12
                                      • 3665

                                      #19
                                      I have a feeling... the +4 might cover... lol
                                      Comment
                                      • therealdealau
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-12-10
                                        • 3227

                                        #20
                                        Comment
                                        • Goat Milk
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 03-24-10
                                          • 25850

                                          #21
                                          look at that pinpoint analysis

                                          you won't find that on espn or anywhere on the internet

                                          i am the authority here Roxxyfish

                                          you live in Germany

                                          this is the NBA not fukkin aussie rules
                                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                          Comment
                                          • Frisco
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-27-12
                                            • 6138

                                            #22
                                            nice job Goat. The strange line kept me away from it but i bet that it got a lot of ppl to overvalue the Sixers (especially at -2.5).
                                            Comment
                                            • swervv
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 04-15-12
                                              • 146

                                              #23
                                              good bet i was on it once the line came out..the sixers suck, especially without bynum...but the stupid line is what kept me from not jamming it.. i would of pounded it if it was ny -3 rather than + 4
                                              Comment
                                              Search
                                              Collapse
                                              SBR Contests
                                              Collapse
                                              Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                              Collapse
                                              Working...