Weekend Soccer Picks

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  • englishmike
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-19-08
    • 5279

    #1
    Weekend Soccer Picks
    Premier League Saturday 10.00am est

    Blackburn +110 To Beat Sunderland 3 Units

    Blackburn went to Sunderland on Wednesday in the Carling Cup and won 2-1 so why they would be odds against now they're playing at home is beyond me. I actually backed Sunderland to win on Wednesday, reasoning there was only one point between them in the league and home advantage would count, but when it came to it Sunderland were outmatched and there's no reason to think they won't be overmatched again. Throw in the fact they're now on the road and I make this a solid bet.

    Aston Villa +600 To Beat Arsenal 1 Unit

    This is a small stakes bet on the basis Hull and Tottenham have both proved Arsenal are from unbeatable at home. Villa have slowed down a bit since a good start but they are definetly a team that can hold their own against the big boys if they're having an 'on' day. +600 is far too juicy to turn down.

    Championship, Saturday 10.00 est

    Southampton +300 To Beat Wolves 1 Unit

    Although Southampton are fourth from bottom their league position is deceptive. Because of financial constrictions they've throw all the youth players into the team and consequently the average age of the team is one of the youngest in the country. That said, they play fantastic free-flowing football and all they lack is some steel at the back and having watched the whole game when they lost at home to Bristol City last week, I rate this is a small stakes play with a live chance of winning. If Southampton score first they could win by two or three.

    +2800 2-Team Parlay Southampton and Aston Villa 1 Unit

    As the price implies, this is a long shot but I'll thow 25 bucks at it on the basis it's possible even if the books are saying it's unlikely.
    Last edited by englishmike; 11-28-08, 02:05 AM. Reason: Added omitted Unit values as per chatroom discussion regarding record keeping and units.
  • SBR_John
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-12-05
    • 16471

    #2
    Good write ups mate!

    I know the lines staff is working hard on getting soccer lines up. That will be helpful. Good luck with your picks.
    Comment
    • englishmike
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-19-08
      • 5279

      #3
      It's dificult John because a lot of books only bet the Euro Premier Leagues whereas books like Pinny cover all the lower league stuff like the Southampton game above for instance. For purposes of ease, I would suggest you cover the English, Scottish, French, Spanish, Italian and German Premier Leagues. If you started with that you'd have the best soccer lines service around.
      Comment
      • vanman
        SBR MVP
        • 02-08-07
        • 1163

        #4
        Some brave picks there.
        The way Wolves are playing,6 points clear at the top of the table the only result i can see in that game is Wolves by 3 or 4.
        Comment
        • englishmike
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 06-19-08
          • 5279

          #5
          Originally posted by vanman
          Some brave picks there.
          The way Wolves are playing,6 points clear at the top of the table the only result i can see in that game is Wolves by 3 or 4.
          Very true but the books have only made Southampton +300 and not +500 for a reason. Whilst what you're saying is right, Southampton played some great stuff last week and lost, the only way they know how to play is attack, attack, attack. That doesn't mean they'll win but I always like backing a home dog that can play football.
          Comment
          • fiveteamer
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-14-08
            • 10805

            #6
            Stupid Gent.

            f'ked up my parlay for 23 dimes.

            I mean yea, there was six more legs to go, but they were locks.
            Comment
            • vanman
              SBR MVP
              • 02-08-07
              • 1163

              #7
              Originally posted by englishmike
              Very true but the books have only made Southampton +300 and not +500 for a reason. Whilst what you're saying is right, Southampton played some great stuff last week and lost, the only way they know how to play is attack, attack, attack. That doesn't mean they'll win but I always like backing a home dog that can play football.
              The value in this match is without doubt to have a small wager on the Saints,for the reasons you have stated.
              Comment
              • englishmike
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-19-08
                • 5279

                #8
                Originally posted by vanman
                The value in this match is without doubt to have a small wager on the Saints,for the reasons you have stated.
                That said, if they lost 3-0 I wouldn't be in the least bit surprised. The other thing I like about Saints is they have players that will probably be at better clubs after the transfer window, players like Surman, McGoldrick and Lallana will all play at a higher level so they're not actually as crap as their record implies.
                Comment
                • vanman
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-08-07
                  • 1163

                  #9
                  Villa`s dip in form is down to Carew being out with back and thigh injuries,when he`s back Villa will pick up again.I would expect them to finish 5th.
                  Comment
                  • englishmike
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 06-19-08
                    • 5279

                    #10
                    Originally posted by vanman
                    Villa`s dip in form is down to Carew being out with back and thigh injuries,when he`s back Villa will pick up again.I would expect them to finish 5th.
                    I agree. That's another game tommorow where the team I've picked could easily lose but I'll always take a decent price about a team who can beat anyone on their day.
                    Comment
                    • vanman
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-08-07
                      • 1163

                      #11
                      Have you had chance to watch Arsenal`s kids in the Carling Cup yet,they are awesome!!
                      Comment
                      • englishmike
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 06-19-08
                        • 5279

                        #12
                        We had it here on Setanta this week, they looked good, the thrid goal was superb. If they get a couple of good centre backs in that team they'd be awesome.
                        Comment
                        • fiveteamer
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-14-08
                          • 10805

                          #13
                          Comment
                          • Immortality
                            Restricted User
                            • 12-20-07
                            • 4599

                            #14
                            Originally posted by englishmike
                            We had it here on Setanta this week, they looked good, the thrid goal was superb. If they get a couple of good centre backs in that team they'd be awesome.
                            Yeah the third goal of the game by Carlos Vela was amazing. Even the goalie looks shocked after. Vela looks like he is ready to play now.

                            Comment
                            • turnip
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-03-06
                              • 940

                              #15
                              I'm on blackburn for the same reason mate

                              We just saw this game, only now it will be at Ewood Park
                              Comment
                              • pavyracer
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-12-07
                                • 82550

                                #16
                                Liverpool under 2.5 -145
                                Tottenham pk -150
                                Aston Villa +1 +105
                                Aston Villa over 2.5 -150

                                Good luck on you picks emike. I posted mine here too.
                                Comment
                                • englishmike
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 06-19-08
                                  • 5279

                                  #17
                                  You're close to being 1-0 Paves.
                                  Comment
                                  • woodg8
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-21-08
                                    • 1349

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by englishmike
                                    We had it here on Setanta this week, they looked good, the thrid goal was superb. If they get a couple of good centre backs in that team they'd be awesome.
                                    Same shit every year. They'll beat so rubbish Premiership side and everyone hails them worlds beaters, before they get battered 5-1.
                                    Comment
                                    • Wilforth
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 05-10-08
                                      • 16309

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                                      Liverpool under 2.5 -145
                                      Tottenham pk -150
                                      Aston Villa +1 +105
                                      Aston Villa over 2.5 -150

                                      Good luck on you picks emike. I posted mine here too.
                                      I like your picks but I think it's inadvisable to play both PK and +1 on Villa. If they lose by 2 goals, you lose 2 bets. Arsenal may be having its struggles but Villa isn't in the same class as Arsenal.
                                      Comment
                                      • ZXCVBNM
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-17-08
                                        • 1027

                                        #20
                                        I see Fulham-Spurs as a classic trap game of sorts. Spurs may be over-confident against Fulham who are great at home.. who knows, lol. And I like the Blackburn pick.
                                        Comment
                                        • englishmike
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 06-19-08
                                          • 5279

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Wilforth
                                          I like your picks but I think it's inadvisable to play both PK and +1 on Villa. If they lose by 2 goals, you lose 2 bets. Arsenal may be having its struggles but Villa isn't in the same class as Arsenal.
                                          I tend to agree with your point. The only reason i've backed Villa is because I like the price, I think they're good value at 6-1 but I don't understand why they'd only be +110 with a goal start.
                                          Comment
                                          • englishmike
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 06-19-08
                                            • 5279

                                            #22
                                            Interesting stat, Villa have played at the Emirates Stadium twice and never lost....2 draws.
                                            Comment
                                            • Wilforth
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 05-10-08
                                              • 16309

                                              #23
                                              Spurs is risky. I think that game could end in a draw.
                                              Sunderland have one of the worst road records in the EPL. Blackburn looks like a lock to me.
                                              Comment
                                              • englishmike
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 06-19-08
                                                • 5279

                                                #24
                                                Blackburn are actually odds against having already beaten them earlier in the week, I agree, they're a decent looking bet.
                                                Comment
                                                • ZXCVBNM
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-17-08
                                                  • 1027

                                                  #25
                                                  This day is a unpopular holiday in England, a holiday where fans of the non-Big 4 say "oh well what can you do" and fans of the Big 4 say "And now, the season finally starts."

                                                  Today the Big 4 will finally be pulling away from the rest of the league, leaving no outside team with a realistic shot at the Top 4. The only difference here is that is took a couple of weeks longer than usual.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • englishmike
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 06-19-08
                                                    • 5279

                                                    #26
                                                    Same old, same old, however long it took it would still be those four at the end and it will be until Man City start spending 100M a year now they've got the billionaire involved.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • englishmike
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 06-19-08
                                                      • 5279

                                                      #27
                                                      Penalty Villa.

                                                      Fukkin missed.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • englishmike
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 06-19-08
                                                        • 5279

                                                        #28
                                                        +600 Aston Villa winning 1-0
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SSLP
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-29-08
                                                          • 5232

                                                          #29
                                                          u suck at capping mike bow down to me and save yourself the grief you will never cap games better than me specially soccer
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pavyracer
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 04-12-07
                                                            • 82550

                                                            #30
                                                            Sunderland up 2-1!

                                                            Englishmike is looking great for the double whammy!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pavyracer
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 04-12-07
                                                              • 82550

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by SSLP
                                                              u suck at capping mike bow down to me and save yourself the grief you will never cap games better than me specially soccer
                                                              this was not nice
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SSLP
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-29-08
                                                                • 5232

                                                                #32
                                                                i was just kidding Pavy he is actually pretty good
                                                                Comment
                                                                • icemantbi
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 07-18-07
                                                                  • 944

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Aston Villa is going to win today. Great call.

                                                                  I had Arsenal in a parlay with Manchester United and Chelsea.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • englishmike
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 06-19-08
                                                                    • 5279

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by SSLP
                                                                    u suck at capping mike bow down to me and save yourself the grief you will never cap games better than me specially soccer
                                                                    lol +600 winner pal
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • englishmike
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 06-19-08
                                                                      • 5279

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                                      Sunderland up 2-1!

                                                                      Englishmike is looking great for the double whammy!
                                                                      Im on Blackburn paves
                                                                      Comment
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