do i tease Sf to pk or arizona to +14.5 (HELP!!!)

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  • theAkathist
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-18-12
    • 313

    #1
    do i tease Sf to pk or arizona to +14.5 (HELP!!!)
    im going to tease the under to u45.5...............but i really dont know what to do with the game line. san fran has had 10 days off but arizona is at home. +14.5 for a decent nfl home team is a lot. what would you do?
  • adila1401
    SBR MVP
    • 11-16-11
    • 2014

    #2
    I was contemplating the same teaser last night with Under and San Fran pk but I figured line might go a bit higher today...I think if u wait till this afternoon, line might go a little higher, if not Arizona + the points is the play, they are at HOME on a nationally televised game..the defense should be popping and u can't deny taking a home dog + 2 touchdowns in these situations..there should be a lot of field goals in this game which should help the cause..glgl
    Comment
    • as99
      SBR MVP
      • 03-25-10
      • 1585

      #3
      Take the points or do a 4 team (-140):
      Cardinals +20
      Under 51.5
      Chiefs +22.5
      Over 29.5
      Comment
      • OhMyEli
        SBR MVP
        • 07-17-12
        • 1164

        #4
        Take the 9ers. Don't overthink this, it burned me on the Saints last night. The 9ers are better i want to say at every single position, and can easily get blown out once they are down in the second half. Don't let the Cards record fool you, close games to lackluster teams, 9ers will roll.
        Comment
        • theAkathist
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-18-12
          • 313

          #5
          thanks for the input guys. +14.5 looks so good for a home team that can play some good defense but then again the niners outscored bills/jets by combined 79-3

          i compare those 2 teams overall to arizona. dang this is tough. i guess if im going with sf i have to act soon. and if i wait a few hours i could probably get arizona +15.5

          im leaning 60/40 towards taking SF
          Comment
          • Regul8er
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-06-07
            • 10666

            #6
            Don't overthink....and just take the Cards at +14.5.

            The defense is too good to get blown out by over 2 TD's at home vs a sputtering Niners offense.
            Comment
            • WinningIsKeY
              SBR MVP
              • 10-17-11
              • 1200

              #7
              I'm taking over 2tds with home team as well.
              Comment
              • theAkathist
                SBR Sharp
                • 10-18-12
                • 313

                #8
                Originally posted by Regul8er
                Don't overthink....and just take the Cards at +14.5.

                The defense is too good to get blown out by over 2 TD's at home vs a sputtering Niners offense.
                they do look a bit sputtering. and its so good if you can grab some early pts and go up 3-0 or even 7-0 when you are getting +14.5, but im scared zona only scores like 7-10 pts could happen

                im also thinking we all get raped on the u45.5 and the game is like 27-21 ugh
                Comment
                • SpreadSniper
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-17-09
                  • 6125

                  #9
                  Originally posted by theAkathist

                  im also thinking we all get raped on the u45.5 and the game is like 27-21 ugh
                  getting fukked by half a point last night was no fun
                  Comment
                  • Russeld0004
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 11-03-11
                    • 88

                    #10
                    Originally posted by theAkathist
                    thanks for the input guys. +14.5 looks so good for a home team that can play some good defense but then again the niners outscored bills/jets by combined 79-3

                    i compare those 2 teams overall to arizona. dang this is tough. i guess if im going with sf i have to act soon. and if i wait a few hours i could probably get arizona +15.5

                    im leaning 60/40 towards taking SF
                    Yes the 9ers did bl
                    Comment
                    • Russeld0004
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 11-03-11
                      • 88

                      #11
                      Originally posted by theAkathist
                      thanks for the input guys. +14.5 looks so good for a home team that can play some good defense but then again the niners outscored bills/jets by combined 79-3

                      i compare those 2 teams overall to arizona. dang this is tough. i guess if im going with sf i have to act soon. and if i wait a few hours i could probably get arizona +15.5

                      im leaning 60/40 towards taking SF
                      Yes the 9ers did blow out both those teams but bills and jets defense is not very good cardinals have a good defense so I'm going with +14.5
                      Comment
                      • flyboy
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-10-12
                        • 748

                        #12
                        Just take the 9er's and give the points. A teaser doesn't pay shit!
                        Comment
                        • slambam
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-07-10
                          • 1653

                          #13
                          Have you fukkin seen Skelton play? 9ers.
                          Comment
                          • brigade125
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 07-03-11
                            • 685

                            #14
                            zona will keep it close... zona+8
                            Comment
                            • SmittyZ28
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-04-12
                              • 1469

                              #15
                              244. Arizona (Cardinals) +15 -135 ( +7 Pts )
                              243. San Francisco (49ers) / 244. Arizona (Cardinals) Under 45½ -110 ( +7 Pts )
                              Comment
                              • theAkathist
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 10-18-12
                                • 313

                                #16
                                +14.5 pts looks so good at home in a division game.

                                arizona hasnt lost by more than 14 all year. i have to take them.

                                Arizona +14.5 u45.5
                                Comment
                                • TankHankerous
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-22-12
                                  • 2088

                                  #17
                                  SF ML and Under parlay
                                  Comment
                                  • OhMyEli
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-17-12
                                    • 1164

                                    #18
                                    This Zona team could only score 3 pts versus St. Louis, don't overthink this, doesnt matter where it is. The 9ers defense will only be faster on turf, tell me how Arizona is going to run the ball with their pitiful OLine and banged up RBs. We know damn well they can't pass, knock this one down to 6.5 and enjoy the money on the 9ers tonight.

                                    DO NOT OVERTHINK THIS. The 9ers are faaar better.
                                    Comment
                                    • vaas187
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-01-12
                                      • 2280

                                      #19
                                      Take Zona +13, SF -1 and Under 44
                                      Comment
                                      • Regul8er
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-06-07
                                        • 10666

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by OhMyEli
                                        This Zona team could only score 3 pts versus St. Louis, don't overthink this, doesnt matter where it is. The 9ers defense will only be faster on turf, tell me how Arizona is going to run the ball with their pitiful OLine and banged up RBs. We know damn well they can't pass, knock this one down to 6.5 and enjoy the money on the 9ers tonight.

                                        DO NOT OVERTHINK THIS. The 9ers are faaar better.
                                        The Cards don't play on turf, so its irrelevant that the Niners defense would be faster on turf. The Cards did run pretty successful their last time out against Minnesota, picking up 4.8 yards per carry, with Stephens-Howling carrying the load.

                                        I don't know, I think your trying to overthink this. Give me 14.5 at home all day every day in a divisional game. I think the Cards have won 8 of their last 9 home games. THey don't even have to win, heck they can even lose by 2 TD's.
                                        Comment
                                        • Paul Kemp
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 09-05-12
                                          • 278

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by theAkathist
                                          im going to tease the under to u45.5...............but i really dont know what to do with the game line. san fran has had 10 days off but arizona is at home. +14.5 for a decent nfl home team is a lot. what would you do?
                                          Akathist - I saw this post this morning and put some thought into it. I don't want to wait for any line last minute shifts - It feels like this one is stucl. Points: With all the "confusion" on if SF can cover - I looked into the under 45.5 for a 2 team parlay. One thought came into my head. Last night's N-14 @ DEN-34 game hit the under. That was going to be an all out air attach from both sides - points were put on the board, but the total of 48 hit the under. If those two pass happy teams can keep it under 48 - Tonight's move should be able to keep it under 45. - Also we may be dealing statistically better D's tonight than the Monday night game. That could mean less points and a quick clock - OR a bad score I'm banking Please note: I hate teasers as well - tonight it made perfect sense.

                                          Doesn't mean it'll cash - but I feel good about it.

                                          As always - I never forget the proof is in the pudding - seen below...

                                          2 Team Teaser NFL -10/29/2012 [243] SAN FRANCISCO PK-110 (B+7) NFL -10/29/2012 [244] TOTAL u45-110 (B+7)
                                          1.4 units for 1 unit Almost forgot - Good Luck!
                                          Comment
                                          • transparentbets
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 10-28-12
                                            • 2

                                            #22
                                            Take the cards.
                                            Comment
                                            • neverstoppers23
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-26-09
                                              • 6302

                                              #23
                                              i know its squareish but i would tease san fran down. i think they dominate tonight with their defense. crazier shit has happend but you got to think they are gonna get a shit load of turnovers and sacks. might even be a defensive touchdown.
                                              Comment
                                              • Paul Kemp
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 09-05-12
                                                • 278

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by neverstoppers23
                                                i know its squareish but i would tease san fran down. i think they dominate tonight with their defense. crazier shit has happend but you got to think they are gonna get a shit load of turnovers and sacks. might even be a defensive touchdown.

                                                That's exactly what I'm saying - hate teasing, just hate it. Tonight though... it actually makes sense for once.
                                                Comment
                                                • theAkathist
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 10-18-12
                                                  • 313

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Paul Kemp
                                                  Akathist - I saw this post this morning and put some thought into it. I don't want to wait for any line last minute shifts - It feels like this one is stucl. Points: With all the "confusion" on if SF can cover - I looked into the under 45.5 for a 2 team parlay. One thought came into my head. Last night's N-14 @ DEN-34 game hit the under. That was going to be an all out air attach from both sides - points were put on the board, but the total of 48 hit the under. If those two pass happy teams can keep it under 48 - Tonight's move should be able to keep it under 45. - Also we may be dealing statistically better D's tonight than the Monday night game. That could mean less points and a quick clock - OR a bad score I'm banking Please note: I hate teasers as well - tonight it made perfect sense.

                                                  Doesn't mean it'll cash - but I feel good about it.

                                                  As always - I never forget the proof is in the pudding - seen below...

                                                  2 Team Teaser NFL -10/29/2012 [243] SAN FRANCISCO PK-110 (B+7) NFL -10/29/2012 [244] TOTAL u45-110 (B+7)
                                                  1.4 units for 1 unit Almost forgot - Good Luck!
                                                  i see you got it at 45. this line is dropping and 45 is a key number (6 td's 1 fg).........i bet this will be 37 maybe even 36.5 by kickoff

                                                  locking it in now, same exact play

                                                  San Fran pk
                                                  Under 45

                                                  $168 to win $120

                                                  Comment
                                                  • Paul Kemp
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 09-05-12
                                                    • 278

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by theAkathist
                                                    i see you got it at 45. this line is dropping and 45 is a key number (6 td's 1 fg).........i bet this will be 37 maybe even 36.5 by kickoff

                                                    locking it in now, same exact play

                                                    San Fran pk
                                                    Under 45

                                                    $168 to win $120


                                                    If anything is worth doing - It's worth doing right!

                                                    Cheers - I'm sure I'll see you in the In-Game thread. Time to go find my four leaf clover. Just to be safe.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Believeland
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                      • 923

                                                      #27
                                                      14-7 SF wins
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Brooklyn Dick
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-12-08
                                                        • 1071

                                                        #28
                                                        NFL
                                                        NFL
                                                        Oct 29 08:40 PM
                                                        Nov 01 08:25 PM
                                                        2TEAS FB 6, 6½, 7 NBA 5, 5½, 6 CBB 4, 4½, 5 PTS
                                                        [243] SF 49ERS -1-110 (B+6)
                                                        [302] SD CHARGERS -1½-115 (B+6)
                                                        4,400/4000
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ChalkyDog
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-02-11
                                                          • 9598

                                                          #29
                                                          Just made two small plays on Zona ML and Zona +7.5.

                                                          Good luck with whatever you choose.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Brian891
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-28-10
                                                            • 2049

                                                            #30
                                                            meaningless stat for you: skelton 6-0 as a starter at home.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Paul Kemp
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 09-05-12
                                                              • 278

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Brian891
                                                              meaningless stat for you: skelton 6-0 as a starter at home.

                                                              Not sure who you are addressing - but I've got one phrase for you - Streaks are made to be broken.

                                                              Of course that doesn't happen all the time but it sure sounds good!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • rainman416
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-20-12
                                                                • 1248

                                                                #32
                                                                I got ARI +14.5 + UN45.0 @ -125 x$625 to win $500

                                                                GL all
                                                                Comment
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