Only Way To Handicap: Pay Attention

[MonkeyF0cker]

Or funnerest...

[dwaechte]

My favourite is funnest, but if you insist, I'll go with funnysterest.

[reno cool]

Find me a losing player who doesn't watch games, ESPN and read the paper.

[MonkeyF0cker]

You mean a winning player, reno?

[dwaechte]

Nah, he meant losing. And he's probably spot-on. I don't doubt there are some who wager with stats and without emotion that lose, but I agree there probably aren't many.

[Dougie Fresh]

What is the best source/feed to read local sports columns in one place?

[donjuan]

I don't doubt there are some who wager with stats and without emotion that lose, but I agree there probably aren't many.

Disagree. Plenty of people use stats but they use stats with little to no predictive value and even if they do use decent stats if they don't have a model it is very hard to quantify those stats and come up with fair value.

[reno cool]

Nah, he meant losing. And he's probably spot-on. I don't doubt there are some who wager with stats and without emotion that lose, but I agree there probably aren't many.

lets just say that there isn't nearly as many as the opposite dwaetche.

[dwaechte]

Disagree. Plenty of people use stats but they use stats with little to no predictive value and even if they do use decent stats if they don't have a model it is very hard to quantify those stats and come up with fair value.

Yeah, but these are generally people who have an interest in sports and get a high from actually "gambling". Maybe I should've clarified more or maybe I misinterpreted what reno meant, but I think the sticking point was "without watching the games".

I'd probably classify myself as someone that attempts to use stats without a strong model where I have a tough time coming up with fair value, but I do it because I'm a gambler and I enjoy immensely being able to sit down and watch a football game with money on the line.

If there are people out there who do what I do and have no real concrete evidence that they have an edge, who don't get a high from gambling and just like burning money without receiving entertainment value, then I'd wonder what the hell they were thinking.

[jjgold]

What is the best source/feed to read local sports columns in one place?

Dougie just do some google searches for online newspapers and you will have plenty of options.

Here is just one of many

[Fishhead]

Fuk ESPN JJ, i had a super sharp (Krackman) tell me when i had dinner with him in Vegas, that if you hear it on ESPN, its too late, local papers/news is the ONLY way to get news. thats why i tend to hammer U of I games as well as MVC conference in college hoops, i get the news locally and sometimes 1st hand

[ApricotSinner32]

1. Watch games
2. Injuries to key players
3. Watch and Read News (ESPN, Online newspapers)


So simple

Throw away the fukkin stats, they mean nothing.

[ZetaPsi808]

well I watch nfl countdown and I just bet whoever mike ditka says is going to win the game. half unit on spread half unit on moneyline

[ApricotSinner32]

well I watch nfl countdown and I just bet whoever mike ditka says is going to win the game. half unit on spread half unit on moneyline

Sprinkle

[Ace_of_Spades]

1. Watch games
2. Injuries to key players
3. Watch and Read News (ESPN, Online newspapers)


So simple

Throw away the fukkin stats, they mean nothing.

This is what a newcomer would do when betting a game.

[Glitch]

stats are not everything but of course they are important. get your head outta your ass JJ.

[jjgold]

Man I nailed it on the head

Most guys have no idea who they are betting on, who is injured or watch games

They are busy drinking

[excel]

Step1.) flip coin
Step 2.)throw darts to narrow down coin selections

[ApricotSinner32]

Step1.) flip coin
Step 2.)throw darts to narrow down coin selections

When one doesn't know how to do something.. they just assume that means its not possible to do. Square thinking.

[jjgold]

Squares cry fixes too

[Brock Landers]

Squares cry fixes too