I Wish I'd Never Found Sites That Give You Public Betting...

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  • VegasDave
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-03-07
    • 8056

    #1
    I Wish I'd Never Found Sites That Give You Public Betting...
    I check to see what side the public is on and many times I'm on games that 70%+ of the public are on... then I feel like I shouldn't bet these games anymore because I don't want to be on a heavy public/"square" game.

    Then I find games that the public is on 80% plus and I think the 20% play is the sharp play...

    I wish I'd never found this garbage, my capping was fine before it and now it is beginning to mess with my head.
  • pico
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-05-07
    • 27321

    #2
    just imagine you're at the roulette table and you see people betting red and black.
    Comment
    • MonkeyF0cker
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 06-12-07
      • 12144

      #3
      It's not the side that matters, it's the line.
      Comment
      • sickler
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 06-05-08
        • 15006

        #4
        Bet openers at Pinnacle, Cris, Greek. There'll be no time to find out who the public is on.
        Comment
        • reno cool
          SBR MVP
          • 07-02-08
          • 3567

          #5
          Try to find a method that is not widely used by the public.That is find concepts,# that are undervalued. This doesn't mean that you should bet against where the majority of the $ is all the time. Also don't feel pressured to find a play on every game. And don't give the bookmakers too much respect.
          bird bird da bird's da word
          Comment
          • I.R.B
            SBR MVP
            • 08-12-08
            • 3209

            #6
            This is you're best tool to have when capping games, i dont understand why you would not want to know all these kinds of things.. Even with this info you can still do you're same ol capping, but now you know where the "smart money" is being placed.. Finding and paying for these kinds of sites only made me a bigger winner..
            Comment
            • CaneDawg
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-25-08
              • 6256

              #7
              Hang in there Dave
              Comment
              • pavyracer
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-12-07
                • 82881

                #8
                He is stealing plays from some vegas experts place. Guy can't pick a winner even if you give him tomorrow's newspaper today.
                Comment
                • DeluxeLiner
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-29-08
                  • 4132

                  #9
                  You can't expect to go on 10 win philosophy pick steaks every all the time. You still have a great *special* pick record. Btw the last two weeks I haven't seen any true Holy Grail RLM. The "sharp" money hasn't seemed so obvious to me, and I have been just following my own capping.
                  Comment
                  • I.R.B
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-12-08
                    • 3209

                    #10
                    Would you say you are losing more because you found these sites?
                    Comment
                    • I.R.B
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-12-08
                      • 3209

                      #11
                      Originally posted by DeluxeLiner
                      You can't expect to go on 10 win philosophy pick steaks every all the time. You still have a great *special* pick record. Btw the last two weeks I haven't seen any true Holy Grail RLM. The "sharp" money hasn't seemed so obvious to me, and I have been just following my own capping.
                      Early money was on 49ers 1.5 RLM then it went back to 10 on game day.
                      Comment
                      • InTheHole
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-28-08
                        • 15243

                        #12
                        I use them some of the time Dave both for the NBA and NFL which traditionally I have been a poor capper of. if there is a RL movement on a 80/20 split with over 10 to 12 thousands bets placed...I'll take a stab @ the 20. Pays off in the long run.
                        Comment
                        • VegasDave
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-03-07
                          • 8056

                          #13
                          Im just in a big slump right now and I am overthinking EVERYTHING. These numbers are just another thing for me to overanalyze.
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #14
                            Those sites are useless because they are not real bets for the most part and no indication who the public is on. I think Sportsinsights has the most accurate data of bets placed by bettors at sportsbooks. Then again it sill does not mean anything because they win and lose like anything else.
                            Comment
                            • InTheHole
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-28-08
                              • 15243

                              #15
                              That's where I get my info Goldstein.
                              Comment
                              • element1286
                                Restricted User
                                • 02-25-08
                                • 3370

                                #16
                                Originally posted by VegasDave
                                Im just in a big slump right now and I am overthinking EVERYTHING. These numbers are just another thing for me to overanalyze.
                                There's your problem. Take a day off, and you will forget about your losses, then get back into the groove in a day or two.
                                Comment
                                • Kingctb27
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-16-08
                                  • 2258

                                  #17
                                  The game is played on the field my friend. Not at a sportsbook. Remember that.
                                  Comment
                                  • gm2022
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-28-08
                                    • 4128

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by element1286
                                    There's your problem. Take a day off, and you will forget about your losses, then get back into the groove in a day or two.
                                    Do something for a 24hr period that doesnt have anything to do with sports, dont look at a computer, watch espn anything!
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #19
                                      Ignore public percentages unless there is a Reverse Line Move. If there is no RLM, just do what you have always done.
                                      Comment
                                      • Sforz
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-07-08
                                        • 2221

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                        Ignore public percentages unless there is a Reverse Line Move. If there is no RLM, just do what you have always done.
                                        what is RLM's record in the nfl this year?
                                        Comment
                                        • LT Profits
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-27-06
                                          • 90963

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Sforz
                                          what is RLM's record in the nfl this year?
                                          Carib Sports 21-12-0 7.05 63.64 %
                                          TradeSports 16-11-2 5.17 55.17 %
                                          Grande 12-7-0 4.05 63.16 %
                                          Catalina 11-7-1 3.48 57.89 %
                                          Pinnacle 9-7-1 2.01 52.94 %
                                          BetOnline 5-3-0 1.42 62.50 %
                                          Olympic 11-9-0 1.15 55.00 %
                                          CRIS 29-29-0 -2.87 50.00 %
                                          Comment
                                          • pico
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 04-05-07
                                            • 27321

                                            #22
                                            loks like carib has the most sharps
                                            Comment
                                            • I.R.B
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-12-08
                                              • 3209

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by pico
                                              loks like carib has the most sharps
                                              There pretty sharp in Basketball to.. 14-3 i think in Smart money plays.
                                              Comment
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