will a profitable punter consistently lose money at a full juice book?

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  • pico
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-05-07
    • 27321

    #1
    will a profitable punter consistently lose money at a full juice book?
    LT doesn't seem want to just stick with CRIS lines for the contest with nicky. i don';t know what the big deal is since it is head to head. both of them will be taking full juice, so it'll just come down to who have more winners.

    so nicky might be right about this, maybe even the sharpest player cannot win in the long run if they stick with one full juice book.

    it is all about line shopping, capping is overrated. that is the impression that i got when LT will not stick to CRIS line for simplicity. because i know pinny lines moves too quick...i pretty much move it everyday.
  • donjuan
    SBR MVP
    • 08-29-07
    • 3993

    #2
    maybe even the sharpest player cannot win in the long run if they stick with one full juice book.
    Not true. First of many cases in point: SIA. Of course, there is no reason to stick to one book in reality but of course you can win if you only bet at one book.
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    • durito
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-03-06
      • 13173

      #3
      Many sharper players are only still allowed to play at a handful of books and thus play a lot of things at -110 at cris.

      Take NCAA Basketball totals for example. Pinnacle has $500 limits and matchbook doesn't even post them.
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      • Nicky Santoro
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-08-08
        • 16103

        #4
        i have 4 books that are -110 each way, and i put in about 4 bets a day out of my 12 bets at -110... alot of times i see value.. for exampe, pinny might have +7-07 in nba, but a 20 cent line book has it still at +7.5 -110.. you cant win there if you play all your games at -110, but if you can pick and choose your games, i highly recommend it.. some of these 20 cent line books are gold..
        Comment
        • sickler
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 06-05-08
          • 15006

          #5
          Better value can be had at the full juice book, but how often does that happen? You'd be making less bets if it was your only book, or stand little chance of doing as well if Pinny or Matchbook was the only book. If the book is shading the lines to overprice favourites, you could find yourself being dealt dual lines if you only take the dogs.
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