Public/Square NFL Bettors Doing Extremely Well This Week and Last?

[VegasDave]

I in no way mean to call any of you squares; I am having a miserable run and am not claiming that I am so sharp I don't deserve to lose or anything... I'm just making an observation.

Haven't the games that have looked the easiest gone the way they were "supposed to" at a very high rate the last 2 weeks? Dbldown claims I overthink these but I disagree; I think not thinking about what the line means and what side looks TOO EASY will get you in trouble. I think you need to be wary of games that look "too easy" that you know the betting public will pound.

But last week...

Arizona over St. Louis
Atlanta over Oakland
Philadelphia over Seattle
Pittsburgh over Washington

Were all loved by the public and the favorite (or in Pittsburgh's case, the dog) were getting way too soft a lines. Some even had reverse line movement. But all won, easily.

This week...

Tennessee over Chicago
Carolina over Oakland
Kansas City (+15.5) over San Diego
New York Giants over Philly

Oakland one doesn't fit as much because they were a big dog, but the public did pound Carolina. Undefeated Tennessee -only 3 VS. Rex Grossman?

A 3 - 5 team against a heated rival giving up 16 points?

7 - 1 powerhouse Giants the underdog?

Seems every game that looks "too easy" has cashed. Am I the only one noticing this?

[onthewhat]

stop saying the public got lucky because you got burried

it all evens out over the long run

50% in these fukkin coin flip nfl sides

[VegasDave]

I did NOT say the public got lucky! I just said they were doing well. Of the 8 games I mentioned as examples, I was on the public side of 3 of them; I wasn't saying I was too good for those sides or anything.

[VegasDave]

Very strange. Oh well. Sorry if this comes off as sour grapes.