I Have A Very Special Gift For Everyone Tonight...

neverstoppers23 · 10-12-12, 10:28 PM

jjgold · 10-12-12, 10:28 PM

seaweed have you ever managed in big leagues??

Bostongambler · 10-12-12, 10:29 PM

Blonde, brunette, or redhead?

Seaweed · 10-12-12, 10:35 PM

Here it is. This bet is strictly business. I have been studying it since Monday intensely. I pretty much know every minor detail surrounding this game.

Risking: $1,000 to win $970

DALLAS COWBOYS +3.5 @ BALTIMORE RAVENS

PICK: DALLAS COWBOYS +3.5

I could write an essay on why this should be the only bet for you this weekend, but i need to get this play out before the line shifts. According to my tested methodology, it has about a 91% chance of hitting.

Resler · 10-12-12, 10:44 PM

Originally posted by Seaweed

Here it is. This bet is strictly business. I have been studying it since Monday intensely. I pretty much know every minor detail surrounding this game.

Risking: $1,000 to win $970

DALLAS COWBOYS +3.5 @ BALTIMORE RAVENS

PICK: DALLAS COWBOYS +3.5

I could write an essay on why this should be the only bet for you this weekend, but i need to get this play out before the line shifts. According to my tested methodology, it has about a 91% chance of hitting.

LOL right around 91%. Pretty much the dumbest thing I have ever heard.

Bostongambler · 10-12-12, 10:46 PM

Seaweed u keep going lower and lower. smh

gl with ur future wagering

Seaweed · 10-12-12, 11:01 PM

Originally posted by Bostongambler

Seaweed u keep going lower and lower. smh

gl with ur future wagering

Boston Gambler, this is no laughing matter. This is a serious wager that i have put a lot of time into. I don't make up numbers. The 91 is what i got when i put together all the information and trends.

Resler · 10-12-12, 11:09 PM

Originally posted by Seaweed

Boston Gambler, this is no laughing matter. This is a serious wager that i have put a lot of time into. I don't make up numbers. The 91 is what i got when i put together all the information and trends.

What mathematical equation, or algorithm, or what gave you 91%? It is a complete made up number and ridiculous. I understand you saying I like this play a lot or highly likely this outcome will happen, but to put a statistical probability or percentage on it is just so funny. What correlations did you use to draw that conclusion? what is your confidence interval?

Seaweed · 10-12-12, 11:33 PM

Originally posted by Resler

What mathematical equation, or algorithm, or what gave you 91%? It is a complete made up number and ridiculous. I understand you saying I like this play a lot or highly likely this outcome will happen, but to put a statistical probability or percentage on it is just so funny. What correlations did you use to draw that conclusion? what is your confidence interval?

It took me days to arrive at that number. You want me to go over every influential detail? i did the dirty work for all of us and i get accused for it?

Listen, Resler, i know you want confirmation because this is your money you are investing in this play too. I'll just briefly tell you that differences in the lines on the same event at different books play a major factor. This game is a prime example of a middle where we defeat the books edge by the formula 1-(w+1)/tⁿ. I have a diagram in my room that i use for sports handicapping. It has been proven and tested to be profitable, not perfect. There are no such thing as foolproof system, but this one has worked for 4.5 years now. For this game, i used the diagram which is an important part of my methodology. My methodology gave Dallas +18 points on the factors compared to +2 to the Ravens.

Ghenghis Kahn · 10-12-12, 11:35 PM

baltimore -3.5 it is!!!

ProfaneReality · 10-12-12, 11:37 PM

Does it bother you that you missed +4 ?

Seaweed · 10-13-12, 12:04 AM

Originally posted by ProfaneReality

Does it bother you that you missed +4 ?

Yes, but i couldn't lock it in because i had to cross reference my information from Thursday to make sure it was valid.

Pete0 · 10-13-12, 01:00 AM

The fix is in.

BAL wins by 3.

You heard it here first.

Seaweed · 10-13-12, 01:35 AM

I hope everyone locked it in

ssmann · 10-13-12, 01:50 AM

like this pick

Seaweed · 10-13-12, 01:55 AM

Originally posted by ssmann

like this pick

Finally an educated comment.

The Giant · 10-13-12, 02:06 AM

Wow, 91%? This is the highest percentage your methodology has spit out since January 31st, 1993. SuperBowl XXVII, Dallas -6.5 versus Buffalo.

Lets hope for similar results.

Seaweed · 10-13-12, 02:13 AM

Originally posted by The Giant

Wow, 91%? This is the highest percentage your methodology has spit out since January 31st, 1993. SuperBowl XXVII, Dallas -6.5 versus Buffalo.

Lets hope for similar results.

I would have to check my documents but i believe you could be right. I remember after the Superbowl you called me and told me about the series premiere of the X files coming up. I think that was the time when you bought your new Toshiba Television and invited me over to watch it in the dark.

The Giant · 10-13-12, 02:19 AM

Originally posted by Seaweed

I would have to check my documents but i believe you could be right. I remember after the Superbowl you called me and told me about the series premiere of the X files coming up. I think that was the time when you bought your new Toshiba Television and invited me over to watch it in the dark.

Those were magical times, my friend. Speaking of the X-Files, did you know David Duchnovy is a known sex addict? On August 28th, 2008, he checked himself into a clinic. It's been a constant strain on his marriage with actress Tea Leoni. Currently they are split up again. I think we should keep them in our thoughts this weekend as we are watching the Cowboys and Ravens play.

Seaweed · 10-13-12, 02:33 AM

Originally posted by The Giant

Those were magical times, my friend. Speaking of the X-Files, did you know David Duchnovy is a known sex addict? On August 28th, 2008, he checked himself into a clinic. It's been a constant strain on his marriage with actress Tea Leoni. Currently they are split up again. I think we should keep them in our thoughts this weekend as we are watching the Cowboys and Ravens play.

Unbelievable. You think you know someone and then they go ahead and do something disgusting like that. Your vast knowledge never ceases to amaze me. I don't need to watch Entertainment Tonight when you have all the dirty gossip secrets nobody else does in the industry. Thanks for letting me know, I'm never watching that show again.

Bbr · 10-13-12, 03:21 AM

No rep. No blind tailing. You have to provide the essay. No one knows you here brother.

I don't hate you, I don't like you. I'm solely accentuating the fact that you need to provide your reasons until u gain some rep and then ppl will be confident to blindly tail and know your not a gambler.

Educated bettors win. Gamblers lose

pulledclear · 10-13-12, 03:37 AM

Sammy Sammy Sammy.

Seaweed · 10-13-12, 08:49 PM

Originally posted by Bbr

No rep. No blind tailing. You have to provide the essay. No one knows you here brother.

I don't hate you, I don't like you. I'm solely accentuating the fact that you need to provide your reasons until u gain some rep and then ppl will be confident to blindly tail and know your not a gambler.

Educated bettors win. Gamblers lose

I have a big reputation so i don't know what you are talking about. I've been around for years, and many already know me here at SBR.

Bbr · 10-13-12, 08:53 PM

You are math deprived. Sports betting is a game of numbers and you're struggling to work out how many months there are in a year.Lol

Seaweed · 10-13-12, 08:59 PM

Originally posted by Bbr

You are math deprived. Sports betting is a game of numbers and you're struggling to work out how many months there are in a year.L
ol

This is not the only site on the internet. When i said i've been around i was referring to the general scene of sports handicapping. I've been capping games for a long time.

onacloud · 10-13-12, 09:02 PM

Originally posted by Seaweed

Yes, but i couldn't lock it in because i had to cross reference my information from Thursday to make sure it was valid.

I thought all you had to do was look at the chart on the wall?

This must be pickwinners

Jrod124 · 10-13-12, 09:03 PM

Weeder u are a odd duck

Dirty Sanchez · 10-13-12, 09:09 PM

pologq · 10-13-12, 09:09 PM

i think cowboys are the play. the ravens should be favored by 5 and they are not. i feel the same about the falcons. i think the falcons line should be higher and its not which makes me wonder.

Seaweed · 10-13-12, 09:09 PM

Originally posted by Jrod124

Weeder u are a odd duck

Thanks. If i was normal, i wouldn't be a winner. I have decided to adapt the odd lifestyle because in order to beat the books you have to go to the deepest measures, which at times sacrificial.

Seaweed · 10-13-12, 09:11 PM

Originally posted by pologq

i think cowboys are the play. the ravens should be favored by 5 and they are not. i feel the same about the falcons. i think the falcons line should be higher and its not which makes me wonder.

The Ravens are the trap play of the weekend. Cowboys are always better on the road, we all know that. 58% of the public are on the Ravens ML and the spread. The 3.5 is huge for us. Dallas will cover this one.

homerbush · 10-13-12, 09:16 PM

Yes 91%... I don't think any matchup in NFL even ML would ever have a 91% chance of hitting.

homerbush · 10-13-12, 09:18 PM

Obviously Seaweed and The Giant are the same poster.

Chimneyfish · 10-13-12, 09:21 PM

The chart in my bedroom tells me Baltimore wins by 10.