Taking Jets +6.5 EV 1st Half.

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  • ChalkyDog
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-02-11
    • 9598

    #1
    Taking Jets +6.5 EV 1st Half.
    I don't know if I am reading what I am seeing the wrong way - but unfortunately the only way to know is after the half.

    I have been stuck on this game for a while, trying to figure it out - but was always looking at the whole game. After coming to the conclusion that my choice is either

    1) bet the better team to win by a lot and lay a bad number.
    or
    2) Back a bad team and play the general trend of MNF, and expect weird shit to keep them in the game.

    On paper, there is no way the Jets hang tonight, and this should be a blow out. Problem is, if you don't take the MNF factor into account, you are missing a large portion of the problem that is capping this game.

    That said, I gave up trying to figure out the game, and will just be playing the 1st half to have some action at a decent number, especially considering how Pinny is only giving +5.5 to the jets for the 1h.

    Anyway, good luck.

    Best advice is to bet this live, watch how people look (not necessarily how they are playing or the score at the time). That will give you the biggest edge, IMO.

    Only playing 1 measly unit. Line bet on was at Bookmaker, however 6.5 is being seen a lot of places elsewhere.
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    id say if your play hits my un 20.5 should be in good shape...gl bro
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